TailMyPicks
Menu
Market

Premier League · resolved market

Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-08-26?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$162,016
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$169,680

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $162,016 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 149 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes57c25,000$14,191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,808.8433048.2%159 W · 171 L+13.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc72d…fc21backed Yes76c23,378$17,678 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,700.012343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-21.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d11…c449backed No26c16,370$4,256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,256.196650%33 W · 33 L+4.7wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+7.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4408…1b6abacked No26c12,250$3,185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,184.998548.2%41 W · 44 L+5.2wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+13.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No28c10,592$2,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,950.311,21832.2%392 W · 826 L-17.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-16.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No36c9,241$3,358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,357.764,89241.5%2,028 W · 2,864 L+25.4wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-15%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Yes62c7,968$4,939 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,029.394553.3%24 W · 21 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb3a…d1ccbacked Yes58c4,131$2,384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,746.991533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-35.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x86f4…bd70backed No55c3,375$1,856 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,856.25425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.34per pick59cpaid-34.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1bc8…2f68backed No28c3,165$886 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$886.25846.6%27 W · 31 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes73c3,092$2,254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$837.511,02836.2%372 W · 656 L-19.5wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No23c1,988$463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$463.392,61347.6%1,245 W · 1,368 L+42.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4951…3038backed No38c1,980$753 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7531338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.18per pick56cpaid-29.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes72c1,886$1,356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$529.8637638.3%144 W · 232 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-10%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb2bf…04d7backed No23c1,875$431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431.25922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.24per pick46cpaid-54.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No26c1,849$474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$474.121,38348.3%668 W · 715 L-3.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No27c1,670$451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450.8450649.8%252 W · 254 L+1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70a6…a2ebbacked No52c1,500$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7801361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+19.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4fae…b849backed Yes77c1,299$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.71776.5%13 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.12per pick64cpaid+13.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5046…c617backed No20c1,239$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.5510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No25c1,081$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.1574950.7%380 W · 369 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x02d4…d26cbacked No11c1,000$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11030724.4%75 W · 232 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9851…1320backed No9c862.33$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.3110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5df5…bdf2backed Yes71c848.51$602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.071100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No19c836.95$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.351,82134.6%630 W · 1,191 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc57…2b3cbacked Yes63c793.65$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.654100%4 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No28c665.68$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.3965744.6%293 W · 364 L-21.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-15%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd682…2c16backed No61c658.79$404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404.48250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-34.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x821d…cf16backed Yes78c657.64$511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.5910942.2%46 W · 63 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid-21%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0bab…6832backed Yes77c649.35$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.3512541.6%52 W · 73 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x78f9…c92dbacked Yes77c645.71$497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.51837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-35.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed No24c598.9$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.0536951.2%189 W · 180 L+13.5wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbcba…c950backed No49c533$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.171050%5 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb73…53b0backed Yes63c476.19$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.1912643.7%55 W · 71 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+20.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x68f8…12c8backed Yes77c375.32$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.321275%9 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+14.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x599d…c492backed Yes56c356.28$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.281361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+35.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No13c351.01$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.779836%287 W · 511 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-25.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9deb…536fbacked No30c341.96$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.851957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No27c338$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.771,71352.8%905 W · 808 L+31.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xed01…83a8backed No62c308.64$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.181233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-32.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1058…01c1backed Yes63c303.99$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.591258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb8b…30debacked Yes72c290.93$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.461100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa77b…9bbcbacked Yes69c289.14$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.14650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e90…4f65backed No24c272.83$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.587957%45 W · 34 L+5.3wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+8.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No57c272.03$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.1360147.8%287 W · 314 L+17.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7403…b24abacked Yes74c268.85$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.882556%14 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+19.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe660…514fbacked No28c250$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.17per pick46cpaid+24.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes71c203.4$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.3768539.9%273 W · 412 L+12.8wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No35c202.2$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.8721852.3%114 W · 104 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+19.