Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
South Florida Bulls vs. North Texas Mean Green
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0aa87c069bbba1286ad36c7202de3c980bb96df1976dfdc0c2b8b4901e0c1e80
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- South Florida Bullsof South Florida Bulls, North Texas Mean Green
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,524
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,274
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,524 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked North Texas Mean Green | 7c | 14,566$1,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,086.03 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked South Florida Bulls | 68c | 4,465$3,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,446.82 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked South Florida Bulls | 67c | 3,421$2,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,118.14 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3da4…28d7backed South Florida Bulls | 57c | 3,160$1,791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,369.07 | 158 | 61.4%97 W · 61 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…ed44backed North Texas Mean Green | 40c | 2,075$830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$830.34 | 464 | 46.8%217 W · 247 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98a3…d61ebacked North Texas Mean Green | 51c | 1,943$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked North Texas Mean Green | 12c | 1,747$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.17 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked North Texas Mean Green | 33c | 1,516$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.43 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed North Texas Mean Green | 26c | 1,284$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.97 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked South Florida Bulls | 65c | 1,257$817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.09 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed North Texas Mean Green | 34c | 1,104$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.6 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked North Texas Mean Green | 15c | 841.85$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.2 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked North Texas Mean Green | 10c | 789.33$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.43 | 318 | 37.7%120 W · 198 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ae…f107backed North Texas Mean Green | 31c | 666.58$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.07 | 423 | 27.2%115 W · 308 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde18…83bcbacked South Florida Bulls | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.44 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed North Texas Mean Green | 39c | 435.67$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.01 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed North Texas Mean Green | 13c | 418.45$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.23 | 369 | 42.3%156 W · 213 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…5b4bbacked North Texas Mean Green | 35c | 400$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 113 | 46.9%53 W · 60 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked North Texas Mean Green | 34c | 393.9$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.47 | 529 | 28.4%150 W · 379 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed North Texas Mean Green | 35c | 382.11$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.23 | 820 | 48.2%395 W · 425 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3010…a27cbacked North Texas Mean Green | 25c | 359$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.75 | 140 | 21.4%30 W · 110 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed South Florida Bulls | 66c | 355.12$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.74 | 285 | 39.6%113 W · 172 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed North Texas Mean Green | 35c | 341.09$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.38 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed North Texas Mean Green | 34c | 336.63$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 255 | 44.3%113 W · 142 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed North Texas Mean Green | 5c | 315$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed North Texas Mean Green | 34c | 311.59$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.41 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked North Texas Mean Green | 24c | 283$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.75 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked North Texas Mean Green | 5c | 220$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 399 | 3.3%13 W · 386 L | -21.0wins | -0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -89.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d89…3e65backed North Texas Mean Green | 34c | 200$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 65 | 24.6%16 W · 49 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed North Texas Mean Green | 41c | 197$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.83 | 646 | 47.5%307 W · 339 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed North Texas Mean Green | 24c | 146.37$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.45 | 456 | 44.5%203 W · 253 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked North Texas Mean Green | 17c | 146.03$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.86 | 323 | 43%139 W · 184 L | -18.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked South Florida Bulls | 59c | 114.9$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.5 | 573 | 35.6%204 W · 369 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed North Texas Mean Green | 35c | 110$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.48 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed South Florida Bulls | 68c | 106.86$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked North Texas Mean Green | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 181 | 29.3%53 W · 128 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed North Texas Mean Green | 34c | 92.1$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.31 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed North Texas Mean Green | 17c | 91.63$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.92 | 735 | 49.1%361 W · 374 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked South Florida Bulls | 57c | 79.17$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.17 | 459 | 53.8%247 W · 212 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce0a…2d88backed South Florida Bulls | 61c | 65.44$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.44 | 75 | 57.3%43 W · 32 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed North Texas Mean Green | 35c | 65$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.7 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed North Texas Mean Green | 46c | 60.17$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.65 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd77d…b01cbacked North Texas Mean Green | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 188 | 51.6%97 W · 91 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c34…c8b8backed North Texas Mean Green | 35c | 57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 143 | 39.9%57 W · 86 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed North Texas Mean Green | 31c | 50.35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.7 | 668 | 31.4%210 W · 458 L | -43.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed North Texas Mean Green | 34c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1,070 | 46.9%502 W · 568 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed South Florida Bulls | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 536 | 35.6%191 W · 345 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed North Texas Mean Green | 33c | 46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1f…6500backed North Texas Mean Green | 40c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaad7…5557backed North Texas Mean Green | 34c | 37.02$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.59 | 115 | 36.5%42 W · 73 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed North Texas Mean Green | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 152 | 50%76 W · 76 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed South Florida Bulls | 58c | 27.47$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.54 | 227 | 56.4%128 W · 99 L | +18.5wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x207b…df20backed South Florida Bulls | 66c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x648c…c77ebacked South Florida Bulls | 56c | 23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b51…7292backed South Florida Bulls | 72c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 20 | 80%16 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- South Florida Bulls vs. North Texas Mean Greenthis page
- South Florida Bulls vs. North Texas Mean Green: O/U 144.5Under won
- South Florida Bulls vs. North Texas Mean Green: O/U 145.5Under won
- Spread: South Florida Bulls (-4.5)North Texas Mean Green won
- Spread: South Florida Bulls (-5.5)North Texas Mean Green won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.