NHL · resolved market
KHL: SKA St. Petersburg vs. CSKA Moscow
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x088cc9fc875382bba314113883b553b5b12d16e2c7dd0da2fb6ac90ff475f220
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- CSKA Moscowof SKA St. Petersburg, CSKA Moscow
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,754
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,110
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,754 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3cea…03d4backed SKA St. Petersburg | 1c | 1,497$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.97 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29b1…f737backed SKA St. Petersburg | 48c | 1,184$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.98 | 284 | 47.9%136 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0859…43acbacked CSKA Moscow | 53c | 982.41$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.67 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked SKA St. Petersburg | 47c | 460.2$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.16 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34e8…100fbacked CSKA Moscow | 51c | 457.12$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.99 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked CSKA Moscow | 52c | 416.7$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.02 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8191…8a35backed CSKA Moscow | 65c | 252$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.98 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed SKA St. Petersburg | 30c | 232.16$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.59 | 155 | 60%93 W · 62 L | +13.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1df6…cba0backed SKA St. Petersburg | 10c | 208.16$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.63 | 120 | 45.8%55 W · 65 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb980…c8e2backed CSKA Moscow | 53c | 186.79$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.79 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked SKA St. Petersburg | 18c | 150.82$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.17 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked SKA St. Petersburg | 50c | 118.9$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 305 | 49.2%150 W · 155 L | -14.1wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed SKA St. Petersburg | 22c | 108$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.27 | 314 | 48.7%153 W · 161 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4ec…1cc8backed SKA St. Petersburg | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked SKA St. Petersburg | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 454 | 47.8%217 W · 237 L | -17.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed SKA St. Petersburg | 23c | 97.39$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.45 | 253 | 45.5%115 W · 138 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed SKA St. Petersburg | 46c | 96.15$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.23 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05e0…e2cbbacked SKA St. Petersburg | 51c | 96.08$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked SKA St. Petersburg | 18c | 87.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.42 | 920 | 49.7%457 W · 463 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe624…2928backed SKA St. Petersburg | 50c | 81.92$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.92 | 226 | 55.3%125 W · 101 L | +17.7wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed CSKA Moscow | 50c | 76$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 538 | 49.4%266 W · 272 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15c5…4692backed SKA St. Petersburg | 44c | 70$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.9 | 279 | 47.3%132 W · 147 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed SKA St. Petersburg | 37c | 63.86$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.63 | 99 | 44.4%44 W · 55 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9195backed CSKA Moscow | 56c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x241e…04cbbacked CSKA Moscow | 63c | 39.75$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.75 | 62 | 71%44 W · 18 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabf6…129dbacked CSKA Moscow | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 110 | 50.9%56 W · 54 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20a8…d960backed SKA St. Petersburg | 37c | 38.61$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.33 | 366 | 62%227 W · 139 L | +39.1wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdf98…a5c3backed CSKA Moscow | 50c | 21.38$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.69 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d9…df36backed CSKA Moscow | 54c | 21.22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.76 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b36…76eabacked CSKA Moscow | 55c | 20.87$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.35 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa991…f266backed SKA St. Petersburg | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 99 | 54.5%54 W · 45 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.