Tennis · resolved market
ITF Roda De Bara: Aren Baybars vs Cyril Vandermeersch
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xff8e33ece3dd5d8332a01a83f77d3b8864b8bc35bebebfb1d2a1fe049855caa6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Aren Baybarsof Aren Baybars, Cyril Vandermeersch
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,204
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,599
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,204 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3b0e…952fbacked Aren Baybars | 16c | 5,321$873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,448.12 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 48cpaid | +103.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Aren Baybars | 17c | 3,416$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,842.47 | 1,681 | 50%841 W · 840 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Cyril Vandermeersch | 43c | 2,220$955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$955.15 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…c867backed Aren Baybars | 17c | 2,000$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,659.99 | 492 | 52.4%258 W · 234 L | +28.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Cyril Vandermeersch | 66c | 1,507$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.24 | 1,624 | 49.8%809 W · 815 L | -9.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Aren Baybars | 16c | 954.65$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.44 | 1,776 | 48.6%863 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Aren Baybars | 10c | 869.12$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782.21 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26be…805fbacked Aren Baybars | 22c | 795$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.1 | 365 | 48.2%176 W · 189 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Cyril Vandermeersch | 14c | 766.53$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109 | 1,337 | 46%615 W · 722 L | +23.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9dd…13a2backed Aren Baybars | 21c | 564.94$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.94 | 245 | 57.6%141 W · 104 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Cyril Vandermeersch | 27c | 489.6$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.63 | 969 | 45.9%445 W · 524 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Aren Baybars | 43c | 478.57$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.57 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked Cyril Vandermeersch | 47c | 412.34$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.8 | 1,018 | 46.8%476 W · 542 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Aren Baybars | 26c | 386$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.64 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef29…2f1ebacked Cyril Vandermeersch | 65c | 354.82$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.54 | 1,111 | 45.3%503 W · 608 L | -35.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Aren Baybars | 14c | 354.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.69 | 960 | 49.5%475 W · 485 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Cyril Vandermeersch | 80c | 339.01$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.14 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Aren Baybars | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.1 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Aren Baybars | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.27 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e38…1b52backed Aren Baybars | 35c | 210$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.51 | 619 | 24.4%151 W · 468 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Cyril Vandermeersch | 52c | 197.59$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.14 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Aren Baybars | 29c | 173.03$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.74 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Aren Baybars | 22c | 159.09$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.09 | 1,356 | 38.3%520 W · 836 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Aren Baybars | 28c | 140$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.8 | 653 | 46.4%303 W · 350 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Cyril Vandermeersch | 75c | 138.91$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.49 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56f6…cda7backed Aren Baybars | 17c | 134$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.22 | 145 | 47.6%69 W · 76 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x660c…7f7abacked Aren Baybars | 20c | 129.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.71 | 134 | 49.3%66 W · 68 L | -10.4wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Aren Baybars | 22c | 122.73$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.73 | 2,151 | 37.3%802 W · 1,349 L | -27.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Aren Baybars | 22c | 120.89$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.29 | 923 | 55.8%515 W · 408 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf610…741cbacked Aren Baybars | 17c | 114.24$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.82 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Cyril Vandermeersch | 55c | 105.72$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.08 | 1,076 | 60.4%650 W · 426 L | +24.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Aren Baybars | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.44 | 1,822 | 41%747 W · 1,075 L | -30.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bef…5f5dbacked Aren Baybars | 30c | 98.01$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.4 | 139 | 65.5%91 W · 48 L | +9.6wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd9…039bbacked Aren Baybars | 23c | 88.86$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.36 | 1,008 | 38.3%386 W · 622 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc85…aa54backed Aren Baybars | 17c | 86.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.43 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Aren Baybars | 30c | 77$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.89 | 727 | 55.6%404 W · 323 L | +27.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Aren Baybars | 30c | 74.2$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.62 | 753 | 50.5%380 W · 373 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Aren Baybars | 22c | 72.53$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.58 | 925 | 54.8%507 W · 418 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9991…b2cebacked Aren Baybars | 34c | 71.69$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.32 | 69 | 56.5%39 W · 30 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Cyril Vandermeersch | 47c | 65.76$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.91 | 878 | 54.7%480 W · 398 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67a1…1c91backed Cyril Vandermeersch | 57c | 52.26$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 203 | 60.1%122 W · 81 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e61…2f1bbacked Aren Baybars | 22c | 46.36$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.16 | 291 | 48.5%141 W · 150 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Aren Baybars | 32c | 42.34$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.7 | 1,831 | 53%971 W · 860 L | -45.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…8689backed Aren Baybars | 30c | 38$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.64 | 275 | 50.2%138 W · 137 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc593…ea8cbacked Aren Baybars | 31c | 38$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.41 | 295 | 51.5%152 W · 143 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Aren Baybars | 34c | 30.96$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.43 | 601 | 41.1%247 W · 354 L | -11.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Aren Baybars | 34c | 29.42$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.42 | 743 | 46.3%344 W · 399 L | -28.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Aren Baybars | 68c | 20.48$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.48 | 896 | 63.7%571 W · 325 L | +63.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x061a…5a89backed Cyril Vandermeersch | 61c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 521 | 57%297 W · 224 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe855…d9aebacked Aren Baybars | 55c | 18.62$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.39 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 68cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.