TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x13e3…6998

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
25
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 53 out of 100; worst Tennis at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennislast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT1747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cincinnati Open: Sloane Stephens vs Sinja Krausbacked Sloane Stephens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$58.86
Cincinnati Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Michael Zhengbacked Michael Zheng · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$36.54
Cincinnati Open: Xinyu Wang vs Hanne Vandewinkelbacked Xinyu Wang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$54.6
Cincinnati Open: Nuno Borges vs Thanasi Kokkinakisbacked Nuno Borges · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$26.95
Cincinnati Open: Juncheng Shang vs Lorenzo Sonegobacked Juncheng Shang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.4
Cincinnati Open: Mark Lajal vs Juan Manuel Cerundolobacked Mark Lajal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.44
Cincinnati Open: Tomas Machac vs Pablo Carreno Bustabacked Tomas Machac · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.35
Cincinnati Open: Nikola Bartunkova vs Alina Charaevabacked Nikola Bartunkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$20.59
Cincinnati Open: Coleman Wong vs Daniel Altmaierbacked Coleman Wong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.02
Cincinnati Open: Sara Bejlek vs Karolina Pliskovabacked Karolina Pliskova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.47
National Bank Open: Ben Shelton vs Brandon Nakashimabacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$24.75
Cincinnati Open: Denis Shapovalov vs Adrian Mannarinobacked Denis Shapovalov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$29.6
Cincinnati Open: Ashlyn Krueger vs Lois Boissonbacked Ashlyn Krueger · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.4
Cincinnati Open: Darja Vidmanova vs Anhelina Kalininabacked Darja Vidmanova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.4
Stuttgart Open: Yannick Hanfmann vs Aleksandar Kovacevicbacked Yannick Hanfmann · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$7.4
Birmingham: Billy Harris vs Yunchaokete Bubacked Billy Harris · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.8
Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole: Daria Kasatkina vs Ann Libacked Daria Kasatkina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.41
All 17 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+34.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$9.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AS Roma win on 2026-04-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$7.17
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$4.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.95
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.