Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Northern Kentucky Norse vs. Milwaukee Panthers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0e8372ebae86f6fdd78ca79681c00e168661fc2f58605beb76283b9954507787
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Northern Kentucky Norseof Northern Kentucky Norse, Milwaukee Panthers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,341
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,599
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,341 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Milwaukee Panthers | 59c | 4,500$2,655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,654.99 | 285 | 39.6%113 W · 172 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Northern Kentucky Norse | 41c | 2,722$1,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,605.98 | 605 | 48.9%296 W · 309 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Northern Kentucky Norse | 76c | 1,082$818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.99 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20ae…f107backed Milwaukee Panthers | 27c | 1,050$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279 | 423 | 27.2%115 W · 308 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Milwaukee Panthers | 52c | 993$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.91 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Northern Kentucky Norse | 41c | 971.18$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.86 | 181 | 29.3%53 W · 128 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Northern Kentucky Norse | 41c | 864$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.76 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Northern Kentucky Norse | 41c | 615$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.85 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92e5…efeebacked Milwaukee Panthers | 59c | 555$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.45 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Northern Kentucky Norse | 41c | 460$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.4 | 820 | 48.2%395 W · 425 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Northern Kentucky Norse | 39c | 362$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.82 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Milwaukee Panthers | 54c | 350.08$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.88 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Milwaukee Panthers | 22c | 329.07$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.05 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +8.3wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Northern Kentucky Norse | 44c | 323$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.13 | 722 | 48.8%352 W · 370 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Northern Kentucky Norse | 41c | 317.47$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.31 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Milwaukee Panthers | 12c | 276.88$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.04 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Milwaukee Panthers | 45c | 212.44$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.11 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Northern Kentucky Norse | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f5…8be3backed Milwaukee Panthers | 40c | 186.55$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.62 | 127 | 33.9%43 W · 84 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Northern Kentucky Norse | 75c | 183$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.9 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Milwaukee Panthers | 55c | 142.51$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.82 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Northern Kentucky Norse | 67c | 132.05$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.7 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Milwaukee Panthers | 33c | 131.2$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.23 | 307 | 46.3%142 W · 165 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Milwaukee Panthers | 58c | 120$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.92 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Northern Kentucky Norse | 79c | 95.83$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.46 | 456 | 44.5%203 W · 253 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Milwaukee Panthers | 58c | 65$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.7 | 181 | 47%85 W · 96 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Northern Kentucky Norse | 41c | 63.75$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.86 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Northern Kentucky Norse | 44c | 60.05$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.63 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Milwaukee Panthers | 60c | 45.02$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.07 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Milwaukee Panthers | 58c | 44.94$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.06 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Northern Kentucky Norse | 72c | 33$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.31 | 497 | 47.5%236 W · 261 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1f…4eebbacked Milwaukee Panthers | 56c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 131 | 47.3%62 W · 69 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Northern Kentucky Norse | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Milwaukee Panthers | 59c | 28.63$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.97 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3da4…28d7backed Northern Kentucky Norse | 56c | 26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 158 | 61.4%97 W · 61 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Northern Kentucky Norse | 71c | 24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.88 | 614 | 46.1%283 W · 331 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ab…361bbacked Northern Kentucky Norse | 68c | 22.22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.17 | 98 | 21.4%21 W · 77 L | -17.7wins | -0.18per pick | 40cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x90e4…e026backed Milwaukee Panthers | 62c | 21.45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a23…97a7backed Milwaukee Panthers | 57c | 20.49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.61 | 215 | 35.3%76 W · 139 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Northern Kentucky Norse vs. Milwaukee Panthersthis page
- Spread: Milwaukee Panthers (-2.5)Northern Kentucky Norse won
- Spread: Milwaukee Panthers (-3.5)Northern Kentucky Norse won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.