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Wallet 0x2414…a4a4

Rebuilt .

Best in La Liga247 qualified picks$12,794 staked7 of 19 categories below 50first seen Aug 3, 2026, EDT

Score by category

The number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.19 categories, best first

Parlays in detail

44-0.05 edge/pickInactiveSee the full Parlays board
Qualified picksEvery pick this wallet made in this category that is big enough to count as a real opinion, and cheap enough for a follower to still get the edge. Nothing on this site is scored from anything else.
160
Win rateHow often this wallet's qualified picks won, with the wins and losses beside it: 62% of 11 picks is not the same as 62% of 1,100. Every pick is held to the end: it is graded on how the market settled, even if the wallet sold early. No board is ranked by this, because favourites win often.
8.1% 13 W · 147 L
vs expectedWins, minus the wins the prices this wallet paid already implied. +8 means eight more wins than those prices were pricing in. This number tells a forecaster apart from someone who bought favourites.
-9.9
Realizable edgePer qualified pick: how far this wallet beat the price it paid, after charging the worse price a follower gets. Edge is what the wallet got; this is what tailing it would have got. If two cents more a share wipes the edge out, a follower can't use it.
-0.06
Avg entryThe average price this wallet paid, in cents, over its qualified picks, weighted by how much it put on each. Only buys count: selling later does not change it. 88c next to a 90% win rate means a record built on heavy favourites.
14c
ROI per pickThe average return on one pick, held to the end. Every pick counts the same, whatever its size. That is how this column tells a record earned over many picks from one carried by a few large ones.
-41.3%
StakedThe money this wallet put on its qualified picks in this category: what it risked, not how many times it had an opinion. Nine hundred one-dollar picks and nine hundred thousand-dollar picks are not the same wallet. This figure is never added to anything in what this wallet holds right now, below: the two cover different positions, measured on different days.
$2,907
When it betsWhether this wallet bets before the match starts or once it is under way. It shows the share of its qualified picks in this category first bought before the start of play, and the share bought in play, at or after the start. The start is the one Polymarket records: a match's kick-off or, for weather, the start of the day being forecast. An in-play bet is placed while the price is moving, so it is harder to tail in time. This is measured only where play has a start (sports, esports and weather). Under 10 such picks there is no figure, only the count. The figures also show how many picks the shares rest on and how long before or after the start the wallet usually buys: hover them, or open the JSON version of this record.
—no start of play
HoldsHow long this wallet usually keeps what it buys here. It is the median, over every pick it has in this category, of the time from its first buy on the side it was judged on until it sold those shares, or until the market settled if it never sold. When it bets says when the wallet got in. This says how long it stayed, and a wallet can be early and gone in six seconds. It counts every pick, not only the qualified ones, on purpose: otherwise a wallet that flips its expensive positions and holds its cheap ones would be judged on the half that flatters it. TO THE END: most of those picks were held until the market settled. RESELLS: most were sold before that, so following it means selling when it sells. Its record here is scored as if every pick were held to the end. UNFOLLOWABLE: under 1 min, the wallet is left out of this category's ranking. Its edge may be real, but nobody could follow it. We can only see a wallet move every fifteen seconds, so a position that lasts six seconds is gone before you hear about it.
—no market to hold
At your priceWhat a follower would have made on each qualified pick here, buying the same side 2 minutes after this wallet did, at the market price at that moment. Beside it is the edge: what the wallet made at its own price, on the same picks. The word under it is the share of the edge a follower keeps. A wallet is left out of a category's ranking when a follower who bought the same side 2 minutes later would have kept less than 75% of its edge there. The edge may be real, but the price had moved before anyone following could act. This figure is generous to the wallet: a pick nobody traded in that window counts at the wallet's own price. The word also shows how many picks were measured. Realizable edge is a different figure: it charges every pick the same fixed cost, while this one charges each pick what the market charged.
—no market price
Last settledThe day this wallet’s latest qualified pick in this category settled. Days are in US Eastern time, the time zone Polymarket uses for its markets. An American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other time zone would show the day after the game. INACTIVE: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there. The score is kept and the wallet keeps its page here. It only leaves the default leaderboard. If it was in the top 50 and its score would still put it there, it still appears in the feed.
Oct 17, 2026, EDT

If you had taileda hypothetical, not a forecast

Nothing to tail here. This wallet has no qualified Parlays picks that settled in the period shown, so there was nothing to put a stake on.

A hypothetical, built only from this wallet’s own qualified Parlays picks. It puts $50 on each one, held to the end, at the price the wallet paid plus the 0c of slippage TailMyPicks adds in its score. It shows what those picks did, not what the next one will do. It is before any fees you pay where you bet.

