Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 96-97°F on June 29?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0841280b09068b4f07e63e18b632e7c6c42fddc9ab0b95976d26f78294a63407
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,298
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,359
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,298 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb8fc…88e1backed Yes | 48c | 769.53$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.52 | 1,298 | 33.1%430 W · 868 L | +39.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked No | 57c | 634.73$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.78 | 2,877 | 55.3%1,590 W · 1,287 L | -59.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 56c | 359.52$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.8 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x655c…1a00backed No | 51c | 250$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.5 | 361 | 50.4%182 W · 179 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ec…710abacked No | 50c | 180$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 135 | 45.9%62 W · 73 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 47c | 165.24$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.58 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8edc…80d8backed Yes | 35c | 147.16$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.19 | 1,179 | 56.4%665 W · 514 L | +19.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea5e…a678backed No | 47c | 130$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.13 | 1,218 | 42%512 W · 706 L | +31.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24e8…4546backed No | 42c | 120$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.6 | 3,065 | 53.7%1,647 W · 1,418 L | -97.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x441a…e9c7backed Yes | 57c | 111.14$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.35 | 395 | 43.5%172 W · 223 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13de…fd91backed No | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 755 | 46.1%348 W · 407 L | -32.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 59c | 93.72$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.84 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed No | 42c | 88.33$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.23 | 2,086 | 51.8%1,080 W · 1,006 L | -45.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68a3…5dd5backed No | 42c | 81.44$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.28 | 467 | 43.7%204 W · 263 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb7…a11abacked Yes | 57c | 75$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 1,196 | 57.9%693 W · 503 L | +47.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 53c | 74.72$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.95 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1917…138bbacked No | 54c | 73.39$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.65 | 337 | 46.9%158 W · 179 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 52c | 68.91$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.86 | 2,010 | 61.5%1,237 W · 773 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 50c | 65$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.2 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…40c0backed No | 49c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.54 | 800 | 50.1%401 W · 399 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc92…27c9backed No | 60c | 51.25$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 632 | 55.7%352 W · 280 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca07…6269backed No | 60c | 51.25$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 716 | 49.4%354 W · 362 L | -18.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e6…7a4dbacked Yes | 20c | 50.11$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 1,699 | 60.6%1,029 W · 670 L | -24.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 74c | 50.05$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.94 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 43c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 805 | 60.6%488 W · 317 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 72c | 48.95$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.65 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 74c | 45.41$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.98 | 2,075 | 58.9%1,223 W · 852 L | +102.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58e6…9ac7backed No | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 197 | 53.8%106 W · 91 L | -12.7wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x61f9…8055backed No | 54c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 905 | 55.6%503 W · 402 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b09…68babacked Yes | 58c | 37.24$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2c…0a2cbacked Yes | 59c | 36.2$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.26 | 1,550 | 56.7%879 W · 671 L | -83.2wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5259…fc71backed Yes | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.87 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 65cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 52c | 35.3$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.24 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0976…f989backed Yes | 58c | 34.47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4174…18fabacked No | 48c | 34.23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.87 | 1,079 | 61.2%660 W · 419 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe373…4807backed No | 65c | 30.81$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.89 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 58c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 42c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96a2…a1a7backed No | 44c | 29.63$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.66 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 42c | 27.66$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.04 | 2,046 | 57%1,167 W · 879 L | +73.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 43c | 27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.39 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacb0…4346backed Yes | 60c | 25.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 159 | 48.4%77 W · 82 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 43c | 25.81$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.82 | 2,090 | 56.7%1,186 W · 904 L | +60.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe63a…0679backed No | 48c | 25.4$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.21 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 73c | 24.73$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.69 | 2,626 | 54%1,418 W · 1,208 L | -56.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe00a…330ebacked Yes | 62c | 24.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 207 | 50.2%104 W · 103 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b8e…aa69backed Yes | 60c | 24.05$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.43 | 308 | 49%151 W · 157 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x170b…4737backed No | 50c | 23.88$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.99 | 809 | 57.6%466 W · 343 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x023c…99a0backed Yes | 46c | 23.78$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…74d3backed No | 44c | 22.98$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.87 | 669 | 44.7%299 W · 370 L | +3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb033…4f19backed No | 51c | 21.23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed Yes | 57c | 20.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 1,243 | 52.5%652 W · 591 L | -18.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb7…df91backed Yes | 58c | 20.7$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.01 | 945 | 52.5%496 W · 449 L | +27.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed Yes | 58c | 20.69$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3,479 | 53%1,845 W · 1,634 L | +72.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 50c | 20.03$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.02 | 1,991 | 52.3%1,042 W · 949 L | -76.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa109…7e42backed Yes | 58c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 110 | 68.2%75 W · 35 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4323…f818backed Yes | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.45 | 53 | 13.2%7 W · 46 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -57%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea83…7393backed No | 57c | 19.73$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.48 | 1,445 | 60.1%868 W · 577 L | +5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 66c | 19.11$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.55 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 96-97°F on June 29?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 108°F or higher on June 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 104-105°F on June 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 106-107°F on June 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on June 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on June 29?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 98-99°F on June 29?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.