Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: FUT Esports vs Karmine Corp - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x070851faad1bed9e9c8dcddb86aea9d7efc879059ef1d344e7666d3537173bd1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Karmine Corpof FUT Esports, Karmine Corp
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $112,697
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $121,666
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $112,697 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 143 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x19ae…395cbacked Karmine Corp | 42c | 16,490$7,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,486.69 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed Karmine Corp | 51c | 15,364$7,836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,528.31 | 106 | 56.6%60 W · 46 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa103…1c14backed FUT Esports | 49c | 12,222$5,989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,988.75 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -3.7wins | -0.21per pick | 48cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x86df…d902backed Karmine Corp | 59c | 5,622$3,291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,330.79 | 139 | 55.4%77 W · 62 L | +7.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked FUT Esports | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91a2…e415backed FUT Esports | 49c | 4,909$2,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,410.29 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed FUT Esports | 57c | 3,295$1,888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,888.22 | 577 | 57.7%333 W · 244 L | +35.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Karmine Corp | 54c | 1,703$923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.94 | 545 | 55.4%302 W · 243 L | +24.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed FUT Esports | 49c | 1,556$763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$762.76 | 136 | 49.3%67 W · 69 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed FUT Esports | 48c | 1,550$752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$751.57 | 194 | 43.8%85 W · 109 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4980…5709backed Karmine Corp | 50c | 1,500$743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756.28 | 332 | 45.5%151 W · 181 L | +52.7wins | +0.16per pick | 30cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed FUT Esports | 55c | 1,426$788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$788.3 | 958 | 49.6%475 W · 483 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3724…69b5backed FUT Esports | 50c | 1,224$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked FUT Esports | 50c | 1,150$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…92d3backed FUT Esports | 38c | 1,111$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.18 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed FUT Esports | 54c | 1,009$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.38 | 833 | 35.2%293 W · 540 L | -60.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc09b…d784backed Karmine Corp | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.39 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Karmine Corp | 50c | 916.27$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.66 | 427 | 47.1%201 W · 226 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed FUT Esports | 50c | 909.35$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.36 | 487 | 47%229 W · 258 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xceae…8e45backed Karmine Corp | 51c | 885.31$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.95 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf321…0315backed FUT Esports | 55c | 827.49$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.99 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Karmine Corp | 52c | 789.18$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.9 | 1,294 | 32.4%419 W · 875 L | -65.7wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcc…9f91backed FUT Esports | 52c | 731.72$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.78 | 616 | 22.7%140 W · 476 L | -27.3wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Karmine Corp | 47c | 712.27$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.08 | 421 | 46.1%194 W · 227 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x197f…7cc5backed FUT Esports | 52c | 605.72$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8e…0c69backed FUT Esports | 48c | 600$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…5176backed FUT Esports | 49c | 599.99$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c71…c0e5backed Karmine Corp | 51c | 535.81$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.53 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1520…378fbacked FUT Esports | 49c | 505$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.45 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc104…e684backed FUT Esports | 52c | 499.99$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked FUT Esports | 52c | 400.32$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.08 | 907 | 44.4%403 W · 504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf247…d8cabacked Karmine Corp | 50c | 400.15$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.16 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -4.3wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x65c1…2988backed FUT Esports | 50c | 389.45$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.06 | 268 | 54.1%145 W · 123 L | +11.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x546b…1582backed Karmine Corp | 51c | 380$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.2 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Karmine Corp | 53c | 360$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.2 | 1,271 | 49.6%630 W · 641 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked FUT Esports | 47c | 346$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.81 | 796 | 62.3%496 W · 300 L | +54.0wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x420b…965bbacked Karmine Corp | 50c | 329.99$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.99 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5d9…4b4bbacked Karmine Corp | 45c | 322.29$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.09 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Karmine Corp | 55c | 305.97$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.13 | 405 | 51.9%210 W · 195 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf99…9840backed FUT Esports | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 189 | 49.2%93 W · 96 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58f4…7f23backed Karmine Corp | 56c | 300$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +77.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Karmine Corp | 47c | 296.6$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.2 | 546 | 41.8%228 W · 318 L | -16.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6db…25c3backed FUT Esports | 35c | 287.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed FUT Esports | 50c | 276.04$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.02 | 554 | 42.2%234 W · 320 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc2…698abacked FUT Esports | 73c | 275.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb1…aebabacked Karmine Corp | 33c | 264.94$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.51 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1747…4afcbacked FUT Esports | 49c | 255.67$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.97 | 119 | 45.4%54 W · 65 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde4b…1222backed FUT Esports | 54c | 249.99$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.99 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +7.0wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed FUT Esports | 30c | 237.99$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.4 | 229 | 17.5%40 W · 189 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked FUT Esports | 38c | 236$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.29 | 1,375 | 39%536 W · 839 L | -59.