TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

San Marino: Filippo Romano vs Otto Virtanen

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Otto Virtanenof Filippo Romano, Otto Virtanen
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$40,651
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$42,647

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,651 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x32b4…8b21backed Otto Virtanen73c5,702$4,166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,536.093,60542.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L-43.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Filippo Romano27c3,717$995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$995.21,43524.3%348 W · 1,087 L-36.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-22.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Filippo Romano28c2,789$786 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$786.434,24152.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L+65.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Filippo Romano27c2,037$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5501,86544.7%834 W · 1,031 L+36.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Filippo Romano27c2,037$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549.991,86545.6%851 W · 1,014 L+50.3wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Otto Virtanen72c1,953$1,406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$546.933,25648.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L-53.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Otto Virtanen72c1,529$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.398,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b13…2f02backed Filippo Romano5c1,500$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$759040%36 W · 54 L+6.4wins+0.07per pick33cpaid+15%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Otto Virtanen76c1,418$1,082 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336.484,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb767…d848backed Otto Virtanen74c1,351$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.3522667.7%153 W · 73 L+1.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Filippo Romano27c1,155$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.142,46238.5%948 W · 1,514 L+93.1wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+13.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Filippo Romano33c842.17$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.922,06148.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L+35.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc6d2…d00fbacked Filippo Romano37c599.32$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.7511741.9%49 W · 68 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Otto Virtanen73c582.23$427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.511,67948.1%808 W · 871 L+36.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Filippo Romano26c568.74$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.411,72948.9%845 W · 884 L+53.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Otto Virtanen78c427.43$331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.998,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Filippo Romano27c409.59$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.551,70844.8%766 W · 942 L-18.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-22.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Otto Virtanen75c398.61$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.442,04946.8%958 W · 1,091 L+19.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Otto Virtanen63c336.48$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.555,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Filippo Romano5c335.79$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.074,93441.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L-77.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xebd9…bdc7backed Filippo Romano60c311.92$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.154542.2%19 W · 26 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Filippo Romano54c275.36$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1502,14554.2%1,162 W · 983 L-1.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42d6…01ccbacked Otto Virtanen73c273.97$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.971,07762.8%676 W · 401 L-27.9wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed Filippo Romano27c273.97$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.977,04939.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L-20.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Filippo Romano9c202.67$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.974,18544.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L+14.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Filippo Romano33c200$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$662,76153.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L+73.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c2c…90d4backed Otto Virtanen52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9623454.7%128 W · 106 L+10.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc22e…eab8backed Filippo Romano31c195.38$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6027139.1%106 W · 165 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x116c…0685backed Otto Virtanen69c180.14$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.9414757.1%84 W · 63 L-10.3wins-0.07per pick64cpaid-11.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6717…d6ebbacked Filippo Romano28c178.57$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5036349.6%180 W · 183 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x50d7…f9bbbacked Filippo Romano23c166.32$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399832.7%32 W · 66 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Filippo Romano33c160.61$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$533,22040.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L+28.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Filippo Romano33c154.55$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$513,42439.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L-12.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Filippo Romano40c148.82$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.216,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2396…9485backed Filippo Romano29c131.77$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.1125546.7%119 W · 136 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0df7…1ec1backed Otto Virtanen73c115$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.41,85357.7%1,069 W · 784 L+106.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+3.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc9c3…079fbacked Otto Virtanen74c109$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.3489364.4%575 W · 318 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4126…e68bbacked Otto Virtanen78c107$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.451,15969%800 W · 359 L+56.8wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xecdb…c4c7backed Filippo Romano31c102$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.6655941.3%231 W · 328 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaaa1…d5dabacked Filippo Romano17c100$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1751942.6%221 W · 298 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb88a…f6adbacked Filippo Romano25c99$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.7511345.1%51 W · 62 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+14%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5633…59bcbacked Filippo Romano25c98.99$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.7512545.6%57 W · 68 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+12.