TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Holy Cross Crusaders vs. Bucknell Bison

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Holy Cross Crusadersof Holy Cross Crusaders, Bucknell Bison
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$24,167
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$22,397

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,167 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Bucknell Bison59c6,933$4,081 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,081.371,05855.8%590 W · 468 L+34.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb31…7b95backed Holy Cross Crusaders38c2,598$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,598.2212230.3%37 W · 85 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-21.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Bucknell Bison14c2,046$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.371,07443.3%465 W · 609 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Holy Cross Crusaders54c628.49$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.243,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Holy Cross Crusaders54c606.35$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.923,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7db0…f397backed Holy Cross Crusaders45c550$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.981241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-32.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Bucknell Bison58c496.49$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.791,44643.4%627 W · 819 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Bucknell Bison6c325.75$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.091,54041.3%636 W · 904 L+4.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Holy Cross Crusaders31c322.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.5893447.9%447 W · 487 L-19.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Bucknell Bison32c316.03$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.132,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b12…7a77backed Holy Cross Crusaders72c306.65$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.952353.5%280 W · 243 L-17.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-5.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Holy Cross Crusaders41c299.81$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.92,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Holy Cross Crusaders66c289.9$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.572,01250%1,006 W · 1,006 L+22.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Holy Cross Crusaders42c280.99$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.971,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x07dd…0876backed Bucknell Bison58c270$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.4423754.4%129 W · 108 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x989a…afbcbacked Bucknell Bison60c247.75$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.8970349.6%349 W · 354 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Holy Cross Crusaders42c199.67$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.841,31733.6%443 W · 874 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7433…7851backed Bucknell Bison58c174.88$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.372152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Bucknell Bison52c160.01$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.241,49348.7%727 W · 766 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Bucknell Bison52c147.96$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.151,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x47cb…dfdabacked Bucknell Bison49c146.78$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7236535.9%131 W · 234 L+1.4wins0.00per pick36cpaid-18.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d70…fdd9backed Bucknell Bison59c138.39$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.6493247.3%441 W · 491 L-22.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Holy Cross Crusaders41c126.14$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.495,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7216…0d67backed Holy Cross Crusaders41c121.98$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.9718241.2%75 W · 107 L-6.5wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x94fa…989ebacked Bucknell Bison60c97$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.281453.1%432 W · 382 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Bucknell Bison56c96.33$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.7371655.3%396 W · 320 L+26.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed Holy Cross Crusaders40c92.82$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.6999045.6%451 W · 539 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Holy Cross Crusaders47c80$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.5225246.4%117 W · 135 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x15b8…89e4backed Bucknell Bison58c79.99$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.393531.4%11 W · 24 L-6.1wins-0.17per pick49cpaid-32.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Holy Cross Crusaders41c78.6$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.384,55250.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L-36.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e8f…1f83backed Bucknell Bison59c70$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.364658.8%380 W · 266 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick59cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed Holy Cross Crusaders42c62.33$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.1525946.3%120 W · 139 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Bucknell Bison30c55.31$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.564,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8eb4…93dabacked Bucknell Bison59c50.85$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39dc…fc23backed Bucknell Bison66c50$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3327358.6%160 W · 113 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x12c3…b054backed Holy Cross Crusaders42c47.62$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.6213565.9%89 W · 46 L+12.7wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+15.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe545…5bacbacked Bucknell Bison63c47.54$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.7510347.6%49 W · 54 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc353…30a8backed Holy Cross Crusaders42c38.26$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.1916140.4%65 W · 96 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21f2…c016backed Holy Cross Crusaders70c37.49$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc14d…f8b4backed Holy Cross Crusaders42c33.33$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.335933.9%20 W · 39 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-20.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xac3f…1966backed Holy Cross Crusaders42c32$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.5625152.6%132 W · 119 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Bucknell Bison68c27.89$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.961,66736.4%607 W · 1,060 L-4.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Bucknell Bison53c25.77$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.5719522.1%43 W · 152 L-36.3wins-0.19per pick41cpaid-53.7%equal weight32-0.16 edge/pick
0xc5c3…9792backed Holy Cross Crusaders42c24.38$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.1427055.6%150 W · 120 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Bucknell Bison58c24$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.921,07447%505 W · 569 L+1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Bucknell Bison59c22$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.982,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3020…bc04backed Bucknell Bison58c20$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.616755.7%93 W · 74 L+10.1wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+16.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed Bucknell Bison61c19.91$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.1230945.6%141 W · 168 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-20.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc1b5…2e74backed Bucknell Bison58c18$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.3819860.1%119 W · 79 L+15.5wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+18.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa6f3…c5c2backed Holy Cross Crusaders68c17.34$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.467176.1%54 W · 17 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick72cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.