Tennis · resolved market
ITF Gandia: Alvaro Peiro Serrano vs Matthieu Chambonniere
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0ae6d715ee22d596a1686997858b27a4e2657f38741dea489065d76c783c2d8e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Matthieu Chambonniereof Alvaro Peiro Serrano, Matthieu Chambonniere
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $121,801
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $134,621
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $121,801 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Matthieu Chambonniere | 68c | 37,161$25,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,006.84 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Alvaro Peiro Serrano | 30c | 31,051$9,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,315.17 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Alvaro Peiro Serrano | 68c | 6,670$4,536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,535.84 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x168c…f24bbacked Matthieu Chambonniere | 58c | 1,715$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$714.61 | 624 | 57.7%360 W · 264 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55fd…b51abacked Matthieu Chambonniere | 56c | 1,607$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$707.32 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81a9…df08backed Alvaro Peiro Serrano | 27c | 1,185$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.45 | 265 | 46.4%123 W · 142 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffc4…b347backed Alvaro Peiro Serrano | 36c | 600$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.89 | 64 | 67.2%43 W · 21 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Alvaro Peiro Serrano | 42c | 600$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7738…5dbdbacked Alvaro Peiro Serrano | 45c | 592.93$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.56 | 479 | 56.6%271 W · 208 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Alvaro Peiro Serrano | 56c | 535.71$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,681 | 50%841 W · 840 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26be…805fbacked Alvaro Peiro Serrano | 65c | 461.54$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 365 | 48.2%176 W · 189 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb88…5d8ebacked Matthieu Chambonniere | 70c | 456.87$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.95 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 68cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x920a…29e0backed Alvaro Peiro Serrano | 73c | 421.41$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.63 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54ba…04e4backed Matthieu Chambonniere | 32c | 402.49$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.62 | 717 | 29.8%214 W · 503 L | -39.8wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Alvaro Peiro Serrano | 68c | 339.08$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.18 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57e7…84e9backed Matthieu Chambonniere | 42c | 313.68$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.37 | 226 | 38.9%88 W · 138 L | -13.6wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Matthieu Chambonniere | 61c | 283.43$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.7 | 923 | 52.5%485 W · 438 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f34…ed6abacked Matthieu Chambonniere | 60c | 265.62$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.08 | 397 | 51.4%204 W · 193 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Alvaro Peiro Serrano | 43c | 260.47$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8920…9c0cbacked Matthieu Chambonniere | 69c | 224.18$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.61 | 293 | 47.4%139 W · 154 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Matthieu Chambonniere | 70c | 203.74$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.12 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x701c…b953backed Matthieu Chambonniere | 55c | 182$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.9 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | +7.3wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc0eb…2c46backed Matthieu Chambonniere | 44c | 176.44$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.15 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +6.8wins | +0.15per pick | 32cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2721…cf8abacked Matthieu Chambonniere | 64c | 174.04$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.01 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…b627backed Alvaro Peiro Serrano | 75c | 168.53$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.4 | 1,256 | 65.4%821 W · 435 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16c6…19e2backed Alvaro Peiro Serrano | 58c | 160$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.8 | 94 | 52.1%49 W · 45 L | +11.5wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d4…1ffcbacked Matthieu Chambonniere | 55c | 160$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 82 | 41.5%34 W · 48 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef29…2f1ebacked Alvaro Peiro Serrano | 73c | 149.99$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.49 | 1,111 | 45.3%503 W · 608 L | -35.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc8…6655backed Matthieu Chambonniere | 70c | 146.06$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.82 | 142 | 55.6%79 W · 63 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked Matthieu Chambonniere | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 788 | 47.5%374 W · 414 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Alvaro Peiro Serrano | 45c | 140.64$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.87 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2149…51bfbacked Matthieu Chambonniere | 61c | 138.79$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.89 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1aa…16cfbacked Matthieu Chambonniere | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 168 | 67.9%114 W · 54 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Matthieu Chambonniere | 55c | 130$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.5 | 487 | 38.4%187 W · 300 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e61…2f1bbacked Alvaro Peiro Serrano | 65c | 123.08$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 291 | 48.5%141 W · 150 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Matthieu Chambonniere | 55c | 117$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.26 | 1,175 | 52.9%622 W · 553 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Alvaro Peiro Serrano | 40c | 112.5$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1,356 | 38.3%520 W · 836 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed Alvaro Peiro Serrano | 71c | 106.69$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.75 | 394 | 51.3%202 W · 192 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Alvaro Peiro Serrano | 40c | 105$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 2,151 | 37.3%802 W · 1,349 L | -27.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74f9…6024backed Matthieu Chambonniere | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 561 | 53.7%301 W · 260 L | +19.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4880…5626backed Matthieu Chambonniere | 70c | 99.61$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.88 | 244 | 60.2%147 W · 97 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e49…f1afbacked Matthieu Chambonniere | 59c | 79.99$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.56 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +48%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Matthieu Chambonniere | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 923 | 55.8%515 W · 408 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Matthieu Chambonniere | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 942 | 55.8%526 W · 416 L | +19.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd9…039bbacked Alvaro Peiro Serrano | 40c | 67.5$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1,008 | 38.3%386 W · 622 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf1…563bbacked Matthieu Chambonniere | 73c | 64.19$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.19 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Alvaro Peiro Serrano | 41c | 64.15$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.3 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd63…a39abacked Alvaro Peiro Serrano | 27c | 63.33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 196 | 37.2%73 W · 123 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9541…23ffbacked Alvaro Peiro Serrano | 49c | 60.06$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.23 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7738backed Alvaro Peiro Serrano | 47c | 55.77$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.21 | 1,106 | 50.3%556 W · 550 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d75…bd1fbacked Matthieu Chambonniere | 79c | 51.9$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.9 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 65cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Matthieu Chambonniere | 53c | 49.26$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.97 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe846…252bbacked Matthieu Chambonniere | 55c | 43.68$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.66 | 134 | 38.8%52 W · 82 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe246…dedcbacked Matthieu Chambonniere | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 300 | 55.7%167 W · 133 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Matthieu Chambonniere | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 925 | 54.8%507 W · 418 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Alvaro Peiro Serrano | 62c | 42.11$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.11 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3e…986cbacked Matthieu Chambonniere | 38c | 42.11$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.11 | 636 | 48%305 W · 331 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Alvaro Peiro Serrano | 40c | 38.03$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.21 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Alvaro Peiro Serrano | 53c | 36.75$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.39 | 1,337 | 46%615 W · 722 L | +23.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa4…5e60backed Matthieu Chambonniere | 73c | 33$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.87 | 74 | 75.7%56 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 75cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1112…90dbbacked Matthieu Chambonniere | 58c | 27.76$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 151 | 41.1%62 W · 89 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Matthieu Chambonniere | 69c | 26$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.93 | 1,062 | 42%446 W · 616 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe69c…7f9bbacked Matthieu Chambonniere | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 171 | 68.4%117 W · 54 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Alvaro Peiro Serrano | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,149 | 41.3%474 W · 675 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bce…db46backed Alvaro Peiro Serrano | 56c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 158 | 54.4%86 W · 72 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc064…6fa8backed Matthieu Chambonniere | 60c | 23.33$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.33 | 78 | 48.7%38 W · 40 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe037…8a91backed Matthieu Chambonniere | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked Matthieu Chambonniere | 78c | 19.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.23 | 1,025 | 54%554 W · 471 L | +37.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31e0…1d15backed Matthieu Chambonniere | 71c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 69 | 75.4%52 W · 17 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 72cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Alvaro Peiro Serrano | 74c | 13.8$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 960 | 49.5%475 W · 485 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.