MLB · resolved market
KBO: Kia Tigers vs. Kiwoom Heroes
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xff4f95130117354c027b4d591a6aa28f0ff9e072971847cfd4e9d3798a2ca714
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kia Tigersof Kia Tigers, Kiwoom Heroes
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,091
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,439
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,091 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Kiwoom Heroes | 41c | 4,826$1,988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,987.76 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7bec…07a8backed Kiwoom Heroes | 42c | 2,000$839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$838.58 | 249 | 46.2%115 W · 134 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Kia Tigers | 59c | 1,582$926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$655.58 | 753 | 44.1%332 W · 421 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Kiwoom Heroes | 19c | 1,425$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.49 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27d2…a66cbacked Kia Tigers | 60c | 991.23$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.43 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2613…12bdbacked Kia Tigers | 59c | 938.98$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.98 | 212 | 48.1%102 W · 110 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Kia Tigers | 58c | 862.06$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.07 | 192 | 46.9%90 W · 102 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Kia Tigers | 58c | 603.44$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.44 | 208 | 48.1%100 W · 108 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafca…92b4backed Kia Tigers | 62c | 566.02$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.44 | 181 | 54.7%99 W · 82 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Kia Tigers | 59c | 547.7$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.89 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Kia Tigers | 80c | 399.05$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.61 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Kia Tigers | 76c | 253.64$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.96 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 37c | 251.03$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.88 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…30a4backed Kiwoom Heroes | 40c | 249.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Kiwoom Heroes | 12c | 245$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.45 | 351 | 37%130 W · 221 L | -17.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Kiwoom Heroes | 35c | 217.88$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.57 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc5f…cf7cbacked Kia Tigers | 60c | 192.73$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.23 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6312…3941backed Kia Tigers | 63c | 190$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.8 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Kiwoom Heroes | 38c | 168.54$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 590 | 38.8%229 W · 361 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaba5…4e0ebacked Kia Tigers | 61c | 165.13$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.13 | 174 | 60.9%106 W · 68 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2688…9197backed Kia Tigers | 60c | 117.72$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.09 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Kia Tigers | 58c | 115$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.3 | 256 | 48%123 W · 133 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Kia Tigers | 59c | 105$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.05 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4193…4853backed Kia Tigers | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 846 | 51.5%436 W · 410 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf213…a627backed Kiwoom Heroes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.64 | 689 | 42.2%291 W · 398 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88fb…db3abacked Kiwoom Heroes | 41c | 97.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 732 | 43.4%318 W · 414 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x630a…f06bbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 40c | 87.5$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -8.1wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Kiwoom Heroes | 38c | 80.65$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.65 | 503 | 37.2%187 W · 316 L | -42.3wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9e32…c821backed Kia Tigers | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2465…5d84backed Kia Tigers | 78c | 77$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.94 | 1,100 | 79.6%876 W · 224 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Kiwoom Heroes | 39c | 75$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.25 | 556 | 43.9%244 W · 312 L | -38.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Kia Tigers | 59c | 70$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.7 | 950 | 41.5%394 W · 556 L | -48.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae5…6079backed Kia Tigers | 59c | 67.57$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.7 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed Kiwoom Heroes | 25c | 62.8$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.76 | 447 | 37.4%167 W · 280 L | -24.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…eee6backed Kia Tigers | 59c | 55.54$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.77 | 145 | 55.9%81 W · 64 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Kia Tigers | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 614 | 50.8%312 W · 302 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…bb11backed Kiwoom Heroes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 559 | 53.1%297 W · 262 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb914…e271backed Kia Tigers | 76c | 40.73$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.73 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…d138backed Kia Tigers | 58c | 36$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.15 | 882 | 47.7%421 W · 461 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.