Mls · resolved market
Inter Miami CF vs. Toronto FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1826e74fb67f7132eb736cf8f86fad05d77997d438ddf9bbd48c862df63a1b7f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,705
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,205
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,705 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 32c | 9,375$3,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,023.47 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb10b…0b04backed Yes | 69c | 5,555$3,833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,722.05 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…142bbacked No | 48c | 3,199$1,549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,548.8 | 58 | 13.8%8 W · 50 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 62c | 2,867$1,765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,101.71 | 526 | 39.5%208 W · 318 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 52c | 1,570$813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$757.11 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 62c | 1,364$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.11 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 69c | 835$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.26 | 355 | 50.4%179 W · 176 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Yes | 64c | 745.3$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.14 | 362 | 47.2%171 W · 191 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 38c | 558.29$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.43 | 472 | 40.7%192 W · 280 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 63c | 365.69$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.58 | 366 | 46.7%171 W · 195 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 64c | 298.74$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.06 | 443 | 50.6%224 W · 219 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 40c | 257.06$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.23 | 714 | 43.7%312 W · 402 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8612…98a6backed Yes | 66c | 248.75$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.01 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 31c | 227.43$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.33 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 31c | 181.2$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.17 | 204 | 49%100 W · 104 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 50c | 166$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83 | 923 | 46.6%430 W · 493 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 50c | 166$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed No | 31c | 156.82$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.4 | 128 | 48.4%62 W · 66 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 57c | 143$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.49 | 802 | 49.8%399 W · 403 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked No | 31c | 138$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.78 | 529 | 23.8%126 W · 403 L | -25.8wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 68c | 137.93$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.67 | 734 | 38.1%280 W · 454 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 31c | 133.17$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.03 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8815…5295backed Yes | 58c | 99.99$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4348…f08abacked No | 28c | 99.93$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.98 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91fe…c1c6backed Yes | 69c | 84$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.78 | 382 | 46.1%176 W · 206 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Yes | 62c | 82.69$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.51 | 198 | 52.5%104 W · 94 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 60c | 81.6$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.69 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 54c | 74$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.61 | 820 | 44.5%365 W · 455 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7655…f0b2backed Yes | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c86…a7a3backed No | 35c | 71.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…ab49backed No | 42c | 59.52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1045…06c8backed Yes | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +6.8wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked No | 27c | 54.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.74 | 309 | 57%176 W · 133 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f6…4f7fbacked No | 30c | 52.45$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.74 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 483 | 44.9%217 W · 266 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8594…7eedbacked Yes | 61c | 49.08$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.08 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | +4.4wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 69c | 36$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 328 | 48.8%160 W · 168 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked No | 30c | 35.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 270 | 47%127 W · 143 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked No | 53c | 34.46$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.16 | 314 | 46.5%146 W · 168 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdeef…a391backed Yes | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Yes | 61c | 26.39$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.29 | 171 | 37.4%64 W · 107 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d40…ba95backed Yes | 62c | 24.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Yes | 51c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 202 | 52%105 W · 97 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbace…34d6backed Yes | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 67c | 16.84$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.56 | 681 | 50.8%346 W · 335 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Inter Miami CF vs. Toronto FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Inter Miami CF vs. Toronto FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Inter Miami CF vs. Toronto FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Inter Miami CF vs. Toronto FC: Inter Miami CF O/U 0.5Over won
- Inter Miami CF vs. Toronto FC: Inter Miami CF O/U 1.5Under won
- Inter Miami CF vs. Toronto FC: Inter Miami CF O/U 2.5Under won
- Inter Miami CF vs. Toronto FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Inter Miami CF vs. Toronto FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Inter Miami CF vs. Toronto FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Inter Miami CF vs. Toronto FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Inter Miami CF vs. Toronto FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Inter Miami CF vs. Toronto FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Inter Miami CF vs. Toronto FC: Toronto FC O/U 1.5Over won
- Inter Miami CF vs. Toronto FC: Toronto FC O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Inter Miami CF (-1.5)Toronto FC won
- Spread: Inter Miami CF (-2.5)Toronto FC won
- Spread: Toronto FC (-1.5)Inter Miami CF won
- Spread: Toronto FC (-2.5)Inter Miami CF won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.