Tennis · resolved market
ITF Wuning: Yan Cheng Chen vs Arvid Nordquist
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x019e163b3cca9fa88f1536278853a43fa108c8f6e21c53152027e253e918ac1b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Arvid Nordquistof Yan Cheng Chen, Arvid Nordquist
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,907
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,555
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,907 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Yan Cheng Chen | 61c | 2,893$1,751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,750.64 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Arvid Nordquist | 37c | 1,826$681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,145.7 | 1,730 | 52.2%903 W · 827 L | -8.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Arvid Nordquist | 73c | 1,292$943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.77 | 2,444 | 51.3%1,254 W · 1,190 L | +14.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Yan Cheng Chen | 27c | 663.86$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.83 | 5,325 | 28.8%1,533 W · 3,792 L | -21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7738…5dbdbacked Arvid Nordquist | 80c | 600$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 487 | 56.5%275 W · 212 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Yan Cheng Chen | 27c | 600$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 7,107 | 39.7%2,820 W · 4,287 L | -17.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Yan Cheng Chen | 25c | 559.94$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.96 | 373 | 30.3%113 W · 260 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Arvid Nordquist | 27c | 507.18$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.52 | 1,842 | 41%755 W · 1,087 L | -31.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yan Cheng Chen | 20c | 445.26$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.94 | 4,474 | 51.7%2,311 W · 2,163 L | +133.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Arvid Nordquist | 57c | 307.93$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.09 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Arvid Nordquist | 49c | 274.31$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.26 | 6,574 | 46.2%3,037 W · 3,537 L | -45.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Yan Cheng Chen | 22c | 190.91$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 3,457 | 38.9%1,345 W · 2,112 L | -15.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yan Cheng Chen | 18c | 165.52$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.17 | 6,792 | 36.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L | -98.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Yan Cheng Chen | 22c | 145.45$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 1,356 | 38.3%520 W · 836 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbad1…8151backed Arvid Nordquist | 72c | 107$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.96 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Yan Cheng Chen | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 3,987 | 45.5%1,816 W · 2,171 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Arvid Nordquist | 36c | 83.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.45 | 5,498 | 48.5%2,667 W · 2,831 L | +10.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Yan Cheng Chen | 15c | 75.21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.58 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Arvid Nordquist | 74c | 73$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.25 | 1,276 | 61%778 W · 498 L | +27.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Yan Cheng Chen | 27c | 72.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.85 | 1,588 | 47%746 W · 842 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e50…4b22backed Arvid Nordquist | 69c | 60.86$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.87 | 354 | 57.3%203 W · 151 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Yan Cheng Chen | 55c | 54.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.01 | 602 | 41.2%248 W · 354 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Yan Cheng Chen | 28c | 54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 249 | 28.9%72 W · 177 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8649…ba57backed Yan Cheng Chen | 48c | 53.6$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.48 | 796 | 46%366 W · 430 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yan Cheng Chen | 31c | 51.26$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 82 | 26.8%22 W · 60 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b36ebacked Arvid Nordquist | 55c | 50.43$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.68 | 520 | 46.7%243 W · 277 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…13c0backed Arvid Nordquist | 44c | 39.18$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.09 | 55 | 70.9%39 W · 16 L | +6.6wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4b89…9183backed Arvid Nordquist | 74c | 34.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.91 | 205 | 66.8%137 W · 68 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yan Cheng Chen | 37c | 32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 2,089 | 52.2%1,090 W · 999 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Yan Cheng Chen | 37c | 32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yan Cheng Chen | 37c | 32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 1,772 | 52.1%923 W · 849 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac50…d728backed Yan Cheng Chen | 64c | 31.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 287 | 43.6%125 W · 162 L | -11.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Arvid Nordquist | 73c | 30.71$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.31 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bef…5f5dbacked Arvid Nordquist | 52c | 29.02$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.93 | 139 | 65.5%91 W · 48 L | +9.6wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Arvid Nordquist | 76c | 25.53$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.12 | 2,887 | 39.5%1,141 W · 1,746 L | -84.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Arvid Nordquist | 73c | 24.17$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.53 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Arvid Nordquist | 73c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.67 | 7,968 | 50.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L | +92.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc7a…ad52backed Arvid Nordquist | 73c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.32 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.