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EventUs Midterms

Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement before the midterms?

Wallets last checked .

Us MidtermsSettled: Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Will there be no Hormuz agreement? (opens in a new tab)

Settled: Yes won. Yes: 0 wallets, $0 · No: 15 wallets, $2,100 0 of 15 wallets backed the winner.

What these columns mean
Wallet
A wallet that was in the top 200 of Us Midterms when this market was played, or in its top 50 for a market played before 1 November 2026, with its place on that board tonight. The top 50 of the time come first. A wallet that has gone quiet keeps its place for as long as its score would still put it there: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there.
Side
The side of this market the wallet's pick was on.
Result
Whether that side won. A pick is held to the end: it is won or lost even if the wallet sold before the market settled.
Staked
What the wallet paid for its pick on this side.
Entry
The average price the wallet paid on its side, in cents.
Held to the end
What the pick made or lost held to the end, at its entry price. It is not what the wallet cashed: it may have sold before the market settled.
Tail Score
The number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.
The pick on this marketSettled markets
WalletA wallet that was in the top 200 of Us Midterms when this market was played, or in its top 50 for a market played before 1 November 2026, with its place on that board tonight. The top 50 of the time come first. A wallet that has gone quiet keeps its place for as long as its score would still put it there: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there.SideThe side of this market the wallet's pick was on.ResultWhether that side won. A pick is held to the end: it is won or lost even if the wallet sold before the market settled.StakedWhat the wallet paid for its pick on this side.EntryThe average price the wallet paid on its side, in cents.Held to the endWhat the pick made or lost held to the end, at its entry price. It is not what the wallet cashed: it may have sold before the market settled.Tail ScoreThe number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.
0xf440…b009#50 on the boardNolost (open this pick)$73411c-$734.4263
0xfd39…9ec8#305 on the boardNolost (open this pick)$8316c-$82.5458
0x4b8a…f4a4#567 on the boardNolost (open this pick)$28014c-$280.4356
0x671a…2f1e#669 on the boardNolost (open this pick)$208c-$19.9955
0xc695…5cfb#1,869 on the boardNolost (open this pick)$3819c-$37.653
Top 51 to 200
0x3690…e16f#547 on the boardNolost (open this pick)$564c-$55.6956
0xe040…824f#780 on the boardNolost (open this pick)$296c-$29.4155
0x7dcf…a7bd#809 on the boardNolost (open this pick)$167c-$15.8455
0xbd91…6262#956 on the boardNolost (open this pick)$1411c-$13.5554
0xec35…1d90#1,034 on the boardNolost (open this pick)$1313c-$12.9154
0x9d0d…2e6d#4,766 on the boardNolost (open this pick)$1249c-$124.4851
0xc3cd…816c#5,642 on the boardNolost (open this pick)$8614c-$86.4251
0x7248…7e72No place on the board tonightNolost (open this pick)$3779c-$377.250
0xae2a…384d#8,221 on the boardNolost (open this pick)$165c-$15.5850
0xeed8…35f0#11,492 on the boardNolost (open this pick)$2148c-$213.9849

Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Democrats win the Senate? (opens in a new tab)

Settled: No won. Yes: 12 wallets, $1,590 · No: 0 wallets, $0 0 of 12 wallets backed the winner.