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed FUT Esports | 50c | 221$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.5 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5703…1048backed FUT Esports | 60c | 216.25$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.22 | 122 | 45.9%56 W · 66 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe32a…cd33backed FUT Esports | 50c | 205.07$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.56 | 444 | 59.5%264 W · 180 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked FUT Esports | 39c | 205$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.68 | 1,619 | 37.5%607 W · 1,012 L | -75.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -27%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked FUT Esports | 47c | 202.19$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.13 | 1,329 | 43.6%580 W · 749 L | -47.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ec7…4a76backed FUT Esports | 35c | 201.72$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.62 | 161 | 62.1%100 W · 61 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3252…1d21backed FUT Esports | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 110 | 41.8%46 W · 64 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed FUT Esports | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ad…be4ebacked Karmine Corp | 49c | 199.98$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.99 | 212 | 55.7%118 W · 94 L | +10.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ec…c574backed FUT Esports | 51c | 196.47$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 361 | 57.6%208 W · 153 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5848…56a1backed FUT Esports | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f45…e6a7backed FUT Esports | 51c | 196.07$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8e…37d1backed FUT Esports | 51c | 194.91$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cef…dbcbbacked FUT Esports | 52c | 179.99$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.6 | 212 | 46.2%98 W · 114 L | -9.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…202abacked FUT Esports | 58c | 175.06$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | -8.7wins | -0.13per pick | 64cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x37b2…8681backed Karmine Corp | 51c | 175.03$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.76 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbcda…5e95backed FUT Esports | 51c | 171.31$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.37 | 124 | 55.6%69 W · 55 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d25…0f79backed FUT Esports | 56c | 169.64$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +4.4wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4b…69debacked FUT Esports | 31c | 161.45$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 521 | 48.2%251 W · 270 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Karmine Corp | 51c | 159$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.38 | 799 | 44.3%354 W · 445 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14ca…8f43backed FUT Esports | 38c | 153$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.61 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe02f…e825backed FUT Esports | 54c | 150$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +3.4wins | +0.26per pick | 59cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x536e…4fd5backed Karmine Corp | 50c | 149.76$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.88 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb978…fac0backed Karmine Corp | 51c | 146.48$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.17 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -38%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20d7…2485backed Karmine Corp | 51c | 146.21$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.9 | 53 | 17%9 W · 44 L | -6.2wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked Karmine Corp | 52c | 141.77$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.52 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked FUT Esports | 50c | 134.24$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.12 | 172 | 46.5%80 W · 92 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc800…4117backed Karmine Corp | 59c | 126$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.43 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7eeb…b6bdbacked FUT Esports | 50c | 125$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.68 | 71 | 38%27 W · 44 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa62b…58aabacked FUT Esports | 33c | 122.42$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07e4…186ebacked Karmine Corp | 62c | 116.38$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.11 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Karmine Corp | 71c | 114$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.16 | 1,006 | 45.9%462 W · 544 L | -28.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04a7…164bbacked FUT Esports | 68c | 110$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.8 | 128 | 50%64 W · 64 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1572…7991backed FUT Esports | 47c | 106$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.34 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…a8b3backed Karmine Corp | 29c | 104.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.88 | 88 | 61.4%54 W · 34 L | +9.3wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b2…8e7dbacked Karmine Corp | 51c | 104.52$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.21 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12f0…6e95backed FUT Esports | 74c | 100.88$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.15 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +18%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x180c…cd04backed FUT Esports | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 233 | 48.9%114 W · 119 L | +12.8wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f93…a687backed FUT Esports | 70c | 97$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.9 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6daa…954abacked Karmine Corp | 39c | 96.55$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.47 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…fbfabacked FUT Esports | 33c | 90.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed FUT Esports | 51c | 89.5$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.71 | 946 | 48.1%455 W · 491 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Karmine Corp | 43c | 87.93$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.41 | 1,517 | 46.6%707 W · 810 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa8…093dbacked FUT Esports | 68c | 87.65$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b6b…acabbacked Karmine Corp | 53c | 86$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.42 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked FUT Esports | 52c | 85.88$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.98 | 720 | 43.3%312 W · 408 L | -15.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked FUT Esports | 18c | 85.16$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.28 | 412 | 31.6%130 W · 282 L | -13.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…ab49backed Karmine Corp | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Karmine Corp | 59c | 74.43$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.76 | 1,629 | 45%733 W · 896 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2035…dc1cbacked Karmine Corp | 51c | 73.06$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.92 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +5.6wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: FUT Esports vs Karmine Corp - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-2.5) vs Karmine Corp (+2.5)Karmine Corp won
- Valorant: FUT Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - VCT EMEA PlayoffsKarmine Corp won
- Valorant: FUT Esports vs Karmine Corp - Map 1 WinnerKarmine Corp won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.