Tennis · resolved market
Kingston 2: Alex Hernandez vs Paulo Dos Santos
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xff87886de0a0dfa8748cebe3199aed29b727c927c1083af4e8d9bd6bdcb1031c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Paulo Dos Santosof Alex Hernandez, Paulo Dos Santos
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,669
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,499
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,669 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcfb2…126abacked Alex Hernandez | 24c | 3,755$904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$904.19 | 237 | 38.8%92 W · 145 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Alex Hernandez | 8c | 3,369$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.47 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Alex Hernandez | 53c | 816.42$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.04 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Paulo Dos Santos | 71c | 633.59$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.44 | 1,624 | 49.8%809 W · 815 L | -9.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb41e…db27backed Paulo Dos Santos | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.55 | 130 | 50.8%66 W · 64 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Paulo Dos Santos | 61c | 420.58$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.85 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…a814backed Paulo Dos Santos | 69c | 294.74$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.37 | 369 | 46.9%173 W · 196 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Alex Hernandez | 52c | 244$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.88 | 883 | 58.2%514 W · 369 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Paulo Dos Santos | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Alex Hernandez | 26c | 175.46$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.62 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6d…f2b4backed Alex Hernandez | 60c | 173.49$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.02 | 470 | 58.5%275 W · 195 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79b5…df9bbacked Paulo Dos Santos | 45c | 134.6$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.15 | 207 | 40.1%83 W · 124 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Paulo Dos Santos | 40c | 127.8$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.68 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Paulo Dos Santos | 45c | 124.3$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.86 | 2,462 | 38.5%948 W · 1,514 L | +93.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb77e…2ac6backed Paulo Dos Santos | 79c | 122.31$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.31 | 136 | 61.8%84 W · 52 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Alex Hernandez | 50c | 115.05$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.03 | 1,308 | 38.9%509 W · 799 L | -23.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Paulo Dos Santos | 55c | 115$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.55 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Paulo Dos Santos | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 960 | 49.5%475 W · 485 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bcd…c00fbacked Paulo Dos Santos | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 120 | 54.2%65 W · 55 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…b694backed Alex Hernandez | 42c | 110.54$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 1,429 | 44.2%631 W · 798 L | -23.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa042…cba4backed Paulo Dos Santos | 44c | 110.52$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.89 | 275 | 49.1%135 W · 140 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Paulo Dos Santos | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Alex Hernandez | 55c | 99.81$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.89 | 1,541 | 49.2%758 W · 783 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Alex Hernandez | 56c | 75.86$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.19 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77c9…f4dabacked Alex Hernandez | 26c | 53.85$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…0111backed Paulo Dos Santos | 58c | 49$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.35 | 1,102 | 56.5%623 W · 479 L | +52.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed Alex Hernandez | 21c | 47.61$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 220 | 35.9%79 W · 141 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…f409backed Paulo Dos Santos | 45c | 40.79$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.6 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88c5…4815backed Paulo Dos Santos | 45c | 40.37$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.36 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x571f…1d37backed Alex Hernandez | 41c | 39.49$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.35 | 1,065 | 54.7%583 W · 482 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Alex Hernandez | 39c | 33.3$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.12 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88f9…5c03backed Alex Hernandez | 33c | 31$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 365 | 57.3%209 W · 156 L | +16.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Paulo Dos Santos | 46c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 2,281 | 52%1,187 W · 1,094 L | +82.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Paulo Dos Santos | 41c | 24.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.75 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2002…a75ebacked Paulo Dos Santos | 52c | 22.16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.63 | 314 | 43.6%137 W · 177 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08c8…016abacked Alex Hernandez | 60c | 20.11$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 370 | 58.4%216 W · 154 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…07d9backed Paulo Dos Santos | 63c | 18.3$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.77 | 232 | 56.5%131 W · 101 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Paulo Dos Santos | 80c | 14.66$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.96 | 2,044 | 53.8%1,100 W · 944 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.