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Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: FUT Esports vs Karmine Corp - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Karmine Corpof FUT Esports, Karmine Corp
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$112,697
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$121,666

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $112,697 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 143 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x19ae…395cbacked Karmine Corp42c16,490$7,004 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,486.692642.3%11 W · 15 L+0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3833…33d1backed Karmine Corp51c15,364$7,836 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,528.3110656.6%60 W · 46 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa103…1c14backed FUT Esports49c12,222$5,989 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,988.751827.8%5 W · 13 L-3.7wins-0.21per pick48cpaid-39.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x86df…d902backed Karmine Corp59c5,622$3,291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,330.7913955.4%77 W · 62 L+7.8wins+0.06per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked FUT Esports50c5,000$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5005444.4%24 W · 30 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-15.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x91a2…e415backed FUT Esports49c4,909$2,410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,410.296251.6%32 W · 30 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed FUT Esports57c3,295$1,888 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,888.2257757.7%333 W · 244 L+35.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+1.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Karmine Corp54c1,703$923 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$779.9454555.4%302 W · 243 L+24.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid-2.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed FUT Esports49c1,556$763 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$762.7613649.3%67 W · 69 L+5.7wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed FUT Esports48c1,550$752 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751.5719443.8%85 W · 109 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4980…5709backed Karmine Corp50c1,500$743 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$756.2833245.5%151 W · 181 L+52.7wins+0.16per pick30cpaid+38.8%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed FUT Esports55c1,426$788 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$788.395849.6%475 W · 483 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3724…69b5backed FUT Esports50c1,224$612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6123748.6%18 W · 19 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked FUT Esports50c1,150$575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5758354.2%45 W · 38 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6a03…92d3backed FUT Esports38c1,111$422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422.181833.3%6 W · 12 L-2.8wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-42.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed FUT Esports54c1,009$543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$543.3883335.2%293 W · 540 L-60.8wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-33.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc09b…d784backed Karmine Corp51c980.39$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.391637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Karmine Corp50c916.27$455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.6642747.1%201 W · 226 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ab3…3044backed FUT Esports50c909.35$454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454.3648747%229 W · 258 L-0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xceae…8e45backed Karmine Corp51c885.31$453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431.951855.6%10 W · 8 L+2.2wins+0.12per pick43cpaid+18.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf321…0315backed FUT Esports55c827.49$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454.991154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Karmine Corp52c789.18$407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.91,29432.4%419 W · 875 L-65.7wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-28.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3fcc…9f91backed FUT Esports52c731.72$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377.7861622.7%140 W · 476 L-27.3wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-36.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Karmine Corp47c712.27$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374.0842146.1%194 W · 227 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x197f…7cc5backed FUT Esports52c605.72$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3158749.4%43 W · 44 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f8e…0c69backed FUT Esports48c600$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2885343.4%23 W · 30 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc3fc…5176backed FUT Esports49c599.99$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.16per pick53cpaid-34.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c71…c0e5backed Karmine Corp51c535.81$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.535639.3%22 W · 34 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-18.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1520…378fbacked FUT Esports49c505$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.451040%4 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc104…e684backed FUT Esports52c499.99$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2601844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked FUT Esports52c400.32$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.0890744.4%403 W · 504 L+0.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf247…d8cabacked Karmine Corp50c400.15$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.163737.8%14 W · 23 L-4.3wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-31.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x65c1…2988backed FUT Esports50c389.45$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.0626854.1%145 W · 123 L+11.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+15.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x546b…1582backed Karmine Corp51c380$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.2771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.18per pick54cpaid+33.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Karmine Corp53c360$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.21,27149.6%630 W · 641 L-2.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked FUT Esports47c346$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.8179662.3%496 W · 300 L+54.0wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+6.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x420b…965bbacked Karmine Corp50c329.99$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.997750.6%39 W · 38 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc5d9…4b4bbacked Karmine Corp45c322.29$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.09475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+45.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Karmine Corp55c305.97$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.1340551.9%210 W · 195 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf99…9840backed FUT Esports50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15018949.2%93 W · 96 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58f4…7f23backed Karmine Corp56c300$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.631100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+77.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed Karmine Corp47c296.6$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.254641.8%228 W · 318 L-16.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf6db…25c3backed FUT Esports35c287.37$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003740.5%15 W · 22 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed FUT Esports50c276.04$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.0255442.2%234 W · 320 L-13.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4dc2…698abacked FUT Esports73c275.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-27.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0eb1…aebabacked Karmine Corp33c264.94$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.515244.2%23 W · 29 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1747…4afcbacked FUT Esports49c255.67$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.9711945.4%54 W · 65 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde4b…1222backed FUT Esports54c249.99$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.994562.2%28 W · 17 L+7.0wins+0.16per pick47cpaid+31.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed FUT Esports30c237.99$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.422917.5%40 W · 189 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-21.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked FUT Esports38c236$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.291,37539%536 W · 839 L-59.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-17.