Premier League · resolved market
Watford FC vs. Southampton FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x09d0ccc2efa6d38dcf153965dc9b7fcba9a2803cfc9f6924bfa796f815e46343
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,646
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,132
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,646 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0a26…1851backed No | 26c | 1,923$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 196 | 52%102 W · 94 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 74c | 1,397$1,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.21 | 1,662 | 34.9%580 W · 1,082 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes | 59c | 824.61$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.09 | 164 | 37.2%61 W · 103 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed No | 41c | 500$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 215 | 48.8%105 W · 110 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 41c | 426$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.66 | 1,012 | 33.2%336 W · 676 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 59c | 344$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.04 | 155 | 47.1%73 W · 82 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a1d…2dd6backed Yes | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.33 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 60c | 163.47$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.39 | 543 | 40.5%220 W · 323 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8709…7d3dbacked Yes | 60c | 163.33$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.33 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 41c | 117.59$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.21 | 592 | 47.6%282 W · 310 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2387…adadbacked No | 33c | 106.06$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 82 | 29.3%24 W · 58 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 578 | 33%191 W · 387 L | -29.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2810…a1a8backed Yes | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 216 | 48.6%105 W · 111 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdd…bd60backed No | 41c | 90$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.9 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 41c | 61$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.01 | 186 | 51.6%96 W · 90 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked No | 44c | 56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.73 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 41c | 51$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.91 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed No | 40c | 48.27$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.31 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf22…8c56backed Yes | 59c | 35.59$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.59 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff2a…3319backed Yes | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2b…ccedbacked Yes | 60c | 21.67$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.67 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a85…3699backed Yes | 76c | 16.68$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Watford FC vs. Southampton FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Spread: Southampton FC (-1.5)Watford FC won
- Spread: Watford FC (-1.5)Southampton FC won
- Watford FC vs. Southampton FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Watford FC vs. Southampton FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Watford FC vs. Southampton FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Watford FC vs. Southampton FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Watford FC vs. Southampton FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Watford FC vs. Southampton FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Watford FC vs. Southampton FC: O/U 5.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.