TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Inter Miami CF vs. Toronto FC: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$16,971
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$19,380

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,971 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe57d…bf4cbacked Under5c4,227$194 inLost-$194.48812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick17cpaid-78.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7245…4b00backed Under2c3,125$50 inLost-$49.992147.6%10 W · 11 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick41cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under12c1,412$167 inLost-$167.021,88036.6%688 W · 1,192 L-7.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over68c1,030$704 inWon+$325.9999340.1%398 W · 595 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under19c336.84$65 inLost-$65.461,26245.2%571 W · 691 L-28.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-21.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4502…9eedbacked Under33c303.03$100 inLost-$1002548%12 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-31.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5630…6ca8backed Over73c272.9$200 inWon+$72.93568.6%24 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under23c171.22$39 inLost-$39.2422841.7%95 W · 133 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under24c171.22$41 inLost-$41.2782044.5%365 W · 455 L-16.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Under40c165.5$65 inLost-$65.4344447.3%210 W · 234 L-1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Under40c163$65 inLost-$65.4331446.5%146 W · 168 L-10.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over77c132.49$102 inWon+$30.4736247.2%171 W · 191 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5659…7a6bbacked Under10c106$11 inLost-$10.652923.8%126 W · 403 L-25.8wins-0.05per pick29cpaid-18%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7629…226cbacked Under19c105.36$20 inLost-$20.023231.3%10 W · 22 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Under38c100$38 inLost-$3827344.3%121 W · 152 L-8.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-18.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x91fe…c1c6backed Over71c91$65 inWon+$26.4638246.1%176 W · 206 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd170…a9d9backed Over60c90$54 inWon+$361030%3 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-41.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7e66…6d36backed Over57c87.72$50 inWon+$37.72560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Under32c74$24 inLost-$23.6835247.7%168 W · 184 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Under41c50$21 inLost-$20.6644350.6%224 W · 219 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over64c48.45$31 inWon+$17.6871443.7%312 W · 402 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-6.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xffac…d469backed Over61c40$24 inWon+$15.65263.5%33 W · 19 L+4.3wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+16.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x71e8…2f67backed Over68c36.75$25 inWon+$11.76977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.12per pick66cpaid+22.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under42c25.13$11 inLost-$10.6746156.2%259 W · 202 L+13.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over78c19.41$15 inWon+$4.2748344.9%217 W · 266 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked Over70c16.73$12 inWon+$5.0214652.1%76 W · 70 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.