Asian League · resolved market
Will Jeju SK FC vs. FC Anyang end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xffb8597d824075d56eaea2329ce00c60759dac9262d376652be07e51c2cac3ab
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,516
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,224
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,516 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 32c | 5,604$1,802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,802.43 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf888…1c98backed No | 67c | 4,053$2,724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,329.5 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +3.9wins | +0.23per pick | 53cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 73c | 1,741$1,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.69 | 1,063 | 42%446 W · 617 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d8e…7fe3backed No | 73c | 1,500$1,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d46…3e2dbacked No | 68c | 1,455$989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.57 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed No | 68c | 1,426$970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.81 | 90 | 41.1%37 W · 53 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6580…6fa8backed Yes | 30c | 1,325$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.75 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | +4.6wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 69c | 1,251$869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.33 | 399 | 54.6%218 W · 181 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 70c | 1,249$871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.32 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8414…2ddebacked No | 66c | 1,176$776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.12 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 285 | 32.3%92 W · 193 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 26c | 904.01$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.98 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0650…865cbacked No | 70c | 857.99$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.4 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ec…4d49backed No | 72c | 697.84$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.84 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +5.1wins | +0.23per pick | 45cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked No | 75c | 562.66$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.59 | 282 | 51.4%145 W · 137 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked No | 66c | 560.24$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.48 | 147 | 45.6%67 W · 80 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed No | 75c | 530.96$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.3 | 201 | 32.3%65 W · 136 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Yes | 23c | 499.99$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 98 | 25.5%25 W · 73 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked No | 78c | 476.03$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.77 | 188 | 51.6%97 W · 91 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 73c | 426.34$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.82 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d9…d7f5backed Yes | 26c | 380$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 56 | 12.5%7 W · 49 L | -6.4wins | -0.11per pick | 24cpaid | -54%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0c…5292backed Yes | 30c | 347.33$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.2 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7106…1caabacked Yes | 33c | 333.76$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 69 | 24.6%17 W · 52 L | -6.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9950…1432backed Yes | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed No | 71c | 322.33$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.08 | 151 | 33.8%51 W · 100 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 29c | 311$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.19 | 828 | 42.4%351 W · 477 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8de6…8b3cbacked No | 68c | 293.43$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.43 | 126 | 60.3%76 W · 50 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked No | 74c | 284.77$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.26 | 151 | 60.9%92 W · 59 L | +9.7wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd52c…6c59backed Yes | 32c | 250$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed No | 68c | 249.99$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1e…f21ebacked No | 74c | 228$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.2 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee3…cab9backed Yes | 11c | 220$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed No | 75c | 167.23$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.1 | 185 | 42.7%79 W · 106 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2843…0ac5backed Yes | 27c | 165.5$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.81 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…8052backed Yes | 12c | 161.31$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd7…d5a3backed No | 68c | 146.37$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.38 | 110 | 53.6%59 W · 51 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 76c | 140.69$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.34 | 708 | 42.5%301 W · 407 L | -26.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4c…2e02backed Yes | 26c | 115.61$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 134 | 63.4%85 W · 49 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fca…819abacked Yes | 35c | 115.25$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Yes | 32c | 107.36$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.86 | 225 | 44%99 W · 126 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd983…d92dbacked Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked No | 70c | 101.92$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.58 | 182 | 56%102 W · 80 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 70c | 101$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.81 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ed…8f34backed Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 69c | 98.55$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.55 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked No | 69c | 97.81$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.32 | 94 | 58.5%55 W · 39 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 34c | 82.94$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02f7…dd8fbacked Yes | 30c | 77$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 76c | 73.56$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.68 | 1,028 | 41.7%429 W · 599 L | -31.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b3…4756backed No | 73c | 68.82$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.83 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27cf…979abacked No | 73c | 68.82$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.83 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 71c | 65.14$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.89 | 478 | 60.3%288 W · 190 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72fc…b1fbbacked Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed No | 66c | 60$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 149 | 49%73 W · 76 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 70c | 55.77$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.73 | 543 | 54.9%298 W · 245 L | -12.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed No | 79c | 55$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.38 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked No | 66c | 54.82$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.64 | 263 | 48.7%128 W · 135 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e45…39dabacked No | 68c | 50.02$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.01 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…bb11backed Yes | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 72c | 48.54$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.63 | 721 | 44.1%318 W · 403 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Yes | 28c | 45.9$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 324 | 57.1%185 W · 139 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked No | 77c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.39 | 216 | 52.3%113 W · 103 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4552…eac6backed No | 69c | 35.72$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.07 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…d093backed No | 70c | 33.33$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 129 | 51.9%67 W · 62 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked No | 69c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.67 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed No | 69c | 24.5$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.53 | 276 | 39.1%108 W · 168 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked No | 69c | 18.62$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.77 | 72 | 63.9%46 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa233…dfe8backed No | 71c | 17.56$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.09 | 40 | 85%34 W · 6 L | +6.7wins | +0.17per pick | 68cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 70c | 15.73$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.72 | 165 | 61.2%101 W · 64 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Jeju SK FC vs. FC Anyang end in a draw?this page
- Will FC Anyang win on 2026-05-17?Yes won
- Will Jeju SK FC win on 2026-05-17?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.