Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Texas Longhorns vs. Kentucky Wildcats
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0a746343542e4551c0a6cb57e3dcfe9235dfc540c2ef671d2117b4de9b7e8ff2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kentucky Wildcatsof Texas Longhorns, Kentucky Wildcats
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,142
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,357
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,142 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Texas Longhorns | 15c | 4,386$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.88 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Texas Longhorns | 12c | 1,274$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.64 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Kentucky Wildcats | 72c | 1,020$732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.22 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Texas Longhorns | 26c | 979.92$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.2 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c03…811ebacked Texas Longhorns | 34c | 910.53$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.54 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f19…ec51backed Texas Longhorns | 28c | 791$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.93 | 220 | 50.5%111 W · 109 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Kentucky Wildcats | 73c | 632.69$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.98 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Kentucky Wildcats | 73c | 533.54$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.77 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dca…a7acbacked Texas Longhorns | 28c | 522.31$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.08 | 252 | 54.8%138 W · 114 L | -15.7wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Kentucky Wildcats | 73c | 409.99$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.7 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab9…5b82backed Texas Longhorns | 39c | 379.56$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9e5…ef39backed Kentucky Wildcats | 73c | 372.67$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Kentucky Wildcats | 74c | 369.63$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.06 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Kentucky Wildcats | 72c | 340$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.1 | 453 | 51.4%233 W · 220 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Texas Longhorns | 12c | 332$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Texas Longhorns | 29c | 300$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Kentucky Wildcats | 74c | 283.23$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.67 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc44a…81febacked Texas Longhorns | 8c | 277.14$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Texas Longhorns | 26c | 197.66$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.39 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Kentucky Wildcats | 70c | 171.27$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.57 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Texas Longhorns | 27c | 145.45$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.27 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…b65bbacked Texas Longhorns | 11c | 141.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.44 | 193 | 32.1%62 W · 131 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…e5dbbacked Kentucky Wildcats | 76c | 130.72$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.72 | 181 | 67.4%122 W · 59 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Texas Longhorns | 18c | 130$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.86 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Kentucky Wildcats | 74c | 126$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.76 | 415 | 54.2%225 W · 190 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c34…c8b8backed Texas Longhorns | 27c | 111$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.97 | 143 | 39.9%57 W · 86 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Kentucky Wildcats | 78c | 100.11$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.51 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Texas Longhorns | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 192 | 38.5%74 W · 118 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Texas Longhorns | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Texas Longhorns | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.31 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb8…753bbacked Texas Longhorns | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 50 | 18%9 W · 41 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -43%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb9…2612backed Kentucky Wildcats | 73c | 55$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Texas Longhorns | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Kentucky Wildcats | 72c | 48.23$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 202 | 54.5%110 W · 92 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d27…61aabacked Kentucky Wildcats | 77c | 48.01$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Texas Longhorns | 26c | 45.91$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.98 | 668 | 31.4%210 W · 458 L | -43.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x989a…afbcbacked Kentucky Wildcats | 67c | 42.67$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.19 | 703 | 49.6%349 W · 354 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a1…64a3backed Texas Longhorns | 27c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Kentucky Wildcats | 74c | 39$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.05 | 179 | 43.6%78 W · 101 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9324…3934backed Kentucky Wildcats | 74c | 38.92$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70b1…73b2backed Kentucky Wildcats | 64c | 37.13$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.37 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe343…5c31backed Texas Longhorns | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 26 | 0%0 W · 26 L | -4.7wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Kentucky Wildcats | 72c | 23.88$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.69 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x128f…47afbacked Kentucky Wildcats | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 84 | 59.5%50 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Texas Longhorns vs. Kentucky Wildcatsthis page
- Spread: Kentucky Wildcats (-6.5)Texas Longhorns won
- Spread: Kentucky Wildcats (-7.5)Texas Longhorns won
- Texas Longhorns vs. Kentucky Wildcats: O/U 154.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.