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f88…ca10backed Yes50c200.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.085335.8%19 W · 34 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-34.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7091…96f8backed No26c200$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$527343.8%32 W · 41 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6868…24f0backed Yes71c200$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$585046%23 W · 27 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x677e…5072backed Yes76c197.37$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.3715051.3%77 W · 73 L-7.4wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-10.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x16b2…aa5abacked No50c195.08$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.5816367.5%110 W · 53 L+19.4wins+0.12per pick56cpaid+23.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xb476…6eacbacked No50c194.44$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.22977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.17per pick61cpaid+24.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe1e3…f1bdbacked No50c189.47$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.735263.5%33 W · 19 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick62cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1660…5598backed Yes71c186.3$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.03683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.30per pick53cpaid+40.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No26c182.19$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.531,32842.4%563 W · 765 L-29.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0cc9…616dbacked No29c169.99$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501520%3 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-4.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7409…65a6backed No51c168.24$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8511677.6%90 W · 26 L+23.6wins+0.20per pick57cpaid+49.3%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x6e46…60d6backed Yes66c160$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.47363%46 W · 27 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+1.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd3e…5a7abacked Yes36c146.1$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.543161.3%19 W · 12 L+2.6wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+23.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No39c137.79$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.7210038%38 W · 62 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-32.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x24bf…b006backed No29c135.3$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.242339.1%9 W · 14 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-32.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7e33…2981backed Yes75c133.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.332100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x089c…4dc4backed No34c131.38$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.8315134.4%52 W · 99 L-11.6wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-40.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6f39…e279backed Yes78c128.2$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.2560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+10.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe20a…a130backed Yes63c111.11$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.11728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.15per pick44cpaid-32.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf4a0…217abacked Yes30c110.84$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.59425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb84f…35adbacked Yes63c110.65$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.941100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a59…6961backed Yes37c110.19$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.42757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.15per pick42cpaid+37.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x910a…1aa7backed Yes75c106.66$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.662133.3%7 W · 14 L-3.9wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-30.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x237f…362ebacked Yes77c103.89$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.891369.2%9 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2045…c77cbacked Yes73c100$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273265.6%21 W · 11 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+26.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x085d…c89ebacked No22c100$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222755.6%15 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8594…3733backed Yes49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x68cf…e58cbacked Yes55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2064…0ab1backed Yes60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404151.2%21 W · 20 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-11.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x293c…dcbabacked Yes55c99.99$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9527…888bbacked No65c99.02$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.3650%0 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x370b…bb29backed Yes51c98.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.04771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.22per pick50cpaid+36%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc785…4ef2backed Yes63c98$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.267339.7%29 W · 44 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-24.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x536e…4fd5backed Yes77c97.4$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.41258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a21…50d3backed Yes72c97.22$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.2211846.6%55 W · 63 L-5.9wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-8.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x90ea…ec86backed No26c92.3$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked No26c90$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.2215345.8%70 W · 83 L-9.1wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-17%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf3c5…4d7abacked No23c86.96$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-42.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No23c84.87$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9285952.7%453 W · 406 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7473…ffcebacked Yes77c84.42$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.422050%10 W · 10 L-2.1wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-17.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Yes74c84.09$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.865851.7%30 W · 28 L-0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5267…e972backed Yes48c83.33$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.33837.5%3 W · 5 L-2.3wins-0.29per pick67cpaid-40.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes73c83.33$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.1668932.9%227 W · 462 L-32.4wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-33.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed Yes54c81.82$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.872564%16 W · 9 L+4.2wins+0.17per pick47cpaid+21.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x173e…9ff4backed No51c80$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.8633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-21.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfed7…e405backed No55c80$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.612746.5%59 W · 68 L-7.7wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-12.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xba5e…153bbacked Yes71c71.79$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.822454.2%13 W · 11 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7541…963ebacked Yes72c69.44$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.441145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12f9…74babacked Yes51c65.44$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.8815676.9%120 W · 36 L+28.8wins+0.18per pick58cpaid+40.1%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes73c64$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.4822847.8%109 W · 119 L+9.7wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+1.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc28c…6fb2backed Yes63c63.49$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.493237.5%12 W · 20 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.