Tennis · resolved market
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Caroline Dolehide vs Robin Montgomery
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xff840595d1e8038e6375d302f89b81d7837e40b3dde5f1e1c7d0d05e69e2aedd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Robin Montgomeryof Caroline Dolehide, Robin Montgomery
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,101
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,147
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,101 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Robin Montgomery | 78c | 3,273$2,553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720.16 | 781 | 52.8%412 W · 369 L | +21.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Caroline Dolehide | 18c | 2,478$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 1,865 | 44.7%834 W · 1,031 L | +36.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x287d…38febacked Caroline Dolehide | 12c | 2,075$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249 | 374 | 21.9%82 W · 292 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Caroline Dolehide | 8c | 1,994$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.37 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Caroline Dolehide | 22c | 1,899$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.86 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Caroline Dolehide | 22c | 1,263$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.99 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdad9…c300backed Robin Montgomery | 80c | 1,256$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.34 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | -9.0wins | -0.12per pick | 61cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Caroline Dolehide | 22c | 1,000$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.59 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3d…bacdbacked Caroline Dolehide | 9c | 888.89$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Caroline Dolehide | 20c | 545.46$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.09 | 2,462 | 38.5%948 W · 1,514 L | +93.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08cc…67babacked Caroline Dolehide | 3c | 479.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 61 | 0%0 W · 61 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Caroline Dolehide | 15c | 350.04$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.06 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2725…e7d1backed Caroline Dolehide | 16c | 340.81$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.07 | 439 | 52.4%230 W · 209 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79d0…4dffbacked Caroline Dolehide | 12c | 322.9$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 312 | 20.5%64 W · 248 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Caroline Dolehide | 14c | 314.61$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.95 | 1,228 | 23.1%284 W · 944 L | -164.0wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -47%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Caroline Dolehide | 14c | 253.74$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.78 | 803 | 41.8%336 W · 467 L | -20.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Caroline Dolehide | 18c | 237.99$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.84 | 1,031 | 50.3%519 W · 512 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Caroline Dolehide | 20c | 200.98$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Caroline Dolehide | 19c | 187.49$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.62 | 336 | 50.9%171 W · 165 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…2fb6backed Caroline Dolehide | 21c | 180$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.9 | 1,556 | 42.4%660 W · 896 L | +20.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d2…4a24backed Caroline Dolehide | 16c | 162.12$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.83 | 529 | 10%53 W · 476 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Caroline Dolehide | 26c | 158.3$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked Caroline Dolehide | 12c | 130.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.28 | 97 | 37.1%36 W · 61 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…0436backed Robin Montgomery | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 237 | 54.4%129 W · 108 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed Robin Montgomery | 76c | 129.46$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.07 | 1,103 | 52.9%583 W · 520 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5814…229abacked Caroline Dolehide | 24c | 129.46$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.07 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82aa…fe2fbacked Caroline Dolehide | 20c | 125$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 627 | 27.3%171 W · 456 L | -15.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e72…d0b9backed Caroline Dolehide | 13c | 123$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.45 | 707 | 29.1%206 W · 501 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Caroline Dolehide | 19c | 106$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.14 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b0…b4d1backed Caroline Dolehide | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 132 | 47%62 W · 70 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x626d…e570backed Caroline Dolehide | 19c | 90$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.9 | 520 | 35.2%183 W · 337 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad5…ccdebacked Caroline Dolehide | 19c | 90$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 550 | 32.7%180 W · 370 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Caroline Dolehide | 13c | 84.9$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e62…79f1backed Caroline Dolehide | 14c | 81.05$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.41 | 108 | 41.7%45 W · 63 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d9…c3cabacked Caroline Dolehide | 15c | 79.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 222 | 46.8%104 W · 118 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a80…d472backed Robin Montgomery | 77c | 77.5$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 1,186 | 52.4%622 W · 564 L | +28.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73c3…fd98backed Robin Montgomery | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39c1…3174backed Robin Montgomery | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 394 | 51.8%204 W · 190 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e48…828fbacked Robin Montgomery | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Robin Montgomery | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 942 | 55.8%526 W · 416 L | +19.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4563…5f7cbacked Robin Montgomery | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…6e9bbacked Caroline Dolehide | 23c | 61.51$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 282 | 49.3%139 W · 143 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed Caroline Dolehide | 23c | 54.34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 1,300 | 36.9%480 W · 820 L | -34.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Robin Montgomery | 77c | 37$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.51 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd6d…aeb3backed Robin Montgomery | 77c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.45 | 24 | 91.7%22 W · 2 L | +4.4wins | +0.18per pick | 73cpaid | +26%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf8…99f4backed Robin Montgomery | 77c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.99 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.