TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Spread: Toronto FC (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Inter Miami CFof Toronto FC, Inter Miami CF
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$11,980
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$14,502

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,980 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x21f3…35e3backed Toronto FC4c1,667$73 inLost-$73.354348.8%21 W · 22 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-9.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Toronto FC7c1,161$78 inLost-$78.451,44436.8%532 W · 912 L-12.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Toronto FC4c627.3$25 inLost-$25.093,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22af…399abacked Toronto FC30c626.58$185 inLost-$185.372326.1%6 W · 17 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick27cpaid+21%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Inter Miami CF52c597.83$309 inWon+$288.71,88036.6%688 W · 1,192 L-7.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa71d…9854backed Toronto FC63c483.25$303 inLost-$3032860.7%17 W · 11 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Inter Miami CF74c398.87$296 inWon+$102.3936646.7%171 W · 195 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x91fe…c1c6backed Inter Miami CF39c179.61$70 inWon+$109.5638246.1%176 W · 206 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5ad5…37b9backed Toronto FC6c176$11 inLost-$11.4210045%45 W · 55 L+18.7wins+0.19per pick26cpaid+97.5%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Toronto FC59c153.68$90 inLost-$90.1971443.7%312 W · 402 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-6.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Toronto FC45c114$51 inLost-$51.0831446.5%146 W · 168 L-10.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a41…f527backed Toronto FC69c109.32$75 inLost-$74.992055%11 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid+5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x162c…6c47backed Toronto FC60c107.8$65 inLost-$64.674148.8%20 W · 21 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Inter Miami CF31c103.99$32 inWon+$71.822042.7%94 W · 126 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Inter Miami CF41c103.44$42 inWon+$61.2444447.3%210 W · 234 L-1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd577…c012backed Toronto FC64c94.04$60 inLost-$603262.5%20 W · 12 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+15.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2bb8…7017backed Toronto FC61c81.97$50 inLost-$502458.3%14 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdf15…a1febacked Toronto FC61c81.97$50 inLost-$505068%34 W · 16 L+5.8wins+0.12per pick56cpaid+21.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7b94…09dcbacked Toronto FC61c81.97$50 inLost-$502060%12 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+9.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d8a…24c2backed Toronto FC68c74$50 inLost-$50.391643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7eeb…b6bdbacked Toronto FC25c68.73$17 inLost-$17.251442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick38cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9409…5b36backed Inter Miami CF46c61.65$29 inWon+$33.021030%3 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-32.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Inter Miami CF40c50.89$20 inWon+$30.5947240.7%192 W · 280 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa1fd…9994backed Toronto FC64c31.27$20 inLost-$201560%9 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+16.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x947d…dff0backed Toronto FC66c30.34$20 inLost-$19.993557.1%20 W · 15 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x10af…2d06backed Toronto FC68c29.36$20 inLost-$19.991338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.17per pick56cpaid-25.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Inter Miami CF68c25$17 inWon+$7.9582044.5%365 W · 455 L-16.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x282b…cc76backed Toronto FC68c17.62$12 inLost-$122060%12 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+12.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba1d…d326backed Inter Miami CF78c17.3$13 inWon+$3.815440.7%22 W · 32 L-0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-21.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.