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xac71…b3eabacked Otto Virtanen41c97.05$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.0515748.4%76 W · 81 L-0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Otto Virtanen59c90.18$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.961,71053.7%918 W · 792 L+30.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf336…d660backed Filippo Romano12c84$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.441353.8%7 W · 6 L+2.4wins+0.19per pick35cpaid+47.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6feb…c082backed Filippo Romano27c81.52$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.0130644.1%135 W · 171 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xecae…c544backed Otto Virtanen71c80.63$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.3643144.8%193 W · 238 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6384…3d67backed Otto Virtanen73c76.29$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.612061.7%74 W · 46 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c80…e19bbacked Filippo Romano15c66.67$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1017748%85 W · 92 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x212b…0ba5backed Filippo Romano31c65.12$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2013435.8%48 W · 86 L-0.2wins0.00per pick36cpaid+8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Otto Virtanen76c65$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.61,53240.7%624 W · 908 L-48.7wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Otto Virtanen79c61.38$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.096,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Filippo Romano33c60$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.855941.9%234 W · 325 L-27.0wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-21.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x85af…c5ffbacked Filippo Romano28c57.14$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163930.8%12 W · 27 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1eb9…2e4cbacked Otto Virtanen75c46.67$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.6710266.7%68 W · 34 L+0.1wins0.00per pick67cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47c9…2038backed Filippo Romano32c41$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.1244138.8%171 W · 270 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Filippo Romano32c40.51$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.143,66145.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L-8.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a8d…7688backed Otto Virtanen68c40.44$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.833165%215 W · 116 L+22.6wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+7.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbe01…b45dbacked Otto Virtanen75c40$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1022377.6%173 W · 50 L+0.6wins0.00per pick77cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Filippo Romano39c39.99$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.641,62949%798 W · 831 L-51.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-18.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2077…8161backed Otto Virtanen76c38.25$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.181,02157.8%590 W · 431 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd96…11a3backed Otto Virtanen74c37.69$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.692,27458%1,318 W · 956 L-10.3wins0.00per pick58cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ac4…356fbacked Otto Virtanen79c30.38$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.37425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-68.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x042d…0b81backed Otto Virtanen74c30.3$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.8818666.7%124 W · 62 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x365f…706abacked Otto Virtanen75c30.14$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.621,79546.6%837 W · 958 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x91ac…5ff3backed Otto Virtanen69c28.79$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.7860141.1%247 W · 354 L-11.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5061…4b02backed Otto Virtanen70c28.57$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.576663.6%42 W · 24 L+9.9wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+46.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x03dd…49c8backed Filippo Romano60c28.22$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.9346851.5%241 W · 227 L+17.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x11a2…0532backed Otto Virtanen75c27.18$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.7920570.7%145 W · 60 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick68cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x88f9…5c03backed Otto Virtanen59c27$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.0736557.3%209 W · 156 L+16.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9ef1…5acabacked Otto Virtanen74c27$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.021,79460.2%1,080 W · 714 L+6.8wins0.00per pick60cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf3d…1a59backed Otto Virtanen75c26.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.675253.8%28 W · 24 L-4.6wins-0.09per pick63cpaid-14.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9755…ab85backed Otto Virtanen76c26$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.2435851.7%185 W · 173 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4359…c338backed Otto Virtanen64c25.16$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.065152.9%27 W · 24 L-5.6wins-0.11per pick64cpaid-21.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Otto Virtanen76c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.82,08252.3%1,088 W · 994 L+19.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Otto Virtanen76c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.81,72552.2%901 W · 824 L-8.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Otto Virtanen76c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.81,76752.1%920 W · 847 L-2.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00c5…b5e9backed Otto Virtanen76c19.12$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.5923162.8%145 W · 86 L+0.6wins0.00per pick63cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xccf4…c2eabacked Filippo Romano56c18.95$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.654358.1%25 W · 18 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x767e…98cabacked Otto Virtanen71c15.2$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.4140861.3%250 W · 158 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x12b8…ff48backed Otto Virtanen79c12.61$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.6110955%60 W · 49 L-0.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.