TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Xiyu Wang vs Hanyu Guo

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Xiyu Wangof Xiyu Wang, Hanyu Guo
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$41,365
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$42,249

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,365 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Xiyu Wang58c4,128$2,386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,741.898,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x08cc…67babacked Hanyu Guo3c3,840$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.2610%0 W · 61 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Hanyu Guo29c2,391$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.972,46238.5%948 W · 1,514 L+93.1wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+13.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Xiyu Wang66c2,125$1,397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$728.1211,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Hanyu Guo25c1,950$481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480.554,18544.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L+14.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9f5…3e7abacked Hanyu Guo41c1,878$770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$769.9810349.5%51 W · 52 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Xiyu Wang74c1,863$1,385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$478.425,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Hanyu Guo44c1,535$675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$674.596,43954.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L+285.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c87…98b1backed Hanyu Guo1c1,500$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.52262.2%5 W · 221 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-62.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Xiyu Wang70c1,447$1,019 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$427.953,25648.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L-53.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Hanyu Guo25c1,122$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2805,26128.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L-19.4wins0.00per pick29cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Hanyu Guo42c1,000$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4209,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd3f9…45a7backed Xiyu Wang70c966.22$681 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.2238066.3%252 W · 128 L-0.7wins0.00per pick67cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a3d…bacdbacked Hanyu Guo12c942.42$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1122015%3 W · 17 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick23cpaid-54.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd034…eecebacked Hanyu Guo28c888.75$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.822,73534%931 W · 1,804 L-13.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8ce7…3150backed Xiyu Wang65c825.4$537 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.8939149.1%192 W · 199 L+14.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+9.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Hanyu Guo11c746.35$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.653,60542.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L-43.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdef0…664ebacked Xiyu Wang71c698.59$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.5911562.6%72 W · 43 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick66cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Hanyu Guo27c624.56$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1706,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Xiyu Wang74c483.3$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.744,70349.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L+166.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf66e…14b7backed Hanyu Guo44c405$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.2172755.6%404 W · 323 L+27.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Hanyu Guo10c404.08$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.414,93441.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L-77.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d74…f2abbacked Hanyu Guo37c392.06$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.5243334.9%151 W · 282 L-8.3wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Hanyu Guo29c341.59$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.43,87135%1,353 W · 2,518 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked Hanyu Guo28c323.75$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.651,68845.4%766 W · 922 L-10.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ec2…bd08backed Hanyu Guo34c320.18$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.861,36338.3%522 W · 841 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Hanyu Guo35c314.68$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.211,22823.1%284 W · 944 L-164.0wins-0.13per pick36cpaid-47%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x8bec…7800backed Hanyu Guo41c312$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.9227753.4%148 W · 129 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Hanyu Guo37c308.07$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.521,83153%971 W · 860 L-45.3wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked Hanyu Guo29c299.99$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$871,03150.3%519 W · 512 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8ad5…ccdebacked Hanyu Guo27c295.54$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.3655032.7%180 W · 370 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc9c3…079fbacked Xiyu Wang71c230$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.789364.4%575 W · 318 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2bf3…4f00backed Hanyu Guo45c215.44$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.9543552.9%230 W · 205 L+0.6wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a18…61a0backed Hanyu Guo27c213.33$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5752155.3%288 W · 233 L+27.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Hanyu Guo41c201.08$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$823,42439.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L-12.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Hanyu Guo42c200$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$844,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6485…a265backed Xiyu Wang68c197.28$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.342,28152%1,187 W · 1,094 L+82.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2725…e7d1backed Hanyu Guo26c159.97$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.243952.4%230 W · 209 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Hanyu Guo36c158.39$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.124,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb07e…0df5backed Hanyu Guo41c152$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.6884640%338 W · 508 L-22.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xddf5…aaa3backed Xiyu Wang71c150$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.569253.3%369 W · 323 L-10.4wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Hanyu Guo36c144.68$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.543,67754.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L+107.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e48…b8dcbacked Hanyu Guo10c140.82$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.081127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.18per pick45cpaid-29.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb155…ca84backed Xiyu Wang74c134$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.8492046.6%429 W · 491 L-14.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Hanyu Guo34c120.59$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413,22040.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L+28.