Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0c6adb91d6d3afff3aabfe4b12ddf4a512c135cc62a3deeaeb0b0457b14e31b7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,680
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,106
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,680 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x48fe…b2b6backed Under | 68c | 5,000$3,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,399.91 | 151 | 48.3%73 W · 78 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f03…b1bebacked Over | 32c | 4,996$1,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,397.57 | 1,132 | 52.5%594 W · 538 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6918…782bbacked Over | 34c | 3,118$1,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,066.43 | 1,522 | 54.7%832 W · 690 L | +37.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed Under | 64c | 1,073$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686.91 | 527 | 50.5%266 W · 261 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Under | 68c | 798.57$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.02 | 352 | 43.2%152 W · 200 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Under | 68c | 600$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408 | 508 | 48.4%246 W · 262 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Under | 68c | 555$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.4 | 1,098 | 34.8%382 W · 716 L | -17.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Over | 31c | 536.89$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.45 | 1,827 | 45.6%834 W · 993 L | +26.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1788…0994backed Under | 69c | 536.89$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.45 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Under | 65c | 478.07$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.75 | 413 | 43.8%181 W · 232 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…ca8dbacked Over | 35c | 424.38$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.38 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Over | 31c | 296.77$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.77 | 1,616 | 43.8%708 W · 908 L | -74.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 34c | 292.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.57 | 205 | 46.3%95 W · 110 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ac…6b83backed Under | 69c | 289.86$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 288 | 43.1%124 W · 164 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 66c | 282$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.34 | 608 | 49.5%301 W · 307 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b98…d011backed Under | 6c | 266$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.66 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9e…fbfdbacked Under | 69c | 239.25$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 256 | 40.6%104 W · 152 L | -10.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec6…698bbacked Under | 23c | 189.58$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.53 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a8c…1991backed Under | 68c | 163.65$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.07 | 332 | 54.2%180 W · 152 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7456…5148backed Over | 33c | 151.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.13 | 138 | 36.2%50 W · 88 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 51c | 148.78$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.01 | 2,521 | 47.3%1,193 W · 1,328 L | -34.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…e919backed Under | 57c | 137.08$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.14 | 476 | 30.7%146 W · 330 L | -13.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Under | 66c | 120$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.2 | 348 | 34.2%119 W · 229 L | -39.9wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7772…0e56backed Over | 34c | 95$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.7 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -3.5wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc0fd…d036backed Under | 26c | 84.96$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.01 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Under | 14c | 81.21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 1,143 | 30.8%352 W · 791 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x642c…21a7backed Over | 74c | 78.5$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.41 | 350 | 54.6%191 W · 159 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Over | 31c | 71.73$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 1,182 | 44.8%530 W · 652 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ce…af35backed Under | 17c | 65.62$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 327 | 55.7%182 W · 145 L | +17.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d4d…8d70backed Under | 26c | 57.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6dd…238bbacked Over | 36c | 55.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.78 | 228 | 40.8%93 W · 135 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 64c | 54.88$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.12 | 2,237 | 33.3%745 W · 1,492 L | -71.3wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Under | 65c | 54.07$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.15 | 1,399 | 44.9%628 W · 771 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…3a30backed Under | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 158 | 57.6%91 W · 67 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 47c | 41$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.27 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Under | 65c | 35$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.75 | 452 | 44.5%201 W · 251 L | -30.0wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6076…f8fdbacked Over | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecb6…8a8abacked Under | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c1b…555bbacked Under | 44c | 26.9$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.72 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over | 63c | 24.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.91 | 1,239 | 37.3%462 W · 777 L | -39.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -27%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 66c | 20.36$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 1,343 | 49%658 W · 685 L | -26.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Under | 71c | 19.64$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.94 | 201 | 36.3%73 W · 128 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c27…21a9backed Under | 69c | 16.83$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.61 | 143 | 58.7%84 W · 59 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x429c…a974backed Under | 68c | 16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 167 | 54.5%91 W · 76 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs Nongshim Red Force (+1.5)Nongshim Red Force won
- LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2Hanwha Life Esports won
- LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 WinnerNongshim Red Force won
- LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 WinnerHanwha Life Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.