Parlays picks

SettledTicketResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Oct 17, 2026, EDTNew York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays AND Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Dodgers AND Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians AND Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Dodgers4 legsDid not (open this parlay on its own page)7c$10-100%-$10
Oct 17, 2026, EDTWill there be a run scored in the first inning?: Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians AND Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians2 legsDid not (open this parlay on its own page)43c$21-100%-$21
Oct 14, 2026, EDTChicago Cubs vs. San Diego Padres AND Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees2 legsDid not (open this parlay on its own page)16c$30-100%-$30
Oct 14, 2026, EDTChicago Cubs vs. San Diego Padres AND Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves AND Chicago White Sox vs. Houston Astros AND Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees4 legsDid not (open this parlay on its own page)6c$19-100%-$19
Oct 14, 2026, EDTPhiladelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves AND Chicago White Sox vs. Houston Astros AND Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees3 legsDid not (open this parlay on its own page)10c$40-100%-$40
Oct 14, 2026, EDTPhiladelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves AND Chicago White Sox vs. Houston Astros AND Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees3 legsDid not (open this parlay on its own page)12c$40-100%-$40
Oct 13, 2026, EDTChicago White Sox vs. Houston Astros AND Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves2 legsDid not (open this parlay on its own page)35c$59-100%-$59
Oct 13, 2026, EDTChicago White Sox vs. Houston Astros AND Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves AND Chicago Cubs vs. San Diego Padres3 legsDid not (open this parlay on its own page)12c$20-100%-$20
Oct 13, 2026, EDTChicago White Sox vs. Houston Astros AND Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees AND Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves AND Chicago Cubs vs. San Diego Padres4 legsDid not (open this parlay on its own page)11c$20-100%-$20
Oct 13, 2026, EDTChicago White Sox vs. Houston Astros AND Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees AND Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves3 legsDid not (open this parlay on its own page)10c$100-100%-$100
Oct 9, 2026, EDTTampa Bay Rays vs. Philadelphia Phillies AND Colorado Rockies vs. Chicago White Sox2 legsDid not (open this parlay on its own page)21c$10-100%-$10
Oct 9, 2026, EDTTampa Bay Rays vs. Philadelphia Phillies AND Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Detroit Tigers2 legsDid not (open this parlay on its own page)5c$10-100%-$10
Oct 8, 2026, EDTMiami Marlins vs. Chicago Cubs AND Chicago White Sox vs. Kansas City Royals AND St. Louis Cardinals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates3 legsDid not (open this parlay on its own page)12c$11-100%-$11
Oct 7, 2026, EDTSan Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers AND New York Mets vs. Texas Rangers AND Houston Astros vs. Seattle Mariners3 legsDid not (open this parlay on its own page)19c$12-100%-$12
Oct 7, 2026, EDTMiami Marlins vs. Chicago Cubs AND New York Mets vs. Texas Rangers AND Cincinnati Reds vs. Atlanta Braves3 legsDid not (open this parlay on its own page)18c$10-100%-$10
Oct 7, 2026, EDTMiami Marlins vs. Chicago Cubs AND Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Colorado Rockies AND Cincinnati Reds vs. Atlanta Braves3 legsDid not (open this parlay on its own page)24c$20-100%-$20
Oct 7, 2026, EDTToronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles AND Cleveland Guardians vs. Boston Red Sox AND Milwaukee Brewers vs. Philadelphia Phillies3 legsDid not (open this parlay on its own page)12c$20-100%-$20
Oct 7, 2026, EDTSt. Louis Cardinals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates AND Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles AND Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees3 legsDid not (open this parlay on its own page)10c$30-100%-$30
Oct 7, 2026, EDTSt. Louis Cardinals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates AND Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles AND Milwaukee Brewers vs. Philadelphia Phillies3 legsDid not (open this parlay on its own page)10c$15-100%-$15
Oct 6, 2026, EDTMiami Marlins vs. Chicago Cubs AND Los Angeles Angels vs. Athletics2 legsDid not (open this parlay on its own page)26c$33-100%-$33
Oct 6, 2026, EDTMiami Marlins vs. Chicago Cubs AND Los Angeles Angels vs. Athletics AND Minnesota Twins vs. San Francisco Giants AND Houston Astros vs. Seattle Mariners4 legsDid not (open this parlay on its own page)9c$20-100%-$20
Oct 6, 2026, EDTMiami Marlins vs. Chicago Cubs AND Cleveland Guardians vs. Boston Red Sox2 legsDid not (open this parlay on its own page)11c$20-100%-$20
Oct 6, 2026, EDTWashington Nationals vs. Detroit Tigers AND Cleveland Guardians vs. Boston Red Sox AND Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees3 legsDid not (open this parlay on its own page)9c$30-100%-$30
Oct 5, 2026, EDTWashington Nationals vs. Detroit Tigers AND Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles2 legsDid not (open this parlay on its own page)23c$30-100%-$30
Oct 4, 2026, EDTSeattle Mariners vs. Colorado Rockies AND Atlanta Braves vs. Houston Astros AND Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Sox3 legsDid not (open this parlay on its own page)13c$19-100%-$19
Showing 25 of 160 parlays, newest first.A parlay pays a dollar a share only if every leg wins, and its Entry is the price of the whole ticket, market maker’s margin included. That is why most of the Parlays board sits below 50, and why that is normal, not a board full of bad forecasters.
About this page

What is a Tail Score?

A score out of 100, per category. 50 means no edge at all: this wallet did about as well as the prices it paid said it would. Above 50, it beat those prices. Below 50, it did worse.

The scale never moves. 100 means beating the prices paid by 0.45 per pick, and 0 means losing to them by the same. That holds for every wallet, on every page, every month. So a score you screenshot today keeps its meaning, and any two wallets can be compared.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, scores run from about 5 to 87. That is the price of a scale that never moves, and it is why a score keeps its meaning.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four picks in five and still score below 50 if the market already priced those outcomes at 90c. It paid for those wins instead of finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry figures of each category tell the two apart.

The score is pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence, on purpose. Three lucky picks do not make a high score. Several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest score over thousands of picks tells you something a high score over twelve does not.

Because of this pull toward 50, a category score is a cautious reading. A wallet’s headline figure is its best category, so it always plays down how badly the wallet does in its worst one. That is why this page scores each category on its own rather than as one blended number.

Not every trade counts. A pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks only scores what a wallet can be judged on: positions held to the end, in markets with enough volume to count, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
  • The position was at least $10.
  • The market has settled, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by us, not measured.