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Xiyu Wang69c117.05$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.911,95943.7%857 W · 1,102 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Xiyu Wang68c112.59$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.771,97346.3%914 W · 1,059 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b89…98d6backed Xiyu Wang71c111.54$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.3538866.2%257 W · 131 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x349e…867bbacked Hanyu Guo44c100.01$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4475350.5%380 W · 373 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Xiyu Wang71c100$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.33,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6964…a82fbacked Xiyu Wang71c89$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.525242.3%22 W · 30 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-18.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdd1e…4754backed Hanyu Guo34c86.8$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.5343444.9%195 W · 239 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc46e…9ed8backed Hanyu Guo30c83.33$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2537238.2%142 W · 230 L-8.2wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Hanyu Guo41c80$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.86,44946.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L-42.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Xiyu Wang74c79.99$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.122,76647.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L+44.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-18.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x54d1…13f4backed Hanyu Guo28c67.25$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.0873748%354 W · 383 L-1.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0813…41e1backed Xiyu Wang70c67$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.137158.8%218 W · 153 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd8bb…7cefbacked Hanyu Guo30c66.21$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9936743.6%160 W · 207 L+0.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0df7…1ec1backed Hanyu Guo36c66.08$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.951,85357.7%1,069 W · 784 L+106.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+3.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf970…f7f6backed Hanyu Guo31c65$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.152,48535.9%893 W · 1,592 L-28.5wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde2f…ad33backed Hanyu Guo34c63$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.4925336.4%92 W · 161 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe83a…8355backed Hanyu Guo45c62.38$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2865259.4%387 W · 265 L+31.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+6.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc846…c413backed Hanyu Guo26c62$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.1255748.8%272 W · 285 L+23.9wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Hanyu Guo26c60$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.6680341.8%336 W · 467 L-20.6wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x82aa…fe2fbacked Hanyu Guo26c58$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.0862727.3%171 W · 456 L-15.7wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf83…915dbacked Hanyu Guo36c57.89$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2164537.2%240 W · 405 L-7.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ba4…6de0backed Xiyu Wang77c57.78$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.5228048.9%137 W · 143 L-14.9wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-17.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2272…95a2backed Hanyu Guo43c55.35$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.87262.5%45 W · 27 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+14%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x74f9…6024backed Hanyu Guo45c50$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.556153.7%301 W · 260 L+19.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6cd3…226ebacked Hanyu Guo30c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1523427.4%64 W · 170 L-40.1wins-0.17per pick44cpaid-48.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x00d2…fe64backed Hanyu Guo29c47$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6319634.2%67 W · 129 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x626d…e570backed Hanyu Guo29c44.99$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9552035.2%183 W · 337 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Xiyu Wang58c44.34$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.621,67850.8%852 W · 826 L+30.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x189e…5aaebacked Hanyu Guo44c44$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3627353.1%145 W · 128 L+12.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9935…a6b4backed Hanyu Guo43c40.51$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.535455.6%30 W · 24 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x522f…1164backed Hanyu Guo29c38$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.0230436.8%112 W · 192 L-19.6wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-11.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed Hanyu Guo43c36.9$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.021,23446.3%571 W · 663 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d08…6e9bbacked Hanyu Guo38c36.37$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1428249.3%139 W · 143 L+12.0wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf988…32a7backed Xiyu Wang71c30.99$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.9916372.4%118 W · 45 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick69cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Xiyu Wang72c30$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.43,87445.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L-39.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4787…db20backed Hanyu Guo44c29.27$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.8328264.2%181 W · 101 L+14.5wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+8.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1e62…79f1backed Hanyu Guo35c29.17$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2110841.7%45 W · 63 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd100…853dbacked Xiyu Wang58c28.83$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.1160446.7%282 W · 322 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10dd…4831backed Xiyu Wang71c28.17$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.1711858.5%69 W · 49 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+13.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ef1…5acabacked Xiyu Wang72c27$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.561,79460.2%1,080 W · 714 L+6.8wins0.00per pick60cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e41…b875backed Xiyu Wang80c26.25$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.2571165.1%463 W · 248 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b56…a082backed Xiyu Wang69c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.242563.3%269 W · 156 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x99f4…335fbacked Xiyu Wang71c19.83$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.7524274%179 W · 63 L+6.9wins+0.03per pick71cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x71ac…5fd6backed Xiyu Wang72c19.57$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.481735.3%6 W · 11 L-3.8wins-0.22per pick58cpaid-42.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1fa8…0b19backed Xiyu Wang58c18.33$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.760651.8%314 W · 292 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x985d…33c9backed Xiyu Wang70c17.86$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.361,30036.9%480 W · 820 L-34.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc93d…23d5backed Xiyu Wang76c16.15$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.8524748.6%120 W · 127 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Xiyu Wang69c15$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.62,04453.8%1,100 W · 944 L+61.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd74…00a1backed Xiyu Wang71c15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.3549658.1%288 W · 208 L+32.3wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+10.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.