What these columns mean
Wallet
A wallet that was in the top 200 of Us Midterms when this market was played, or in its top 50 for a market played before 1 November 2026, with its place on that board tonight. The top 50 of the time come first. A wallet that has gone quiet keeps its place for as long as its score would still put it there: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there.
Side
The side of this market the wallet's pick was on.
Result
Whether that side won. A pick is held to the end: it is won or lost even if the wallet sold before the market settled.
Staked
What the wallet paid for its pick on this side.
Entry
The average price the wallet paid on its side, in cents.
Held to the end
What the pick made or lost held to the end, at its entry price. It is not what the wallet cashed: it may have sold before the market settled.
Tail Score
The number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.
The pick on this marketSettled markets
WalletA wallet that was in the top 200 of Us Midterms when this market was played, or in its top 50 for a market played before 1 November 2026, with its place on that board tonight. The top 50 of the time come first. A wallet that has gone quiet keeps its place for as long as its score would still put it there: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there.SideThe side of this market the wallet's pick was on.ResultWhether that side won. A pick is held to the end: it is won or lost even if the wallet sold before the market settled.StakedWhat the wallet paid for its pick on this side.EntryThe average price the wallet paid on its side, in cents.Held to the endWhat the pick made or lost held to the end, at its entry price. It is not what the wallet cashed: it may have sold before the market settled.Tail ScoreThe number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.
0xf440…b009#50 on the boardYeslost (open this pick)$1,2396c-$1,238.963
0xff7c…b233#101 on the boardYeslost (open this pick)$776c-$76.6961
0xfd39…9ec8#305 on the boardYeslost (open this pick)$4810c-$47.558
0x43cb…84df#1,084 on the boardYeslost (open this pick)$1113c-$10.9354
0xc695…5cfb#1,869 on the boardYeslost (open this pick)$2010c-$19.653
0x625b…22cf#10,463 on the boardYeslost (open this pick)$268c-$26.449
Top 51 to 200
0x3690…e16f#547 on the boardYeslost (open this pick)$496c-$48.6856
0xa278…3369#966 on the boardYeslost (open this pick)$114c-$10.7954
0xec35…1d90#1,034 on the boardYeslost (open this pick)$116c-$11.1654
0xa169…1b73#2,770 on the boardYeslost (open this pick)$2310c-$23.3752
0xd9fe…db0dNo place on the board tonightYeslost (open this pick)$158c-$14.6651
0xc3cd…816c#5,642 on the boardYeslost (open this pick)$616c-$61.1751

Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate? (opens in a new tab)

Settled: No won. Yes: 6 wallets, $922 · No: 0 wallets, $0 0 of 6 wallets backed the winner.

What these columns mean
Wallet
A wallet that was in the top 200 of Us Midterms when this market was played, or in its top 50 for a market played before 1 November 2026, with its place on that board tonight. The top 50 of the time come first. A wallet that has gone quiet keeps its place for as long as its score would still put it there: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there.
Side
The side of this market the wallet's pick was on.
Result
Whether that side won. A pick is held to the end: it is won or lost even if the wallet sold before the market settled.
Staked
What the wallet paid for its pick on this side.
Entry
The average price the wallet paid on its side, in cents.
Held to the end
What the pick made or lost held to the end, at its entry price. It is not what the wallet cashed: it may have sold before the market settled.
Tail Score
The number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.
The pick on this marketSettled markets
WalletA wallet that was in the top 200 of Us Midterms when this market was played, or in its top 50 for a market played before 1 November 2026, with its place on that board tonight. The top 50 of the time come first. A wallet that has gone quiet keeps its place for as long as its score would still put it there: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there.SideThe side of this market the wallet's pick was on.ResultWhether that side won. A pick is held to the end: it is won or lost even if the wallet sold before the market settled.StakedWhat the wallet paid for its pick on this side.EntryThe average price the wallet paid on its side, in cents.Held to the endWhat the pick made or lost held to the end, at its entry price. It is not what the wallet cashed: it may have sold before the market settled.Tail ScoreThe number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.
0xf440…b009#50 on the boardYeslost (open this pick)$6085c-$608.4563
0xff7c…b233#101 on the boardYeslost (open this pick)$1693c-$168.661
0xfd39…9ec8#305 on the boardYeslost (open this pick)$357c-$34.9858
0x4b8a…f4a4#567 on the boardYeslost (open this pick)$515c-$50.5456
Top 51 to 200
0x3690…e16f#547 on the boardYeslost (open this pick)$342c-$34.3656
0xa278…3369#966 on the boardYeslost (open this pick)$254c-$24.754
About this page

A settled market shows the wallets that were in the top 200 when it was played, the same wallets its open page showed, with the pick each one held to the end and whether it won. Their place on the board is tonight's. A market played before 1 November 2026, when we began to keep the top 200, shows the top 50 of that time.