Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: FUT Esports vs Karmine Corp - Map 1 Winner

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0c30516c27cbf16c72c02fd94b87b1bca7bbd219b5430bba324ee58307876d84

Rebuilt 3 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Karmine Corpof FUT Esports, Karmine Corp
Resolved: Aug 28, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $37,543
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $41,590

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,543 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Valorant
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x565c…878dbacked FUT Esports	25c	5,760$1,463 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,463.2	22	22.7%5 W · 17 L	-3.2wins	-0.15per pick	37cpaid	-37.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Karmine Corp	72c	4,205$3,040 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,165.49	545	55.4%302 W · 243 L	+24.5wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x66b1…6b9dbacked FUT Esports	9c	3,421$317 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$317.29	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-1.0wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x86df…d902backed FUT Esports	25c	1,610$406 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$405.87	139	55.4%77 W · 62 L	+7.8wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb9b2…8e7dbacked FUT Esports	40c	1,320$529 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$529.21	51	52.9%27 W · 24 L	+2.9wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2140…0e12backed FUT Esports	40c	1,052$420 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$420.11	197	45.7%90 W · 107 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed FUT Esports	46c	789.57$363 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$363.24	290	45.2%131 W · 159 L	+5.1wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xceae…8e45backed FUT Esports	31c	613.39$193 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$192.67	18	55.6%10 W · 8 L	+2.2wins	+0.12per pick	43cpaid	+18.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf4da…3f9dbacked FUT Esports	36c	582.19$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210	14	21.4%3 W · 11 L	-1.8wins	-0.13per pick	34cpaid	-45.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa474…32cbbacked FUT Esports	20c	565.98$113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$113.02	74	44.6%33 W · 41 L	-3.9wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Karmine Corp	70c	510.15$358 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$151.83	405	51.9%210 W · 195 L	+7.0wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x180c…cd04backed FUT Esports	20c	500$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	233	48.9%114 W · 119 L	+12.8wins	+0.05per pick	43cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbf99…9840backed Karmine Corp	60c	450$270 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$180	189	49.2%93 W · 96 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed Karmine Corp	70c	424.56$299 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$125.95	577	57.7%333 W · 244 L	+35.8wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Karmine Corp	72c	421.99$306 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$116.06	421	46.1%194 W · 227 L	-5.8wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed FUT Esports	45c	400$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180	546	41.8%228 W · 318 L	-16.8wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf33…0353backed Karmine Corp	62c	375.29$234 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$141.16	347	46.1%160 W · 187 L	-11.7wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4b6b…acabbacked Karmine Corp	61c	351$213 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$138.43	16	75%12 W · 4 L	+2.9wins	+0.18per pick	57cpaid	+19.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x928d…5069backed Karmine Corp	58c	345.33$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$145.33	10	60%6 W · 4 L	+0.4wins	+0.04per pick	56cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe32a…cd33backed Karmine Corp	60c	344.98$207 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$137.99	444	59.5%264 W · 180 L	+11.2wins	+0.03per pick	57cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xebd9…bdc7backed Karmine Corp	60c	332.38$201 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$131.85	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.09per pick	59cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x420b…965bbacked Karmine Corp	74c	320$236 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$83.9	77	50.6%39 W · 38 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc104…e684backed Karmine Corp	57c	300$171 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$129	18	44.4%8 W · 10 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed FUT Esports	23c	259.05$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.59	958	49.6%475 W · 483 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Karmine Corp	64c	231.8$148 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$83.75	1,294	32.4%419 W · 875 L	-65.7wins	-0.05per pick	37cpaid	-28.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf49a…8981backed FUT Esports	9c	211.11$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19	56	44.6%25 W · 31 L	+2.5wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	+5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8983…d301backed Karmine Corp	73c	206.81$152 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55.22	19	47.4%9 W · 10 L	-1.6wins	-0.09per pick	56cpaid	-21%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed FUT Esports	40c	203.35$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.77	946	48.1%455 W · 491 L	-12.0wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ddc…9c0fbacked Karmine Corp	55c	203$112 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$91.35	84	44%37 W · 47 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb961…5554backed FUT Esports	6c	200$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	42	21.4%9 W · 33 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3ffb…df76backed Karmine Corp	54c	185.19$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$85.19	200	56.5%113 W · 87 L	+14.9wins	+0.07per pick	49cpaid	+18.2%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked FUT Esports	16c	176.74$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.34	1,629	45%733 W · 896 L	-25.9wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e2c…787cbacked Karmine Corp	74c	166.26$123 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.81	44	56.8%25 W · 19 L	+3.8wins	+0.09per pick	48cpaid	-7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked FUT Esports	33c	152.05$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.66	1,271	49.6%630 W · 641 L	-2.5wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5703…1048backed Karmine Corp	69c	143.01$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.33	122	45.9%56 W · 66 L	+2.6wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f4b…69debacked FUT Esports	35c	141.2$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	521	48.2%251 W · 270 L	+4.5wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked FUT Esports	15c	133.4$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.46	1,329	43.6%580 W · 749 L	-47.1wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-19.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked Karmine Corp	56c	132.7$74 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.39	54	44.4%24 W · 30 L	-3.2wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Karmine Corp	73c	126.35$93 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.71	1,517	46.6%707 W · 810 L	-17.6wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Karmine Corp	80c	122$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.4	524	44.7%234 W · 290 L	-11.1wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x021a…d3aebacked FUT Esports	43c	116.27$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	89	36%32 W · 57 L	-5.5wins	-0.06per pick	42cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked FUT Esports	42c	107.35$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	262	36.3%95 W · 167 L	-2.8wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ec7…4a76backed Karmine Corp	75c	100.12$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.03	161	62.1%100 W · 61 L	+5.6wins	+0.04per pick	59cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeb3e…1fbbbacked Karmine Corp	75c	100$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25	64	34.4%22 W · 42 L	-5.6wins	-0.09per pick	43cpaid	-22.