TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Weather · resolved market

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on June 9?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$18,088
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$19,538

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,088 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Weather
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8882…03fbbacked Yes21c813.84$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$641.1751733.3%172 W · 345 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7735…4740backed Yes21c812.55$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$639.5525933.6%87 W · 172 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b40…ced4backed No17c646.46$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.2195852.5%503 W · 455 L+103.2wins+0.11per pick42cpaid+9.4%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed No11c569.24$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.141,54360.5%934 W · 609 L-19.5wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed No16c481.35$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.67,1489.3%666 W · 6,482 L-1,105.8wins-0.15per pick25cpaid-75.9%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x8a25…ba81backed Yes78c472.56$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.5361760.1%371 W · 246 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xcfff…673dbacked No46c337.09$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.193,05761.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L-35.2wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c63…93d4backed Yes21c211.46$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.3910,35437.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L+417.6wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+16.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc34f…7d2ebacked No79c198.79$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.8312,17346.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L-42.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-13.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7f4…1e34backed Yes26c197.78$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.611,31245%590 W · 722 L+33.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed No14c182.47$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.396,59253.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L+400.2wins+0.06per pick47cpaid-6.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa50b…12c4backed Yes28c169.1$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.795238.5%20 W · 32 L+5.5wins+0.11per pick28cpaid+8.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x16c7…22cdbacked No18c160.64$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.552,07558.9%1,223 W · 852 L+102.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+0.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x82e7…f552backed Yes25c159.8$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.1235441%145 W · 209 L-19.3wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-22.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xab38…acf6backed Yes33c155.25$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.785040%20 W · 30 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfbd8…4027backed No57c152$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.085,63159.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L-111.1wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77f0…2b1fbacked No78c141.29$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.983,02849.8%1,509 W · 1,519 L+16.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes25c135.93$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.549,79944.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L+256.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+12.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x94b1…27cbbacked No77c135.83$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.9597570.6%688 W · 287 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick70cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x28bf…4a4ebacked No8c131$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.325,38956%3,017 W · 2,372 L-120.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe29f…cdd8backed Yes25c130.3$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.316641%68 W · 98 L+8.3wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd9b5…9db1backed No18c129.67$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.0188650.2%445 W · 441 L-14.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x906f…371abacked No78c124.18$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.422,49569.9%1,744 W · 751 L+80.3wins+0.03per pick67cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbd71…1281backed Yes27c111.42$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.253951.9%280 W · 259 L+54.4wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+23%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x96e6…fecebacked Yes35c98.69$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.6926142.1%110 W · 151 L+15.8wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+16%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb40e…7cc9backed No59c93.34$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.0412,49819.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L-2,667.3wins-0.21per pick41cpaid-66.8%equal weight26-0.21 edge/pick
0x1f85…7b02backed No40c84.6$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.142,06855.9%1,156 W · 912 L+44.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x12ea…a131backed No77c84.47$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.3698565.1%641 W · 344 L-13.1wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1735…0319backed Yes16c80.96$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.731,48015.6%231 W · 1,249 L+26.5wins+0.02per pick14cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1798…1ce9backed Yes25c79.47$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.732,42844.9%1,091 W · 1,337 L-31.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x510f…a43cbacked No73c77.95$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.623,47433.9%1,177 W · 2,297 L-175.6wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-28.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf9cc…59abbacked No77c77.39$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.9768867.2%462 W · 226 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d3e…c49ebacked No78c76.99$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.051,11065%722 W · 388 L+38.1wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x818b…1646backed Yes38c72.87$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.1810850.9%55 W · 53 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a0c…a853backed Yes21c72.74$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.732,24934.2%769 W · 1,480 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e72…ffb9backed No42c70.6$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.842,10256.5%1,188 W · 914 L+61.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8297…d600backed No74c65.72$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.6913448.5%65 W · 69 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-14.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9196…d934backed Yes47c65$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.4564460.6%390 W · 254 L+92.2wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+36.4%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x5068…1ffabacked No79c65$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.455457.4%31 W · 23 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-15.