MLB · resolved market
Athletics vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x00d22d8c0e5b66af8c6e3f0fd9b1c61dbdca903a7c45d475153cf152fa002047
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $240,029
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $239,941
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $240,029 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5e94…5ba1backed Over | 51c | 203,921$103,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100,779.35 | 481 | 48.6%234 W · 247 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 50c | 86,044$42,737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42,737.05 | 4,368 | 47.4%2,070 W · 2,298 L | -79.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e77…8c33backed Under | 49c | 38,926$19,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,073.87 | 283 | 50.9%144 W · 139 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b88…8f33backed Under | 51c | 20,306$10,341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,341.03 | 448 | 51.6%231 W · 217 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Under | 49c | 20,100$9,849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,849 | 277 | 53.1%147 W · 130 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Under | 50c | 15,930$7,885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,885.35 | 3,509 | 51%1,789 W · 1,720 L | +53.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 50c | 13,201$6,536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,535.59 | 11,519 | 52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L | +213.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Over | 49c | 7,387$3,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,767.33 | 411 | 49.1%202 W · 209 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Under | 49c | 4,190$2,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,045.58 | 925 | 54.1%500 W · 425 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81e…e3d0backed Under | 49c | 3,936$1,929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,928.74 | 323 | 51.7%167 W · 156 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 50c | 3,825$1,913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,912.5 | 1,586 | 48.5%770 W · 816 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 447 | 49.2%220 W · 227 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aca…61fdbacked Over | 49c | 2,004$982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,022.24 | 274 | 54.4%149 W · 125 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Under | 51c | 1,665$849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$849.14 | 1,358 | 50.8%690 W · 668 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Under | 51c | 1,567$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.18 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Under | 49c | 1,552$761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760.59 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 50c | 1,286$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.17 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 45c | 1,016$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.84 | 2,093 | 51.1%1,070 W · 1,023 L | +44.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0b…d29dbacked Over | 47c | 1,012$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.47 | 181 | 51.9%94 W · 87 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…af5dbacked Over | 52c | 674$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.52 | 274 | 49.3%135 W · 139 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 49c | 653.92$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.8 | 8,403 | 47.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L | +76.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 68c | 401$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.09 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Over | 29c | 340.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.66 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc6…4b55backed Over | 49c | 306.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.12 | 90 | 62.2%56 W · 34 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Over | 51c | 300$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 592 | 52.7%312 W · 280 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 42c | 291.5$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.97 | 5,149 | 54.7%2,815 W · 2,334 L | +231.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 50c | 277.7$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.67 | 4,515 | 48.8%2,205 W · 2,310 L | -46.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 51c | 245$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.37 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed Under | 49c | 240$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.32 | 738 | 49.3%364 W · 374 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd56c…bdd5backed Under | 52c | 213.06$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.29 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe134…f6dabacked Under | 53c | 208.88$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.26 | 765 | 58%444 W · 321 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf15b…000fbacked Under | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 122 | 53.3%65 W · 57 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0612…559abacked Under | 49c | 188$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.12 | 612 | 50.5%309 W · 303 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Over | 51c | 176.82$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.64 | 509 | 49.5%252 W · 257 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 48c | 173.24$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.16 | 1,301 | 50.2%653 W · 648 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3992…349cbacked Over | 45c | 166.67$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.67 | 167 | 44.9%75 W · 92 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 52c | 161.13$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.3 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54d1…13f4backed Under | 49c | 160$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.4 | 391 | 51.9%203 W · 188 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Under | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 56c | 125.5$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.71 | 5,812 | 43.7%2,541 W · 3,271 L | -188.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…5273backed Under | 52c | 120.59$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.49 | 536 | 44.6%239 W · 297 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Over | 51c | 105$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.45 | 736 | 50.7%373 W · 363 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 1,279 | 51.2%655 W · 624 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4dd…23ffbacked Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 394 | 40.9%161 W · 233 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Over | 51c | 99.98$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.32 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb68c…7ef8backed Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd6b…e0f3backed Under | 55c | 85.33$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.04 | 175 | 53.7%94 W · 81 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb410…56b7backed Under | 49c | 85.08$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.69 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Over | 51c | 78.01$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.23 | 614 | 50.8%312 W · 302 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f3d…95b1backed Under | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 286 | 39.2%112 W · 174 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Under | 48c | 62.07$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 647 | 52.4%339 W · 308 L | +28.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87f8…7de3backed Over | 52c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 383 | 42%161 W · 222 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 51c | 54.75$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.72 | 2,995 | 47.9%1,435 W · 1,560 L | +12.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,172 | 49.1%575 W · 597 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6195…388abacked Under | 49c | 47$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.03 | 341 | 49.3%168 W · 173 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 51c | 43.15$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.14 | 3,841 | 42.2%1,622 W · 2,219 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a66…a5d7backed Under | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 209 | 50.2%105 W · 104 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6b…604ebacked Under | 80c | 40$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0954…012abacked Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 1,197 | 53.9%645 W · 552 L | +42.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f11…749dbacked Under | 49c | 36.94$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.1 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -4.0wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -30%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…6fa9backed Under | 68c | 35$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 1,777 | 58.4%1,037 W · 740 L | +91.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Under | 51c | 34.08$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.46 | 4,187 | 50.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L | +94.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83ce…835cbacked Under | 49c | 34$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.66 | 507 | 48.7%247 W · 260 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf257…1950backed Over | 51c | 33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.17 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a51…bf4cbacked Under | 49c | 32.9$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.12 | 288 | 51.4%148 W · 140 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df6…cba0backed Over | 73c | 30.03$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.14 | 1,445 | 50.3%727 W · 718 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…84f7backed Under | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 90 | 47.8%43 W · 47 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Over | 50c | 29.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.97 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Under | 52c | 26.92$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 597 | 49.9%298 W · 299 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40d6…9892backed Under | 49c | 26.38$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.93 | 344 | 51.5%177 W · 167 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Over | 50c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.49 | 528 | 52.1%275 W · 253 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Over | 50c | 20.32$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.16 | 1,001 | 57.3%574 W · 427 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f0…e7b3backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba62…3e29backed Under | 72c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 221 | 49.3%109 W · 112 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76d2…99a6backed Over | 57c | 18.38$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.81 | 80 | 53.8%43 W · 37 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Athletics vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5this page
- Athletics vs. Los Angeles AngelsAthletics won
- Athletics vs. Los Angeles Angels: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Over won
- Athletics vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 10.5Over won
- Athletics vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 12.5Under won
- Athletics vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 13.5Under won
- Athletics vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 14.5Under won
- Athletics vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 5.5Over won
- Athletics vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 6.5Over won
- Athletics vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 7.5Over won
- Athletics vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Athletics (-1.5)Athletics won
- Spread: Athletics (-3.5)Athletics won
- Spread: Athletics (-4.5)Athletics won
- Spread: Athletics (-5.5)Athletics won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Athletics vs. Los Angeles AngelsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.