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EventUs Midterms

TX-15 House Election Winner

Wallets last checked .

Us MidtermsSettled: Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Will the Democratic Party win the TX-15 House seat? (opens in a new tab)

Settled: Yes won. Yes: 3 wallets, $113 · No: 12 wallets, $1,157 3 of 15 wallets backed the winner.

What these columns mean
Wallet
A wallet that was in the top 200 of Us Midterms when this market was played, or in its top 50 for a market played before 1 November 2026, with its place on that board tonight. The top 50 of the time come first. A wallet that has gone quiet keeps its place for as long as its score would still put it there: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there.
Side
The side of this market the wallet's pick was on.
Result
Whether that side won. A pick is held to the end: it is won or lost even if the wallet sold before the market settled.
Staked
What the wallet paid for its pick on this side.
Entry
The average price the wallet paid on its side, in cents.
Held to the end
What the pick made or lost held to the end, at its entry price. It is not what the wallet cashed: it may have sold before the market settled.
Tail Score
The number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.
The pick on this marketSettled markets
WalletA wallet that was in the top 200 of Us Midterms when this market was played, or in its top 50 for a market played before 1 November 2026, with its place on that board tonight. The top 50 of the time come first. A wallet that has gone quiet keeps its place for as long as its score would still put it there: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there.SideThe side of this market the wallet's pick was on.ResultWhether that side won. A pick is held to the end: it is won or lost even if the wallet sold before the market settled.StakedWhat the wallet paid for its pick on this side.EntryThe average price the wallet paid on its side, in cents.Held to the endWhat the pick made or lost held to the end, at its entry price. It is not what the wallet cashed: it may have sold before the market settled.Tail ScoreThe number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.
0x0547…fb35#10 on the boardYeswon (open this pick)$1679c+$4.268
0xb06c…b574#52 on the boardNolost (open this pick)$1822c-$18.0463
0x9dd9…08bd#112 on the boardNolost (open this pick)$4274c-$41.9961
0x2f26…0d8fNo place on the board tonightNolost (open this pick)$8123c-$81.1651
0x0518…5da2#11,808 on the boardNolost (open this pick)$2644c-$25.7149
Top 51 to 200
0xa667…ceb3#89 on the boardYeswon (open this pick)$2563c+$14.9862
0xd8d5…8935#260 on the boardNolost (open this pick)$53519c-$534.5358
0x915d…5c6a#363 on the boardYeswon (open this pick)$7258c+$51.9157
0xe040…824f#780 on the boardNolost (open this pick)$5342c-$52.6555
0x8929…733e#1,481 on the boardNolost (open this pick)$9913c-$98.6453
0xa169…1b73#2,770 on the boardNolost (open this pick)$10514c-$10552
0x8373…f0bc#2,972 on the boardNolost (open this pick)$1645c-$15.8252
0x7248…7e72No place on the board tonightNolost (open this pick)$5017c-$5050
0xeed8…35f0#11,492 on the boardNolost (open this pick)$1511c-$14.949
0x1387…55f8#12,864 on the boardNolost (open this pick)$11823c-$118.3448

Will the Republican Party win the TX-15 House seat? (opens in a new tab)

Settled: No won. Yes: 5 wallets, $601 · No: 9 wallets, $2,614 9 of 14 wallets backed the winner.

What these columns mean
Wallet
A wallet that was in the top 200 of Us Midterms when this market was played, or in its top 50 for a market played before 1 November 2026, with its place on that board tonight. The top 50 of the time come first. A wallet that has gone quiet keeps its place for as long as its score would still put it there: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there.
Side
The side of this market the wallet's pick was on.
Result
Whether that side won. A pick is held to the end: it is won or lost even if the wallet sold before the market settled.
Staked
What the wallet paid for its pick on this side.
Entry
The average price the wallet paid on its side, in cents.
Held to the end
What the pick made or lost held to the end, at its entry price. It is not what the wallet cashed: it may have sold before the market settled.
Tail Score
The number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.
The pick on this marketSettled markets
WalletA wallet that was in the top 200 of Us Midterms when this market was played, or in its top 50 for a market played before 1 November 2026, with its place on that board tonight. The top 50 of the time come first. A wallet that has gone quiet keeps its place for as long as its score would still put it there: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there.SideThe side of this market the wallet's pick was on.ResultWhether that side won. A pick is held to the end: it is won or lost even if the wallet sold before the market settled.StakedWhat the wallet paid for its pick on this side.EntryThe average price the wallet paid on its side, in cents.Held to the endWhat the pick made or lost held to the end, at its entry price. It is not what the wallet cashed: it may have sold before the market settled.Tail ScoreThe number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.
0x98d0…f14a#22 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$1,66075c+$545.5765
0x9dd9…08bd#112 on the boardYeslost (open this pick)$2742c-$26.6561
0xbea0…e19d#531 on the boardYeslost (open this pick)$1350c-$12.6556
0x2d6c…e3f5#978 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$5675c+$19.0754
0x03e1…e180#1,050 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$1352c+$12.4254
0x625b…22cf#10,463 on the boardYeslost (open this pick)$1922c-$18.8649
Top 51 to 200
0x88d7…5762#21 on the boardYeslost (open this pick)$5614c-$5666
0xa667…ceb3#89 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$3157c+$23.3262
0xd8d5…8935#260 on the boardYeslost (open this pick)$48715c-$48758
0xe040…824f#780 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$5776c+$17.855
0x7dcf…a7bd#809 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$2539c+$38.9855
0x8929…733e#1,481 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$47069c+$210.9253
0x8373…f0bc#2,972 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$1955c+$15.652
0xeed8…35f0#11,492 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$28178c+$77.5149
About this page

A settled market shows the wallets that were in the top 200 when it was played, the same wallets its open page showed, with the pick each one held to the end and whether it won. Their place on the board is tonight's. A market played before 1 November 2026, when we began to keep the top 200, shows the top 50 of that time.