Premier League · resolved market
Will Newcastle United FC vs. West Bromwich Albion FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0579b1cb3a187b53395be6af0d3853e3e546525203be6aface29ec90afd0e79f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,359
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,183
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,359 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 73c | 4,711$3,429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,281.56 | 4,892 | 41.5%2,028 W · 2,864 L | +25.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Yes | 16c | 2,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 506 | 49.8%252 W · 254 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b55…1167backed Yes | 56c | 1,472$824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$824.1 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.42per pick | 67cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…cf16backed No | 62c | 1,219$756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.32 | 109 | 42.2%46 W · 63 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -21%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 27c | 1,135$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.9 | 1,028 | 36.2%372 W · 656 L | -19.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2a…d25cbacked Yes | 27c | 1,111$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 17c | 1,006$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.97 | 657 | 44.6%293 W · 364 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 17c | 938.37$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.52 | 1,328 | 42.4%563 W · 765 L | -29.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf12d…0fddbacked Yes | 12c | 416.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 74c | 284.43$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.13 | 689 | 32.9%227 W · 462 L | -32.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…3b32backed Yes | 26c | 262$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.12 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1443…9e05backed Yes | 16c | 250$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 18c | 228.5$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.13 | 685 | 39.9%273 W · 412 L | +12.8wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6868…24f0backed Yes | 18c | 200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 14c | 197.21$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.41 | 601 | 47.8%287 W · 314 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…01e5backed Yes | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 27c | 94$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.04 | 560 | 44.6%250 W · 310 L | -15.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf96d…3a1ebacked Yes | 57c | 81.91$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.69 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -5.2wins | -0.19per pick | 64cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd0…b719backed Yes | 16c | 80.38$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.86 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb526…2bf2backed Yes | 20c | 80$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.3 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yes | 23c | 75$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 277 | 50.5%140 W · 137 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0f…b7aebacked Yes | 27c | 59$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.93 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 798 | 36%287 W · 511 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46d4…ab12backed Yes | 27c | 44.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 29cpaid | -82.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes | 38c | 38$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81a7…7042backed No | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.45 | 49 | 67.3%33 W · 16 L | +6.7wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcf27…f35fbacked No | 77c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.45 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Newcastle United FC vs. West Bromwich Albion FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-08-26?Yes won
- Will West Bromwich Albion FC win on 2026-08-26?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.