Penn Quakers vs. Cornell Big Red

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xffa08ddccab3fe79bdc2e990e61215538c06d190c3a7f9f549b6b15d672bad54

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Penn Quakersof Penn Quakers, Cornell Big Red
Resolved: Jan 31, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $15,708
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $19,841

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,708 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xdbdd…a5debacked Cornell Big Red	25c	3,645$899 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$899.04	4,382	40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L	+23.7wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Penn Quakers	74c	2,638$1,965 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$673.21	1,910	49.6%947 W · 963 L	+30.4wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Cornell Big Red	12c	1,013$126 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$126.18	3,380	49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L	+30.4wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6fbb…39dabacked Cornell Big Red	26c	1,009$262 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$262.14	26	46.2%12 W · 14 L	+2.1wins	+0.08per pick	38cpaid	+16.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Penn Quakers	75c	881.63$662 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$219.69	2,555	41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L	-15.9wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-20.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Cornell Big Red	72c	786.84$567 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$566.91	12,422	49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L	+118.8wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd0d…7606backed Cornell Big Red	22c	635.4$142 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$141.5	28	39.3%11 W · 17 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	37cpaid	+12.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe622…ea5ebacked Penn Quakers	29c	500$145 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$355	371	42.6%158 W · 213 L	-4.1wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Cornell Big Red	25c	330.64$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.53	1,983	26.4%523 W · 1,460 L	-55.5wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	-12%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8013…5b52backed Cornell Big Red	25c	253$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.73	154	53.9%83 W · 71 L	+16.8wins	+0.11per pick	43cpaid	+19.6%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xdb69…c3e5backed Penn Quakers	79c	250$198 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.5	50	52%26 W · 24 L	+1.6wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad90…9a54backed Penn Quakers	75c	250$188 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62.5	5	60%3 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	64cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa90…b224backed Cornell Big Red	9c	228.22$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.48	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-1.5wins	-0.17per pick	28cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed Cornell Big Red	31c	213.64$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.29	668	31.4%210 W · 458 L	-43.1wins	-0.06per pick	38cpaid	-23%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Penn Quakers	72c	197.99$143 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.55	1,951	45.1%880 W · 1,071 L	-19.9wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Cornell Big Red	6c	169.79$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.25	573	35.6%204 W · 369 L	-27.3wins	-0.05per pick	40cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Cornell Big Red	22c	165$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.4	1,667	36.4%607 W · 1,060 L	-4.0wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe9f5…3e7abacked Cornell Big Red	34c	152.46$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.36	327	51.7%169 W · 158 L	+12.7wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+14.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8d84…6df0backed Penn Quakers	26c	152.31$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$112.71	536	46.5%249 W · 287 L	-24.3wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Penn Quakers	26c	122$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$90.28	2,579	47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L	-42.7wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Penn Quakers	69c	120.29$83 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.1	1,420	43.9%623 W · 797 L	+8.4wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Penn Quakers	74c	100$74 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26	2,254	42.2%951 W · 1,303 L	+3.4wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Penn Quakers	25c	46.88$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.16	200	26%52 W · 148 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Penn Quakers	75c	46.3$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.72	1,003	55.3%555 W · 448 L	+46.5wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Penn Quakers	80c	45$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9	934	47.9%447 W · 487 L	-19.2wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Cornell Big Red	38c	43$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.48	3,684	42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L	+32.6wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda4d…217abacked Penn Quakers	68c	41.83$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.48	35	60%21 W · 14 L	+1.9wins	+0.05per pick	55cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xea9b…2be5backed Penn Quakers	80c	40.07$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.07	33	57.6%19 W · 14 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	58cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6a72…f81dbacked Cornell Big Red	68c	40$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.15	870	47.2%411 W · 459 L	-23.9wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-21%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f22…3f6cbacked Penn Quakers	74c	35.82$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.14	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.9wins	-0.13per pick	56cpaid	-42.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2fd5…ef85backed Penn Quakers	77c	34.61$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.12	252	39.3%99 W · 153 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Cornell Big Red	74c	33.5$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.79	2,048	32.7%670 W · 1,378 L	-16.2wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e8f…1f83backed Cornell Big Red	75c	30$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.5	646	58.8%380 W · 266 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	59cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6f0…5701backed Penn Quakers	62c	27.72$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.56	369	42.3%156 W · 213 L	-9.5wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Penn Quakers	67c	25$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.2	682	54.3%370 W · 312 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c5d…76b0backed Penn Quakers	51c	23$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.27	17	29.4%5 W · 12 L	-2.4wins	-0.14per pick	43cpaid	-36%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xda16…6da2backed Penn Quakers	63c	20$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.32	383	45.4%174 W · 209 L	-18.4wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Cornell Big Red	75c	15.76$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.74	974	47.9%467 W · 507 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Penn Quakers vs. Cornell Big Redthis page
Penn Quakers vs. Cornell Big Red: O/U 173.5Under won
Penn Quakers vs. Cornell Big Red: O/U 174.5Under won
Spread: Cornell Big Red (-7.5)Penn Quakers won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Penn Quakers vs. Cornell Big Red

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event