Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on June 29?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x875c36eb40196c34602ee9d334a0419c9ff2e9869827803341991b11f28250fd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,197
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,424
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,197 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 33c | 520.69$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.44 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 29c | 414.94$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.64 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fc…88e1backed No | 63c | 399.37$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.07 | 1,298 | 33.1%430 W · 868 L | +39.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked Yes | 37c | 253.03$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.86 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 72c | 142.44$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.61 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb901…9fc4backed Yes | 59c | 132.68$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.2 | 118 | 83.9%99 W · 19 L | +34.3wins | +0.29per pick | 55cpaid | +63.4%equal weight | 77+0.24 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed No | 55c | 129.35$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.4 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 41c | 120.39$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.99 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…8b1fbacked No | 20c | 108.3$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.03 | 538 | 55%296 W · 242 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 57c | 102.02$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.13 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcca3…7450backed Yes | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.02 | 426 | 43.2%184 W · 242 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc196…4af6backed Yes | 34c | 98.63$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.16 | 270 | 56.7%153 W · 117 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 61c | 98$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.58 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91d9…141dbacked Yes | 35c | 80.25$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.22 | 1,256 | 38.2%480 W · 776 L | +53.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe373…4807backed Yes | 42c | 80$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.8 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb7…df91backed No | 76c | 71.15$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.07 | 945 | 52.5%496 W · 449 L | +27.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed No | 76c | 71.05$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 3,479 | 53%1,845 W · 1,634 L | +72.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 26c | 69.93$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8edc…80d8backed Yes | 46c | 66.41$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.86 | 1,179 | 56.4%665 W · 514 L | +19.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 61c | 60$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.67 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6659…b7cabacked No | 56c | 57.8$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.11 | 938 | 37.6%353 W · 585 L | -14.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f9…8055backed Yes | 41c | 55.73$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.96 | 905 | 55.6%503 W · 402 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40ac…647bbacked Yes | 58c | 55$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.15 | 49 | 65.3%32 W · 17 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 75c | 50$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 805 | 60.6%488 W · 317 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a59…8e5cbacked Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 303 | 33%100 W · 203 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7d8…a8cebacked Yes | 38c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 93 | 61.3%57 W · 36 L | +6.0wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7eb5…9400backed No | 57c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 527 | 58.8%310 W · 217 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad7…347abacked Yes | 30c | 49.77$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.77 | 729 | 52.4%382 W · 347 L | +34.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x562b…f9febacked Yes | 32c | 49.21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 74c | 48$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.58 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76d3…f6d9backed No | 73c | 47.95$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…b140backed No | 73c | 45.76$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.34 | 559 | 54.7%306 W · 253 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5de8…3eddbacked Yes | 44c | 44.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 461 | 48.8%225 W · 236 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea83…7393backed Yes | 24c | 44.7$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.97 | 1,445 | 60.1%868 W · 577 L | +5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6424…2718backed No | 62c | 43.11$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.63 | 427 | 54.6%233 W · 194 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1917…138bbacked Yes | 41c | 43.03$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.3 | 337 | 46.9%158 W · 179 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca07…6269backed Yes | 41c | 40$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.6 | 716 | 49.4%354 W · 362 L | -18.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b5e…4ccbbacked Yes | 41c | 40$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x802d…d59abacked Yes | 45c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 1,298 | 41.7%541 W · 757 L | +53.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b09…68babacked Yes | 30c | 38.4$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.88 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd1…557ebacked No | 57c | 36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.43 | 1,169 | 59.4%694 W · 475 L | +30.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96a2…a1a7backed Yes | 32c | 35.9$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.45 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 75c | 35.77$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.93 | 2,093 | 57.1%1,196 W · 897 L | +71.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf370…4f88backed No | 54c | 35.71$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 388 | 60.1%233 W · 155 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x170b…4737backed No | 72c | 35.05$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.37 | 809 | 57.6%466 W · 343 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 61c | 34.63$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.25 | 2,050 | 57.4%1,177 W · 873 L | +72.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x736e…e8c2backed Yes | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.09 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed No | 69c | 31.93$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.04 | 1,280 | 51.2%655 W · 625 L | -33.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 39c | 31.57$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.21 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed No | 47c | 30.51$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.19 | 999 | 61.8%617 W · 382 L | +19.0wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4174…18fabacked No | 64c | 30.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.55 | 1,079 | 61.2%660 W · 419 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6b…9771backed No | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…2132backed No | 59c | 25.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.08 | 714 | 64.3%459 W · 255 L | -37.4wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 57c | 22.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.85 | 2,065 | 56.3%1,163 W · 902 L | +56.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf421…efcebacked No | 50c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 428 | 20.1%86 W · 342 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddb…6a89backed Yes | 50c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 384 | 54.9%211 W · 173 L | +26.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f3e…5337backed No | 68c | 21.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 818 | 48.5%397 W · 421 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bd…e48fbacked Yes | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.23 | 209 | 28.7%60 W · 149 L | -45.3wins | -0.22per pick | 50cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 28-0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x24e8…4546backed No | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 3,065 | 53.7%1,647 W · 1,418 L | -97.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 77c | 19.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.29 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed No | 73c | 19.13$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.96 | 1,243 | 52.5%652 W · 591 L | -18.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 76c | 19$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 1,586 | 61.9%982 W · 604 L | +20.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 56c | 18.69$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.47 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe63a…0679backed No | 57c | 18.42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d0…1d16backed Yes | 68c | 18.08$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.82 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 66c | 17.74$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.71 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa303…2991backed No | 75c | 17$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f4…a8b8backed No | 60c | 16.78$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 66cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 74c | 15.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.35 | 2,124 | 57.4%1,220 W · 904 L | +69.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38a1…3154backed No | 71c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 2,067 | 74.6%1,542 W · 525 L | +23.8wins | +0.01per pick | 73cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa708…9321backed No | 70c | 14.39$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 1,299 | 57.5%747 W · 552 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 77c | 14.11$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 2,102 | 56.5%1,188 W · 914 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on June 29?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 108°F or higher on June 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 104-105°F on June 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 106-107°F on June 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on June 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 96-97°F on June 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 98-99°F on June 29?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.