Europa Conference League · resolved market
Spread: FK Shakhtar Donetsk (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0aecefd7fec6ab4549b3631680047f17c545acdbd561cdba997b1b4966235efc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- KKS Lech Poznańof FK Shakhtar Donetsk, KKS Lech Poznań
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,136
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,760
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,136 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed KKS Lech Poznań | 77c | 1,903$1,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.31 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked FK Shakhtar Donetsk | 23c | 1,249$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.74 | 74 | 17.6%13 W · 61 L | -7.6wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x258f…4493backed FK Shakhtar Donetsk | 21c | 600$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed KKS Lech Poznań | 79c | 597.3$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.43 | 234 | 61.5%144 W · 90 L | +26.7wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xece1…a49ebacked FK Shakhtar Donetsk | 27c | 578$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x797f…7b23backed KKS Lech Poznań | 73c | 578$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda46…e6e3backed FK Shakhtar Donetsk | 26c | 545.11$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0507…165fbacked FK Shakhtar Donetsk | 24c | 539.76$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 31cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed FK Shakhtar Donetsk | 23c | 373.99$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.02 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked KKS Lech Poznań | 76c | 358.52$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.28 | 382 | 47.1%180 W · 202 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cf0…df85backed FK Shakhtar Donetsk | 23c | 221.48$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.94 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…fa2fbacked FK Shakhtar Donetsk | 24c | 206.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.75 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.37per pick | 53cpaid | -74.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed KKS Lech Poznań | 77c | 201.99$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.46 | 555 | 45.8%254 W · 301 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed KKS Lech Poznań | 72c | 180$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.17 | 195 | 46.2%90 W · 105 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked KKS Lech Poznań | 75c | 138.04$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.98 | 702 | 39.3%276 W · 426 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed FK Shakhtar Donetsk | 23c | 126.65$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.28 | 1,022 | 47.5%485 W · 537 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7c…82f2backed FK Shakhtar Donetsk | 24c | 125$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed KKS Lech Poznań | 75c | 101$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.98 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked FK Shakhtar Donetsk | 23c | 100.26$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.72 | 880 | 48.2%424 W · 456 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cff…15d1backed FK Shakhtar Donetsk | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4177…a2b4backed FK Shakhtar Donetsk | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 61 | 36.1%22 W · 39 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked KKS Lech Poznań | 79c | 75.84$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.93 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02b2…c967backed FK Shakhtar Donetsk | 23c | 65.26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e72…54f0backed KKS Lech Poznań | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe2…5981backed KKS Lech Poznań | 78c | 63.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.99 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed KKS Lech Poznań | 71c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 370 | 43.8%162 W · 208 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: FK Shakhtar Donetsk (-1.5)this page
- FK Shakhtar Donetsk vs. KKS Lech Poznań: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FK Shakhtar Donetsk vs. KKS Lech Poznań: O/U 1.5Over won
- FK Shakhtar Donetsk vs. KKS Lech Poznań: O/U 2.5Over won
- FK Shakhtar Donetsk vs. KKS Lech Poznań: O/U 3.5Under won
- FK Shakhtar Donetsk vs. KKS Lech Poznań: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: KKS Lech Poznań (-1.5)FK Shakhtar Donetsk won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.