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9cef…8fa3backed Yes38c63.91$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.5239346.6%183 W · 210 L+29.9wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+18.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1f4c…ea41backed Yes22c61$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.8571031.5%224 W · 486 L+3.2wins0.00per pick31cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb4…4ea8backed Yes31c60.32$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.327562.7%47 W · 28 L+10.3wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+26.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xc037…1814backed Yes58c59.99$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.19955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-11.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe985…8cc8backed No21c59.52$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.58325.3%21 W · 62 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-41.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b08…ab3ebacked No53c58.49$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.8511650%58 W · 58 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1b9…47b6backed Yes37c57.23$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.241225%3 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-38.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64f8…eec6backed Yes49c56.04$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.582373.9%17 W · 6 L+3.0wins+0.13per pick61cpaid+12.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed No77c55$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.359,49045.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L-278.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8fbd…a959backed No36c53.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.658,95226.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L+120.3wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda89…6215backed Yes28c53.75$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.753138.7%12 W · 19 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick31cpaid+53.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4ef0…62e0backed No78c53.54$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.7619052.1%99 W · 91 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf31…3255backed No80c50$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403850%19 W · 19 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf512…79aabacked Yes25c50$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.52825%7 W · 21 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-19.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1941…deeabacked Yes49c47.96$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.461,07236.6%392 W · 680 L+25.9wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xebf0…2330backed Yes38c46.07$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.441051.7%212 W · 198 L+24.9wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc71b…e265backed No80c40.6$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.348149.5%238 W · 243 L-26.0wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-17.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x97ad…9a0dbacked Yes72c37.26$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.4423463.7%149 W · 85 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2754…1668backed No47c37.19$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.651,01860.2%613 W · 405 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd717…3b85backed No42c34.89$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.732,05057.4%1,177 W · 873 L+72.2wins+0.04per pick54cpaid-1.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe57c…1d8fbacked No78c30.1$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.581030%3 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x50b1…0793backed No76c30$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.7543663.5%277 W · 159 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05e1…4c1ebacked No80c30$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.949675.4%374 W · 122 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick75cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0380…073dbacked No72c28.39$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.524,25765.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L+17.6wins0.00per pick65cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x170b…4737backed No76c27.09$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.5380957.6%466 W · 343 L-19.4wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8b6…3b38backed No78c25.64$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2047175.6%356 W · 115 L+2.1wins0.00per pick75cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86c2…8010backed No57c25$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.251,27147.6%605 W · 666 L-25.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x53bc…be7cbacked No78c22.78$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.7262770.5%442 W · 185 L-0.2wins0.00per pick71cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4174…18fabacked No69c22.48$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.451,07961.2%660 W · 419 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x69f0…fb27backed No63c22.3$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.942,11858.2%1,233 W · 885 L+78.8wins+0.04per pick54cpaid-3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0739…aba8backed No80c21.41$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.0737355%205 W · 168 L+20.5wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7df0…0dfebacked No77c21.39$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.453,64265.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L+33.6wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecc6…55bfbacked No78c20.55$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168385.5%71 W · 12 L+6.2wins+0.08per pick78cpaid+9.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4167…f99abacked No75c20$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151,03668.6%711 W · 325 L-33.9wins-0.03per pick72cpaid-4.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xedbd…dd60backed No79c20$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.73,30165%2,147 W · 1,154 L-38.5wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ea7…7450backed No71c19.59$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1441760.4%252 W · 165 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7615…308abacked No66c19.48$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.8918441.3%76 W · 108 L-0.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-23%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38a1…3154backed No76c16.83$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.872,06774.6%1,542 W · 525 L+23.8wins+0.01per pick73cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ab7…0bd3backed Yes78c15$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.3544536.6%163 W · 282 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa65d…343fbacked No67c15$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x59ad…0cf2backed No80c14.03$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.226761.2%41 W · 26 L-7.0wins-0.10per pick72cpaid-16.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.