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdcc2…8b9bbacked Karmine Corp	80c	100$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20	114	49.1%56 W · 58 L	-7.2wins	-0.06per pick	55cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3fcc…9f91backed FUT Esports	21c	100$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	616	22.7%140 W · 476 L	-27.3wins	-0.04per pick	27cpaid	-36.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x11ff…4447backed FUT Esports	45c	93.8$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.25	16	25%4 W · 12 L	-1.8wins	-0.11per pick	36cpaid	-27.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc222…f6ccbacked FUT Esports	34c	93.21$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.69	8	50%4 W · 4 L	+0.2wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbcda…5e95backed Karmine Corp	60c	91.72$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.81	124	55.6%69 W · 55 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfc8e…37d1backed Karmine Corp	57c	87.72$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.72	38	31.6%12 W · 26 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x35ae…b929backed FUT Esports	37c	82.26$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.5	145	42.8%62 W · 83 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7d33…6715backed FUT Esports	30c	75$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.25	81	35.8%29 W · 52 L	-6.9wins	-0.08per pick	44cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0fe0…fb5bbacked Karmine Corp	56c	71.05$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.05	359	56%201 W · 158 L	-7.3wins	-0.02per pick	58cpaid	-3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa042…cba4backed Karmine Corp	70c	70.37$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.11	17	58.8%10 W · 7 L	+1.1wins	+0.07per pick	52cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x54a1…f88bbacked FUT Esports	29c	68.33$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	90	35.6%32 W · 58 L	-9.3wins	-0.10per pick	46cpaid	-30.1%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd533…d6a1backed FUT Esports	22c	68.18$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	449	42.8%192 W · 257 L	+5.1wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked FUT Esports	39c	65.98$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.73	796	62.3%496 W · 300 L	+54.0wins	+0.07per pick	56cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2160…bcb3backed Karmine Corp	71c	61.7$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.89	203	46.3%94 W · 109 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc0c0…1506backed Karmine Corp	61c	60.66$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.66	5	60%3 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.05per pick	65cpaid	-8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked FUT Esports	20c	58.96$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.56	799	44.3%354 W · 445 L	-19.7wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked FUT Esports	19c	57.93$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.94	929	33.2%308 W · 621 L	-91.3wins	-0.10per pick	43cpaid	-40.4%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x1ddd…1ad3backed Karmine Corp	56c	57$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.25	43	53.5%23 W · 20 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc815…ecfabacked Karmine Corp	73c	54.79$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.79	167	52.1%87 W · 80 L	-2.9wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6149…6b0cbacked FUT Esports	48c	52.08$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-1.2wins	-0.18per pick	46cpaid	-49.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8d43…3f6cbacked Karmine Corp	59c	51.76$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.04	105	66.7%70 W · 35 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	67cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x090a…8da8backed Karmine Corp	58c	51.72$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.72	36	52.8%19 W · 17 L	-3.7wins	-0.10per pick	63cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf161…0d3dbacked Karmine Corp	60c	51.7$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.7	14	64.3%9 W · 5 L	+2.5wins	+0.18per pick	47cpaid	+49.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x877c…1bb2backed Karmine Corp	69c	50$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.5	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	65cpaid	+3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x93b1…4781backed FUT Esports	30c	50$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	-2.0wins	-0.12per pick	56cpaid	-31.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1967…30b5backed FUT Esports	40c	50$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.1	140	45%63 W · 77 L	-4.6wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x59d8…ad87backed FUT Esports	41c	48.79$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	46	50%23 W · 23 L	+1.3wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xade6…c465backed Karmine Corp	71c	48$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.92	660	47.3%312 W · 348 L	-18.9wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x93a5…c1a9backed Karmine Corp	54c	46.3$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.3	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.9wins	+0.46per pick	54cpaid	+83.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaba3…5ac0backed FUT Esports	44c	45.45$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-1.0wins	-0.20per pick	60cpaid	-39.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd5cb…6303backed Karmine Corp	75c	40$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	38cpaid	-55.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3252…1d21backed Karmine Corp	56c	28.95$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.74	110	41.8%46 W · 64 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa62b…58aabacked Karmine Corp	70c	28.57$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.57	50	48%24 W · 26 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa951…8a2fbacked Karmine Corp	61c	27.98$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.87	343	57.1%196 W · 147 L	+6.6wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Karmine Corp	75c	26.63$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.66	1,396	47.3%661 W · 735 L	+12.3wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f0c…a691backed Karmine Corp	60c	26$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.42	108	45.4%49 W · 59 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c5c…d463backed Karmine Corp	61c	24.59$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.59	5	60%3 W · 2 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	59cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1025…fbfabacked Karmine Corp	70c	21.43$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.43	29	37.9%11 W · 18 L	-1.4wins	-0.05per pick	43cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x395a…eb72backed Karmine Corp	57c	20.46$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.87	24	83.3%20 W · 4 L	+3.6wins	+0.15per pick	68cpaid	+21.8%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb91c…ed66backed Karmine Corp	65c	15.39$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.39	246	39.8%98 W · 148 L	-6.1wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Valorant: FUT Esports vs Karmine Corp - Map 1 Winnerthis page
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-2.5) vs Karmine Corp (+2.5)Karmine Corp won
Valorant: FUT Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - VCT EMEA PlayoffsKarmine Corp won
Valorant: FUT Esports vs Karmine Corp - Map 2 WinnerKarmine Corp won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Valorant: FUT Esports vs Karmine Corp - Map 1 Winner

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event