TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Inter Miami CF vs. Toronto FC: O/U 5.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$5,652
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$6,934

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,652 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc291…5d74backed Over9c1,209$109 inLost-$108.791,88036.6%688 W · 1,192 L-7.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x65b5…aa71backed Under75c1,000$750 inWon+$25014062.1%87 W · 53 L-0.5wins0.00per pick62cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over25c768.8$192 inLost-$192.23,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under75c328.38$246 inWon+$82.771,27048%610 W · 660 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over7c308.41$22 inLost-$21.6999340.1%398 W · 595 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over25c258.85$65 inLost-$64.7168150.8%346 W · 335 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over20c157.04$31 inLost-$31.4198945.4%449 W · 540 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfcc7…4d38backed Under76c146.04$111 inWon+$35.054755.3%26 W · 21 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over28c142.78$40 inLost-$39.6296756.8%549 W · 418 L+73.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Over16c125$20 inLost-$204042.5%17 W · 23 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-31.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b40…cf5fbacked Under75c100$75 inWon+$25366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d56…1c7dbacked Over23c86.96$20 inLost-$204323.3%10 W · 33 L-5.6wins-0.13per pick36cpaid-46.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xbaf3…2286backed Over26c84.65$22 inLost-$22.011866.7%12 W · 6 L+3.2wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+36.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6d38…cc4ebacked Over13c84.12$11 inLost-$11.15520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick38cpaid-70.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over16c62.5$10 inLost-$1025652.3%134 W · 122 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x66e7…8bcdbacked Under77c33$25 inWon+$7.592055%11 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Under72c30$22 inWon+$8.444447.3%210 W · 234 L-1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbbdd…bd60backed Under75c30$23 inWon+$7.52454.2%13 W · 11 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Under72c29$21 inWon+$8.1236646.7%171 W · 195 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Under72c28.78$21 inWon+$8.0623350.6%118 W · 115 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Under74c26.62$20 inWon+$6.925525.5%14 W · 41 L-9.9wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-44.6%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under79c20.95$17 inWon+$4.3871443.7%312 W · 402 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-6.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under78c18$14 inWon+$3.961,30151.2%666 W · 635 L-19.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.