Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 74°F or higher on April 12?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x024c4e8d1b9374bf92e5db63954ebe5a10a0deb0292c0b101da2f47e7cec916d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $64,446
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $70,606
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,446 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 113 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d01…63f0backed Yes | 2c | 5,063$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.51 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +4.9wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 65c | 3,350$2,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,190.33 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28f6…6cc9backed Yes | 69c | 2,956$2,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,025.8 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb697…9c56backed No | 55c | 1,996$1,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$890.88 | 109 | 24.8%27 W · 82 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +45%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x216e…fda6backed No | 69c | 1,891$1,312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.32 | 71 | 18.3%13 W · 58 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 49c | 1,593$788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$805.71 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1fa…047dbacked No | 26c | 921.36$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.16 | 94 | 28.7%27 W · 67 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x380b…bfa8backed No | 16c | 826.62$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.31 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +3.3wins | +0.17per pick | 13cpaid | +103.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc41d…c51dbacked Yes | 63c | 791.2$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.82 | 161 | 44.1%71 W · 90 L | +14.3wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…b9edbacked No | 40c | 734.83$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.91 | 421 | 30.4%128 W · 293 L | +19.5wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc89…095cbacked No | 6c | 672.21$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.68 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3e…cc39backed Yes | 53c | 663.94$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.19 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…1e85backed Yes | 9c | 649.01$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x035a…ff68backed No | 10c | 630.49$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.54 | 315 | 42.9%135 W · 180 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a99…e614backed Yes | 15c | 503.69$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.51 | 181 | 16.6%30 W · 151 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe689…159fbacked No | 4c | 466.48$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.64 | 203 | 42.9%87 W · 116 L | +20.8wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb532…8577backed No | 24c | 428.99$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.85 | 191 | 33.5%64 W · 127 L | +10.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1385…e96abacked No | 24c | 428.14$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.11 | 137 | 32.1%44 W · 93 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe57d…043abacked No | 8c | 411.76$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.82 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff6…8ac5backed Yes | 6c | 340.27$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.79 | 70 | 34.3%24 W · 46 L | -6.2wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 25c | 337.22$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.46 | 1,840 | 37%681 W · 1,159 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0f…99d0backed No | 25c | 332.13$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.18 | 864 | 20.1%174 W · 690 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 53c | 309.88$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.96 | 2,119 | 36.1%764 W · 1,355 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked Yes | 17c | 298.14$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.23 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc17e…906abacked No | 39c | 280.96$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.2 | 540 | 43.9%237 W · 303 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f4…5944backed No | 18c | 280.86$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.01 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d2b…5271backed No | 60c | 276.34$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.24 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8719…12cebacked No | 20c | 264.94$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.36 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 20cpaid | +57.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bda…439fbacked Yes | 77c | 238.35$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.18 | 594 | 40.6%241 W · 353 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1eea…00c5backed No | 10c | 220.54$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.48 | 224 | 50.4%113 W · 111 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17dd…056abacked No | 50c | 211.62$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.92 | 69 | 13%9 W · 60 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8891…b5fcbacked No | 12c | 211.44$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.86 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae68…064abacked No | 18c | 205.3$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.05 | 2,555 | 63.8%1,631 W · 924 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01a6…59b0backed No | 18c | 204.33$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.45 | 1,679 | 61.7%1,036 W · 643 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1941…deeabacked No | 12c | 195.61$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172 | 1,072 | 36.6%392 W · 680 L | +25.9wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82f3…9f82backed No | 12c | 191.42$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.28 | 1,455 | 24.7%359 W · 1,096 L | -33.3wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x095d…110bbacked No | 12c | 186.62$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.49 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaff7…fb8bbacked Yes | 26c | 174.82$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.53 | 513 | 21.2%109 W · 404 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d4…a31ebacked No | 62c | 161$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.88 | 166 | 51.2%85 W · 81 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd1…c53bbacked No | 12c | 160.36$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.05 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.53per pick | 13cpaid | +310.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…fb31backed Yes | 11c | 158.28$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.66 | 169 | 44.4%75 W · 94 L | +18.5wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd801…ab8bbacked Yes | 55c | 156.97$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.94 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -69.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb5…e19cbacked No | 16c | 155.53$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.37 | 106 | 17.9%19 W · 87 L | -10.8wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4f87…9d87backed No | 9c | 153.92$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.35 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 27cpaid | +301.