Mls · resolved market
Inter Miami CF vs. Toronto FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8bae3e1dd045d575132370cacbfa0d2778f866ff7a077315bcab23b4ed965389
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,601
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,987
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,601 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf588…04fabacked Over | 42c | 4,683$1,973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,709.62 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 18c | 2,647$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.53 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 58c | 1,852$1,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,071.61 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 55c | 1,237$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680.14 | 714 | 43.7%312 W · 402 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 18c | 1,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 728 | 50.7%369 W · 359 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ea…9c73backed Under | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Over | 76c | 926.07$704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.37 | 171 | 37.4%64 W · 107 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 37c | 893.03$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.01 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7245…4b00backed Under | 6c | 857.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.8 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 61c | 789.13$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.62 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 48c | 749.55$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.62 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34b8…81afbacked Under | 60c | 666.67$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3824…e756backed Under | 39c | 502.21$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.36 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 18c | 429.02$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.54 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 75c | 371.71$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.54 | 989 | 45.4%449 W · 540 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Under | 18c | 344.71$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.05 | 200 | 43%86 W · 114 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 31c | 339.44$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.35 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Under | 51c | 271.6$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.83 | 444 | 47.3%210 W · 234 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47d9…54b7backed Under | 31c | 192.74$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.75 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Under | 60c | 179.13$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.4 | 352 | 47.7%168 W · 184 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Under | 25c | 140.34$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.13 | 529 | 23.8%126 W · 403 L | -25.8wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5630…6ca8backed Over | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 19c | 130$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 204 | 49%100 W · 104 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 19c | 104.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.76 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad9e…53c2backed Over | 78c | 102.56$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.56 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.35per pick | 68cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd170…a9d9backed Over | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 39c | 84.9$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.48 | 362 | 47.2%171 W · 191 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 64c | 84.38$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.72 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x056b…5a03backed Under | 24c | 82.54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.22 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e66…6d36backed Over | 64c | 77.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.79 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf423…31c4backed Under | 41c | 72$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.42 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 42c | 69.69$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.33 | 820 | 44.5%365 W · 455 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95e9…67b6backed Over | 42c | 66.64$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.65 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd68e…8048backed Over | 80c | 60$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 20 | 80%16 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 75cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Over | 66c | 54$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.3 | 146 | 52.1%76 W · 70 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…07d9backed Under | 59c | 50.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.06 | 44 | 70.5%31 W · 13 L | +5.4wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 63c | 45$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.85 | 472 | 40.7%192 W · 280 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…c830backed Over | 57c | 36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.57 | 199 | 60.8%121 W · 78 L | +22.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x37b0…799fbacked Under | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 37c | 30.76$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.38 | 461 | 56.2%259 W · 202 L | +13.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa797…dedebacked Over | 68c | 30.5$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.7 | 146 | 57.5%84 W · 62 L | +14.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1bec…8d52backed Over | 71c | 23.89$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.93 | 61 | 63.9%39 W · 22 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x91fe…c1c6backed Over | 72c | 23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 382 | 46.1%176 W · 206 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 60c | 21.56$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.94 | 149 | 57.7%86 W · 63 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc4…4870backed Over | 70c | 18.32$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba5e…153bbacked Over | 78c | 14.88$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.28 | 73 | 39.7%29 W · 44 L | -6.3wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Inter Miami CF vs. Toronto FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Inter Miami CF vs. Toronto FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Inter Miami CF vs. Toronto FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Inter Miami CF vs. Toronto FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Inter Miami CF vs. Toronto FC: Inter Miami CF O/U 0.5Over won
- Inter Miami CF vs. Toronto FC: Inter Miami CF O/U 1.5Under won
- Inter Miami CF vs. Toronto FC: Inter Miami CF O/U 2.5Under won
- Inter Miami CF vs. Toronto FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Inter Miami CF vs. Toronto FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Inter Miami CF vs. Toronto FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Inter Miami CF vs. Toronto FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Inter Miami CF vs. Toronto FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Inter Miami CF vs. Toronto FC: Toronto FC O/U 1.5Over won
- Inter Miami CF vs. Toronto FC: Toronto FC O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Inter Miami CF (-1.5)Toronto FC won
- Spread: Inter Miami CF (-2.5)Toronto FC won
- Spread: Toronto FC (-1.5)Inter Miami CF won
- Spread: Toronto FC (-2.5)Inter Miami CF won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.