Tennis · resolved market
Cincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz vs Christopher O'Connell
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x07ddeab6e7b1709fa00a2d6b7fa1f7f1de0246f512ddb8f83f004ce41227f7e8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Taylor Fritzof Taylor Fritz, Christopher O'Connell
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $504,102
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $531,966
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $504,102 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc2e7…be51backed Christopher O'Connell | 13c | 187,341$24,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,720.39 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Christopher O'Connell | 7c | 32,663$2,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,154.03 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8713…196bbacked Christopher O'Connell | 11c | 18,190$2,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000.89 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf3…e802backed Christopher O'Connell | 12c | 12,600$1,528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,527.61 | 477 | 28.1%134 W · 343 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Christopher O'Connell | 11c | 10,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 374 | 50%187 W · 187 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Christopher O'Connell | 13c | 8,359$1,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,086.67 | 611 | 52.2%319 W · 292 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Christopher O'Connell | 11c | 7,846$863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$863.06 | 172 | 47.7%82 W · 90 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x565c…878dbacked Christopher O'Connell | 12c | 7,500$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 107 | 30.8%33 W · 74 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Christopher O'Connell | 11c | 4,545$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.95 | 2,174 | 36.9%802 W · 1,372 L | +39.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Christopher O'Connell | 4c | 3,608$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.7 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Christopher O'Connell | 12c | 3,500$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.53 | 1,795 | 46.6%837 W · 958 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Christopher O'Connell | 5c | 2,678$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.9 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Christopher O'Connell | 11c | 2,470$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.24 | 1,729 | 48.9%845 W · 884 L | +53.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Christopher O'Connell | 12c | 2,422$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.62 | 172 | 44.8%77 W · 95 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Christopher O'Connell | 11c | 2,148$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.83 | 1,679 | 48.1%808 W · 871 L | +36.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…ff0fbacked Christopher O'Connell | 11c | 2,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2978…b511backed Christopher O'Connell | 7c | 2,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 423 | 32.4%137 W · 286 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75a7…2d61backed Christopher O'Connell | 16c | 1,910$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.65 | 717 | 25.2%181 W · 536 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd355…e402backed Christopher O'Connell | 16c | 1,250$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 145 | 36.6%53 W · 92 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Christopher O'Connell | 7c | 1,133$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.77 | 877 | 41.3%362 W · 515 L | -14.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Christopher O'Connell | 14c | 1,102$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.22 | 1,435 | 24.3%348 W · 1,087 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Christopher O'Connell | 11c | 1,014$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.52 | 689 | 51.1%352 W · 337 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Christopher O'Connell | 15c | 926.42$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.34 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Christopher O'Connell | 6c | 833.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 300 | 53.7%161 W · 139 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Christopher O'Connell | 7c | 786.79$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.31 | 353 | 57.2%202 W · 151 L | +17.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Christopher O'Connell | 10c | 765.56$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.61 | 425 | 46.4%197 W · 228 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Christopher O'Connell | 12c | 630.03$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.86 | 883 | 58.2%514 W · 369 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb3…f890backed Christopher O'Connell | 12c | 525.32$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.61 | 133 | 51.1%68 W · 65 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…77eebacked Christopher O'Connell | 9c | 500$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 819 | 33.1%271 W · 548 L | -30.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb797…e779backed Christopher O'Connell | 17c | 499.99$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +8.3wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Christopher O'Connell | 10c | 381.81$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94b9…2592backed Christopher O'Connell | 15c | 270$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.91 | 112 | 18.8%21 W · 91 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x962e…1d75backed Christopher O'Connell | 6c | 257.52$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 401 | 61.1%245 W · 156 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd812…203fbacked Christopher O'Connell | 10c | 234.55$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.58 | 105 | 37.1%39 W · 66 L | -11.3wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Christopher O'Connell | 12c | 159.92$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.43 | 149 | 45%67 W · 82 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…fc23backed Christopher O'Connell | 10c | 150$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 1,861 | 44.4%827 W · 1,034 L | -15.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Christopher O'Connell | 13c | 134.71$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 309 | 31.1%96 W · 213 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Christopher O'Connell | 14c | 125$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.85 | 1,708 | 44.8%766 W · 942 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x027a…5da8backed Christopher O'Connell | 13c | 104$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.52 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 33cpaid | -77.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x48cf…c7dfbacked Christopher O'Connell | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 194 | 52.1%101 W · 93 L | -13.6wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz vs Christopher O'Connellthis page
- Fritz vs. O'Connell: Match O/U 21.5Under won
- Fritz vs. O'Connell: Match O/U 22.5Under won
- Set 1 Winner: Fritz vs O'ConnellFritz won
- Set 2 Winner: Fritz vs O'ConnellFritz won
- Set Handicap: Fritz (-1.5) vs O'Connell (+1.5)Fritz won
- Taylor Fritz vs. Christopher O'Connell: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.