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c8…d7c5backed Yes | 47c | 152.08$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.74 | 241 | 49.8%120 W · 121 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74ea…b265backed No | 28c | 149.22$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.62 | 211 | 42.7%90 W · 121 L | +8.9wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f1…abbbbacked No | 62c | 147.87$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.31 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed Yes | 43c | 145.27$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.34 | 1,018 | 60.2%613 W · 405 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf31…454abacked No | 22c | 142.07$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.81 | 191 | 52.9%101 W · 90 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc3…b0aebacked No | 79c | 140.66$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.04 | 959 | 33.5%321 W · 638 L | +28.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2e…c770backed Yes | 77c | 137.06$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.03 | 395 | 41.3%163 W · 232 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 13c | 135.94$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.15 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x8a71…0dcdbacked No | 60c | 131.13$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.12 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb1f8…2734backed No | 10c | 129.24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.32 | 313 | 41.5%130 W · 183 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a92…b344backed No | 63c | 124.7$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.31 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2861…4b7bbacked No | 16c | 119.02$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.7 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed No | 22c | 116.11$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.08 | 468 | 24.4%114 W · 354 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x710d…02aabacked Yes | 78c | 115.62$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.61 | 340 | 67.4%229 W · 111 L | +24.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2671…a5fabacked No | 12c | 114.4$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.28 | 190 | 59.5%113 W · 77 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9686…1701backed Yes | 14c | 105.68$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.68 | 351 | 33.6%118 W · 233 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae07…8059backed No | 11c | 104.81$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.25 | 435 | 25.3%110 W · 325 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfff9…a21abacked No | 12c | 101.57$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.38 | 81 | 38.3%31 W · 50 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76a2…6651backed No | 29c | 100$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 146 | 37.7%55 W · 91 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 50c | 96.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.05 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xddfa…014fbacked No | 14c | 96.84$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.11 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc49e…e660backed Yes | 32c | 95.56$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.78 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 79c | 94.8$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.82 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e6…762ebacked No | 14c | 91.28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.56 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f35…fcdbbacked No | 16c | 88.72$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.93 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4667…20f2backed Yes | 13c | 79.24$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 41 | 17.1%7 W · 34 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fde…b0ffbacked Yes | 56c | 74.8$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.58 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa18…682ebacked No | 14c | 73.53$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc9…fc76backed No | 67c | 68.76$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked No | 41c | 63.98$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.47 | 1,026 | 60.8%624 W · 402 L | +11.0wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d04…822dbacked No | 47c | 62.22$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +114.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 28c | 59.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.4 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe664…2db8backed No | 18c | 58.56$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.81 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3f…f038backed No | 37c | 54.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.45 | 661 | 41.8%276 W · 385 L | -12.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7fd…59aebacked Yes | 49c | 52.31$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.78 | 65 | 24.6%16 W · 49 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb2…14d6backed Yes | 80c | 51.92$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.29 | 77 | 54.5%42 W · 35 L | -8.6wins | -0.11per pick | 66cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…b3a9backed No | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 2,995 | 31.4%940 W · 2,055 L | +41.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39f6…4e63backed No | 59c | 49.84$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +70.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbf…7ce5backed Yes | 78c | 45.97$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.92 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed Yes | 76c | 43.9$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.4 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc29…b3b6backed No | 40c | 42.82$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.83 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c1…bec3backed Yes | 77c | 42.06$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.43 | 116 | 44%51 W · 65 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x105c…1011backed No | 28c | 41.36$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.78 | 112 | 20.5%23 W · 89 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8755…e1c0backed Yes | 80c | 40$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2bb…ae21backed Yes | 72c | 39.15$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.09 | 353 | 62.9%222 W · 131 L | +16.9wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bcc…b908backed Yes | 55c | 37.32$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.6 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaafc…ec67backed No | 55c | 37.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.69 | 447 | 57.3%256 W · 191 L | +53.9wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +24%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9e99…9584backed Yes | 39c | 34.42$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.48 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x262f…87edbacked No | 56c | 33.18$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.6 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 41cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0537…61d3backed No | 60c | 32.05$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.85 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -43%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaafb…e81ebacked Yes | 75c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 152 | 75.7%115 W · 37 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24a9…8df1backed Yes | 79c | 27.8$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf876…8975backed Yes | 74c | 27.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 53 | 32.1%17 W · 36 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb72…8792backed Yes | 48c | 25.11$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02d…e07cbacked Yes | 73c | 25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.5wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x59fe…14fdbacked Yes | 68c | 23.11$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.82 | 572 | 32.9%188 W · 384 L | -104.6wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 31-0.18 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 74°F or higher on April 12?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 70-71°F on April 12?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 72-73°F on April 12?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.