Tennis · resolved market
Ilkley: Francesco Maestrelli vs Arthur Gea
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x05c3db2d35654fc97342e78d33468345f02cb5c81dfa7a547627ed32f7dae90e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Arthur Geaof Francesco Maestrelli, Arthur Gea
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,406
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,909
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,406 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Arthur Gea | 61c | 3,530$2,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,369.26 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d18…6f62backed Francesco Maestrelli | 39c | 2,500$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$975 | 560 | 62.5%350 W · 210 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63f5…09ddbacked Francesco Maestrelli | 2c | 2,280$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 78 | 11.5%9 W · 69 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 6cpaid | +74.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5104…a114backed Francesco Maestrelli | 28c | 1,797$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +27%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Francesco Maestrelli | 44c | 1,748$762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$761.59 | 478 | 54.8%262 W · 216 L | +25.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3709…bb80backed Francesco Maestrelli | 11c | 1,659$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Arthur Gea | 60c | 1,564$943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621.46 | 659 | 52.5%346 W · 313 L | +27.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Francesco Maestrelli | 40c | 1,450$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.38 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Arthur Gea | 63c | 937.95$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.46 | 1,475 | 35.2%519 W · 956 L | -14.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Arthur Gea | 60c | 906.93$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.13 | 485 | 52.8%256 W · 229 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Arthur Gea | 80c | 645.34$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.78 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x292b…23cebacked Arthur Gea | 53c | 594.98$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.14 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Arthur Gea | 60c | 525$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.95 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b0…5294backed Francesco Maestrelli | 39c | 520$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.8 | 458 | 50.7%232 W · 226 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Francesco Maestrelli | 38c | 512.82$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.87 | 1,458 | 54%787 W · 671 L | -33.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Francesco Maestrelli | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 856 | 34.2%293 W · 563 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Francesco Maestrelli | 43c | 499.99$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.67 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Francesco Maestrelli | 21c | 488$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.39 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84bc…4aadbacked Arthur Gea | 60c | 418.86$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.89 | 242 | 45%109 W · 133 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Arthur Gea | 65c | 384.88$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.89 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb74…997cbacked Arthur Gea | 55c | 350$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.5 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…c792backed Francesco Maestrelli | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,504 | 35.1%528 W · 976 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed Francesco Maestrelli | 43c | 330.23$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142 | 314 | 36.9%116 W · 198 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Francesco Maestrelli | 35c | 295.28$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.35 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6b…ec86backed Francesco Maestrelli | 41c | 285.6$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.88 | 1,062 | 31.8%338 W · 724 L | -27.2wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3569…8262backed Arthur Gea | 54c | 222.22$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.22 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x890a…7623backed Arthur Gea | 70c | 217.39$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.43 | 249 | 75.5%188 W · 61 L | +10.3wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Arthur Gea | 73c | 166.97$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.28 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Arthur Gea | 59c | 162.49$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.62 | 475 | 52.4%249 W · 226 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Francesco Maestrelli | 27c | 161.11$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 637 | 46%293 W · 344 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Francesco Maestrelli | 29c | 150$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 2,049 | 46.8%958 W · 1,091 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Francesco Maestrelli | 28c | 147.29$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.7 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Arthur Gea | 59c | 146.34$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 457 | 51%233 W · 224 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d07…b9febacked Francesco Maestrelli | 13c | 139.87$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 320 | 8.8%28 W · 292 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Francesco Maestrelli | 34c | 139.35$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.38 | 1,421 | 55%782 W · 639 L | +23.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Francesco Maestrelli | 37c | 135.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe720…2bb3backed Arthur Gea | 58c | 130$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.6 | 76 | 36.8%28 W · 48 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Arthur Gea | 63c | 127$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.99 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Arthur Gea | 68c | 120.28$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.96 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a40…f518backed Francesco Maestrelli | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Francesco Maestrelli | 29c | 114.22$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.63 | 2,766 | 47.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c0…22ebbacked Francesco Maestrelli | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 405 | 27.2%110 W · 295 L | -17.2wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Francesco Maestrelli | 38c | 99.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 1,882 | 35.5%669 W · 1,213 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Arthur Gea | 62c | 95.81$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.41 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f46…9097backed Arthur Gea | 58c | 94.05$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.5 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -3.3wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Arthur Gea | 63c | 90.6$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.52 | 415 | 44.3%184 W · 231 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18a7…206cbacked Francesco Maestrelli | 42c | 83.22$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.85 | 856 | 37.7%323 W · 533 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Arthur Gea | 60c | 67.98$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.19 | 2,418 | 51.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L | +10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Francesco Maestrelli | 38c | 60$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 921 | 38.4%354 W · 567 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddf5…aaa3backed Arthur Gea | 59c | 59.32$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.32 | 692 | 53.3%369 W · 323 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d19…bf25backed Arthur Gea | 63c | 53.76$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.68 | 647 | 55%356 W · 291 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x387f…70a8backed Arthur Gea | 73c | 47.87$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.14 | 75 | 62.7%47 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Francesco Maestrelli | 43c | 45$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.35 | 749 | 55.1%413 W · 336 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Arthur Gea | 71c | 42.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.32 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2b…0be8backed Arthur Gea | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Francesco Maestrelli | 31c | 38.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.95 | 743 | 46.3%344 W · 399 L | -28.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d5…53d0backed Arthur Gea | 56c | 37.51$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.6 | 176 | 56.3%99 W · 77 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Francesco Maestrelli | 36c | 35.25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.69 | 1,688 | 45.4%766 W · 922 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd3…226ebacked Francesco Maestrelli | 29c | 35$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 234 | 27.4%64 W · 170 L | -40.1wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x1f8b…a0cabacked Arthur Gea | 66c | 31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 126 | 59.5%75 W · 51 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Arthur Gea | 72c | 29$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.23 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Arthur Gea | 62c | 28.28$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.82 | 857 | 42.8%367 W · 490 L | -23.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabb3…f5b0backed Arthur Gea | 57c | 26.31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.31 | 469 | 57.6%270 W · 199 L | +32.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbbee…30b9backed Arthur Gea | 58c | 25.95$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.9 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa31d…a5a3backed Arthur Gea | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed Francesco Maestrelli | 45c | 24.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 221 | 53.4%118 W · 103 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8951…dfcfbacked Arthur Gea | 62c | 24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.12 | 258 | 58.1%150 W · 108 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Arthur Gea | 63c | 21.82$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.01 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe05…dbe6backed Arthur Gea | 54c | 21.09$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.7 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Arthur Gea | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 1,250 | 44.7%559 W · 691 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x362c…67e6backed Arthur Gea | 80c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 372 | 55.6%207 W · 165 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Arthur Gea | 79c | 14.46$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.07 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.