Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x088e1b153fdc5e7ee968eeb1db26fc35da3612cc0313bef01f3d7d4ed13c6fba
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Xtreme Gamingof Xtreme Gaming, Nigma Galaxy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,336
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,348
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,336 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Nigma Galaxy | 26c | 7,605$2,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,014.65 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25ed…6ac6backed Xtreme Gaming | 66c | 7,117$4,669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,447.89 | 78 | 55.1%43 W · 35 L | +6.7wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Nigma Galaxy | 28c | 4,042$1,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,131.24 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6304…e570backed Nigma Galaxy | 51c | 2,960$1,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,509.72 | 276 | 45.3%125 W · 151 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Xtreme Gaming | 50c | 2,250$1,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,117.5 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…4478backed Nigma Galaxy | 34c | 2,000$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.98 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Xtreme Gaming | 67c | 1,806$1,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.04 | 399 | 36.8%147 W · 252 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd17d…d0eebacked Nigma Galaxy | 33c | 1,733$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.92 | 192 | 46.4%89 W · 103 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed Xtreme Gaming | 69c | 1,590$1,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.25 | 234 | 65%152 W · 82 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b3f…4b41backed Xtreme Gaming | 67c | 1,493$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.69 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Nigma Galaxy | 32c | 1,485$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.4 | 569 | 55.5%316 W · 253 L | +22.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 18c | 1,276$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.38 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…55e8backed Xtreme Gaming | 67c | 1,263$843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.55 | 191 | 47.6%91 W · 100 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51c7…98aabacked Nigma Galaxy | 53c | 1,159$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.44 | 291 | 60.1%175 W · 116 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Xtreme Gaming | 68c | 1,150$787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.77 | 118 | 55.1%65 W · 53 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0c3dbacked Xtreme Gaming | 67c | 1,000$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5388…4d5abacked Nigma Galaxy | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 218 | 47.2%103 W · 115 L | +16.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7fac…bdd8backed Nigma Galaxy | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 134 | 56%75 W · 59 L | +9.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Nigma Galaxy | 33c | 999.99$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x988d…9899backed Xtreme Gaming | 67c | 828$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.31 | 133 | 46.6%62 W · 71 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe612…abc9backed Nigma Galaxy | 47c | 750$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.5 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Nigma Galaxy | 31c | 620$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.05 | 491 | 33.6%165 W · 326 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea5…2af9backed Xtreme Gaming | 67c | 597.01$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.01 | 50 | 78%39 W · 11 L | +7.4wins | +0.15per pick | 63cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9e87…8befbacked Xtreme Gaming | 67c | 594.16$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.16 | 45 | 73.3%33 W · 12 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Nigma Galaxy | 34c | 486.85$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.12 | 91 | 26.4%24 W · 67 L | -9.8wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9942…5c84backed Xtreme Gaming | 55c | 454.55$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.55 | 264 | 53%140 W · 124 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38a3…9a02backed Xtreme Gaming | 66c | 454.55$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.55 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b48…4705backed Xtreme Gaming | 67c | 446.15$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.23 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | +7.6wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +30%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x931f…d15dbacked Xtreme Gaming | 68c | 441.44$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.44 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e78…97d6backed Xtreme Gaming | 67c | 346.06$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a3…b1dfbacked Xtreme Gaming | 65c | 320.77$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.27 | 100 | 48%48 W · 52 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe99e…0084backed Xtreme Gaming | 67c | 306.58$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.17 | 876 | 45.7%400 W · 476 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d47…444fbacked Xtreme Gaming | 66c | 303.03$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.03 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Xtreme Gaming | 67c | 200$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 341 | 54.5%186 W · 155 L | +15.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x064a…9c2fbacked Xtreme Gaming | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -5.6wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3703…2795backed Xtreme Gaming | 67c | 150.75$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.75 | 153 | 41.2%63 W · 90 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Nigma Galaxy | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 641 | 23.4%150 W · 491 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe180…889bbacked Xtreme Gaming | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 124 | 56.5%70 W · 54 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb027…888fbacked Xtreme Gaming | 70c | 142.97$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.11 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -4.3wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xde17…68d2backed Nigma Galaxy | 29c | 128.88$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.28 | 179 | 50.3%90 W · 89 L | +14.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed Nigma Galaxy | 33c | 114.71$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.85 | 464 | 51.5%239 W · 225 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Nigma Galaxy | 20c | 99.31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.15 | 616 | 9.7%60 W · 556 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc1e…07d1backed Xtreme Gaming | 66c | 84.99$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.9 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x419b…6ea1backed Xtreme Gaming | 68c | 73.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.91 | 224 | 53.1%119 W · 105 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eb3…0710backed Xtreme Gaming | 68c | 73.82$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.77 | 111 | 63.1%70 W · 41 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcda0…a51abacked Xtreme Gaming | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 83 | 61.4%51 W · 32 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Nigma Galaxy | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 145 | 37.2%54 W · 91 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x498b…ca86backed Xtreme Gaming | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 107 | 63.6%68 W · 39 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5541…9c6abacked Xtreme Gaming | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad4…721fbacked Xtreme Gaming | 58c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xace6…5556backed Xtreme Gaming | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 233 | 47.2%110 W · 123 L | -15.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7b8…8e45backed Xtreme Gaming | 70c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3)this page
- Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 WinnerXtreme Gaming won
- Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 2 WinnerXtreme Gaming won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.