Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on April 21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0b3731221506265e45141ffa254a005201512e712d5aa120d2093c2372620836
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,186
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,347
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,186 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 52c | 418.58$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.63 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed No | 47c | 397.67$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.91 | 2,001 | 38.4%768 W · 1,233 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 32c | 375.59$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.43 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 10c | 329.86$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.34 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed No | 19c | 298.88$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.77 | 535 | 25.2%135 W · 400 L | -8.7wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed Yes | 28c | 217.99$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.84 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc174…9d97backed Yes | 47c | 208.91$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.74 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc004…7eabbacked No | 15c | 200.55$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.1 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 28c | 200.26$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.23 | 2,119 | 36.1%764 W · 1,355 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6973…b296backed No | 37c | 195.99$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.18 | 137 | 28.5%39 W · 98 L | +10.4wins | +0.08per pick | 21cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc13…5eb6backed No | 60c | 177.06$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.23 | 517 | 62.3%322 W · 195 L | -15.5wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…f557backed No | 21c | 168.94$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.84 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 49c | 157.34$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.37 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e3…a50cbacked Yes | 50c | 139.06$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.73 | 214 | 36%77 W · 137 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8827…5d62backed Yes | 28c | 118.85$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.28 | 1,772 | 50.5%895 W · 877 L | +43.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83d8…555fbacked Yes | 51c | 116.94$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.64 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc82c…c866backed No | 9c | 116.56$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 76 | 39.5%30 W · 46 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x213e…5e0fbacked Yes | 67c | 108.33$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.83 | 657 | 49.8%327 W · 330 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fc…88e1backed Yes | 36c | 101.85$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.18 | 1,298 | 33.1%430 W · 868 L | +39.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1361…f12bbacked Yes | 53c | 97.16$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.07 | 1,924 | 33.8%651 W · 1,273 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x951c…d8c7backed Yes | 53c | 97.01$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.75 | 683 | 35.4%242 W · 441 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 40c | 81.1$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.23 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 48c | 80.91$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.66 | 1,840 | 37%681 W · 1,159 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x035a…ff68backed Yes | 53c | 79.79$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 315 | 42.9%135 W · 180 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf6…c61bbacked No | 68c | 72.19$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.09 | 608 | 51.2%311 W · 297 L | -24.0wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x354d…eb8fbacked Yes | 49c | 72.09$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.1 | 701 | 33.5%235 W · 466 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x399f…e8d8backed No | 66c | 71.35$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.09 | 101 | 54.5%55 W · 46 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40fb…b7afbacked No | 64c | 68.66$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.94 | 74 | 60.8%45 W · 29 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39f2…b712backed No | 68c | 68.01$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.93 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 45c | 65.78$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec4d…087ebacked Yes | 68c | 60.71$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.26 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x919d…d88cbacked Yes | 31c | 59.54$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 145 | 44.8%65 W · 80 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 29c | 59.3$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.21 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa84…e985backed Yes | 50c | 58.93$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.2 | 407 | 39.3%160 W · 247 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1f…8fdebacked Yes | 43c | 56.58$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.21 | 982 | 36.7%360 W · 622 L | +37.9wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2936…6c5fbacked No | 71c | 56.29$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.84 | 342 | 50.6%173 W · 169 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d21…b569backed No | 19c | 52.51$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.19 | 141 | 58.2%82 W · 59 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6240…c294backed No | 49c | 51.27$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 94 | 62.8%59 W · 35 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7968…615abacked No | 76c | 50.03$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.13 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x879e…e339backed No | 61c | 49.59$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.25 | 175 | 55.4%97 W · 78 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x843d…89bcbacked Yes | 51c | 47.56$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.25 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +4.1wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7453…aee6backed Yes | 53c | 46.24$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.91 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked No | 49c | 44.33$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.52 | 2,495 | 69.9%1,744 W · 751 L | +80.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9547…1bf5backed No | 73c | 43.4$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.68 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9410…9160backed No | 69c | 42.41$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.23 | 420 | 49%206 W · 214 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c69…4622backed No | 63c | 40$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 562 | 65.5%368 W · 194 L | +35.2wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5407…dbc0backed No | 71c | 39.4$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.78 | 167 | 64.1%107 W · 60 L | -13.7wins | -0.08per pick | 72cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e99…b482backed Yes | 43c | 37.7$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.65 | 425 | 44%187 W · 238 L | +15.1wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c38…d6a6backed Yes | 35c | 37.4$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.31 | 64 | 21.9%14 W · 50 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2490…11a3backed No | 52c | 35.77$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 70 | 61.4%43 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x733b…f7f7backed Yes | 60c | 35.09$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.09 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -7.8wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbb5d…3961backed Yes | 39c | 35$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.35 | 91 | 42.9%39 W · 52 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…60abbacked No | 58c | 34.94$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.12 | 2,219 | 58.7%1,303 W · 916 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64a6…4ac1backed Yes | 55c | 34.91$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.82 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3b…2eb3backed No | 49c | 34.28$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.83 | 116 | 52.6%61 W · 55 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b7…ac89backed Yes | 53c | 34.16$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.06 | 110 | 44.5%49 W · 61 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4254…1d02backed No | 47c | 33.85$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.87 | 123 | 63.4%78 W · 45 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2869…527dbacked No | 67c | 32.65$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.73 | 937 | 34.9%327 W · 610 L | -203.5wins | -0.22per pick | 57cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x24fe…3419backed Yes | 39c | 32.28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.58 | 212 | 35.8%76 W · 136 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd782…a950backed Yes | 40c | 30.93$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.56 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c5e…a8cfbacked No | 70c | 30.76$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.65 | 99 | 59.6%59 W · 40 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ce…7f30backed No | 63c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 160 | 65.6%105 W · 55 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7a…4d23backed Yes | 39c | 29.39$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.93 | 987 | 38.1%376 W · 611 L | +80.8wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf1…ffd5backed Yes | 66c | 29.27$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.95 | 114 | 36%41 W · 73 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed No | 68c | 28.44$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.34 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa048…0250backed Yes | 40c | 28.2$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.92 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8a…ad94backed Yes | 39c | 28.17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.18 | 331 | 39.6%131 W · 200 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed34…2309backed Yes | 69c | 27.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.61 | 83 | 36.1%30 W · 53 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8796…e255backed No | 50c | 26.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.49 | 119 | 25.2%30 W · 89 L | -14.1wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x74ea…b265backed No | 67c | 26.16$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.43 | 211 | 42.7%90 W · 121 L | +8.9wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6763…b14fbacked No | 70c | 24.86$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5964…35dfbacked No | 45c | 24.81$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.17 | 1,279 | 33.6%430 W · 849 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94b1…27cbbacked No | 49c | 24.49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 975 | 70.6%688 W · 287 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c9…d2b8backed No | 63c | 23.8$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 535 | 47.5%254 W · 281 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae47…638dbacked No | 51c | 23.07$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.67 | 525 | 71.2%374 W · 151 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1098…10a7backed No | 67c | 19.7$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.15 | 417 | 33.8%141 W · 276 L | -17.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x799c…3bedbacked Yes | 54c | 19.08$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.78 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c31…68a1backed No | 77c | 19.02$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 195 | 47.2%92 W · 103 L | -9.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7658…e770backed No | 56c | 18.81$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a79…c875backed No | 65c | 16.62$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 38cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb423…c178backed No | 70c | 15.59$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.91 | 268 | 61.6%165 W · 103 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9611…f9aabacked Yes | 77c | 14.65$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.41 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on April 21?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 55°F or below on April 21?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on April 21?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on April 21?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on April 21?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on April 21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.