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed FUT Esports50c221$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.54057.5%23 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5703…1048backed FUT Esports60c216.25$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.2212245.9%56 W · 66 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe32a…cd33backed FUT Esports50c205.07$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.5644459.5%264 W · 180 L+11.2wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked FUT Esports39c205$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.681,61937.5%607 W · 1,012 L-75.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-27%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked FUT Esports47c202.19$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.131,32943.6%580 W · 749 L-47.1wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-19.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8ec7…4a76backed FUT Esports35c201.72$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.6216162.1%100 W · 61 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick59cpaid-0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3252…1d21backed FUT Esports51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10211041.8%46 W · 64 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed FUT Esports50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005650%28 W · 28 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-11.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8ad…be4ebacked Karmine Corp49c199.98$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.9921255.7%118 W · 94 L+10.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+17.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf4ec…c574backed FUT Esports51c196.47$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10036157.6%208 W · 153 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5848…56a1backed FUT Esports51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006041.7%25 W · 35 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f45…e6a7backed FUT Esports51c196.07$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003850%19 W · 19 L+3.3wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+15.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfc8e…37d1backed FUT Esports51c194.91$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003831.6%12 W · 26 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-15.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5cef…dbcbbacked FUT Esports52c179.99$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.621246.2%98 W · 114 L-9.5wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-12.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xca1f…202abacked FUT Esports58c175.06$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1026750.7%34 W · 33 L-8.7wins-0.13per pick64cpaid-20.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x37b2…8681backed Karmine Corp51c175.03$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.762060%12 W · 8 L+2.1wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+23.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbcda…5e95backed FUT Esports51c171.31$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.3712455.6%69 W · 55 L+0.6wins0.00per pick55cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d25…0f79backed FUT Esports56c169.64$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$952766.7%18 W · 9 L+4.4wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+36.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2f4b…69debacked FUT Esports31c161.45$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5052148.2%251 W · 270 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Karmine Corp51c159$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.3879944.3%354 W · 445 L-19.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-18.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x14ca…8f43backed FUT Esports38c153$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.619445.7%43 W · 51 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe02f…e825backed FUT Esports54c150$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$811384.6%11 W · 2 L+3.4wins+0.26per pick59cpaid+42.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x536e…4fd5backed Karmine Corp50c149.76$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.884250%21 W · 21 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb978…fac0backed Karmine Corp51c146.48$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.17933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-38%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x20d7…2485backed Karmine Corp51c146.21$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.95317%9 W · 44 L-6.2wins-0.12per pick29cpaid-54.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6e2c…787cbacked Karmine Corp52c141.77$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.524456.8%25 W · 19 L+3.8wins+0.09per pick48cpaid-7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked FUT Esports50c134.24$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.1217246.5%80 W · 92 L-6.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc800…4117backed Karmine Corp59c126$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.434148.8%20 W · 21 L+3.2wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7eeb…b6bdbacked FUT Esports50c125$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.687138%27 W · 44 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa62b…58aabacked FUT Esports33c122.42$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405048%24 W · 26 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x07e4…186ebacked Karmine Corp62c116.38$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.11633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.28per pick61cpaid-45.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Karmine Corp71c114$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.161,00645.9%462 W · 544 L-28.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-14.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x04a7…164bbacked FUT Esports68c110$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.812850%64 W · 64 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1572…7991backed FUT Esports47c106$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.34520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-73.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3fb9…a8b3backed Karmine Corp29c104.88$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.888861.4%54 W · 34 L+9.3wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+33.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb9b2…8e7dbacked Karmine Corp51c104.52$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.215152.9%27 W · 24 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x12f0…6e95backed FUT Esports74c100.88$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.152161.9%13 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+18%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x180c…cd04backed FUT Esports50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5023348.9%114 W · 119 L+12.8wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9f93…a687backed FUT Esports70c97$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.92857.1%16 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6daa…954abacked Karmine Corp39c96.55$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.472161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.0wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+20%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1025…fbfabacked FUT Esports33c90.91$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302937.9%11 W · 18 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed FUT Esports51c89.5$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.7194648.1%455 W · 491 L-12.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Karmine Corp43c87.93$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.411,51746.6%707 W · 810 L-17.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-12.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfaa8…093dbacked FUT Esports68c87.65$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603259.4%19 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-12.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b6b…acabbacked Karmine Corp53c86$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.421675%12 W · 4 L+2.9wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+19.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked FUT Esports52c85.88$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.9872043.3%312 W · 408 L-15.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked FUT Esports18c85.16$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.2841231.6%130 W · 282 L-13.5wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-20.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x03ba…ab49backed Karmine Corp62c80.65$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.65475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+27.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Karmine Corp59c74.43$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.761,62945%733 W · 896 L-25.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-23.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2035…dc1cbacked Karmine Corp51c73.06$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.924546.7%21 W · 24 L+5.6wins+0.12per pick34cpaid+28.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.