TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: Blue Otter vs Cupid Esports (BO3) - North American Challengers League Group Stage

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Cupid Esportsof Blue Otter, Cupid Esports
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$82,373
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$86,068

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $82,373 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 145 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Cupid Esports68c8,671$5,897 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,774.651,38937.7%524 W · 865 L-45.7wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-22.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3818…9797backed Blue Otter37c5,872$2,167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,166.5957957.9%335 W · 244 L+25.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2518…254fbacked Cupid Esports64c5,817$3,705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,112.1753355%293 W · 240 L+23.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked Blue Otter27c4,355$1,198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,197.5457246%263 W · 309 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe31d…a83dbacked Blue Otter37c4,025$1,499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,499.48837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4fb2…5c04backed Blue Otter1c3,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302522%5 W · 247 L+0.4wins0.00per pick2cpaid-93.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec54…e8c1backed Blue Otter28c1,617$453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452.761,30838.6%505 W · 803 L-64.8wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1fb8…5a88backed Cupid Esports64c1,564$1,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.8834255.6%190 W · 152 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Cupid Esports68c1,520$1,027 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492.681,06154.7%580 W · 481 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Blue Otter21c1,501$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.9844851.8%232 W · 216 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0bd9…56cfbacked Blue Otter20c1,437$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.2712525.6%32 W · 93 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick27cpaid+7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e17…9d3cbacked Blue Otter35c1,425$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick56cpaid-39.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0b89…a4cdbacked Cupid Esports72c1,389$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.8971057%405 W · 305 L+41.1wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+9.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5633…59bcbacked Cupid Esports72c1,379$993 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$386.1211357.5%65 W · 48 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb88a…f6adbacked Cupid Esports72c1,379$993 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$386.1211657.8%67 W · 49 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcdfb…980cbacked Blue Otter33c1,377$449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.419150.8%97 W · 94 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Cupid Esports73c1,337$976 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360.891,82639.9%728 W · 1,098 L-61.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-20.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Cupid Esports80c1,227$982 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.543837.9%166 W · 272 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Blue Otter18c1,214$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.721,04750.3%527 W · 520 L+37.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x035b…c6ddbacked Blue Otter28c1,054$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3004447.7%21 W · 23 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Cupid Esports79c1,000$787 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.162,49547.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L-32.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x62c6…ab7bbacked Blue Otter30c1,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.683560.8%508 W · 327 L+45.1wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdfa8…cae6backed Blue Otter30c1,000$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.9682953.4%443 W · 386 L-3.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc7c…3d8cbacked Blue Otter9c990.01$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.543259.4%19 W · 13 L+2.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Blue Otter25c965.52$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.171,05823.5%249 W · 809 L-75.8wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-49.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5af8…9f99backed Blue Otter14c749.99$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10530744%135 W · 172 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Blue Otter7c704.25$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.842,50839.8%999 W · 1,509 L-76.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d21…b3cfbacked Cupid Esports66c699.44$462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.8135659%210 W · 146 L+21.2wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed Cupid Esports75c639.91$481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.121,00747.9%482 W · 525 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6277…5a3fbacked Blue Otter28c630.98$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.390537.5%339 W · 566 L-18.8wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfbd2…2b8fbacked Blue Otter30c610.69$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.2142851.2%219 W · 209 L+0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf071…04d6backed Blue Otter33c610$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.313336.8%49 W · 84 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+15%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c92…5567backed Blue Otter15c580.29$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.041145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-30.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57cc…0fa7backed Blue Otter19c580.07$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.543842.1%16 W · 22 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid+1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Blue Otter39c480$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.431,31847.3%624 W · 694 L-31.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Blue Otter26c450.52$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.143,58440.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L+31.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9cb…f7dbbacked Blue Otter18c449.97$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.9935045.1%158 W · 192 L+0.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x65e6…42dcbacked Blue Otter7c444.29$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3113429.1%39 W · 95 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick26cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2140…0e12backed Blue Otter39c425.77$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.9535442.1%149 W · 205 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0612…559abacked Cupid Esports65c413.99$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.918560.5%112 W · 73 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Blue Otter22c372.12$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.972,90538.5%1,119 W · 1,786 L-118.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-27.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x10ef…7d7bbacked Cupid Esports73c371.7$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.7666559.5%396 W · 269 L+72.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xcfe6…4fadbacked Blue Otter35c362.69$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.5819260.9%117 W · 75 L+7.7wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5266…22acbacked Cupid Esports66c358.17$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.0511357.5%65 W · 48 L+7.6wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x57b2…9da2backed Blue Otter17c353.51$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.3335443.2%153 W · 201 L+12.7wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c6c…b6d7backed Cupid Esports73c350$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.53243.8%14 W · 18 L-4.7wins-0.15per pick58cpaid-18%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Cupid Esports72c346.27$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.351,20743.5%525 W · 682 L-14.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa917…4e8dbacked Cupid Esports67c345$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.8512850%64 W · 64 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4509…58aebacked Blue Otter26c344.29$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.911,05539.6%418 W · 637 L-74.9wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-28.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x40e3…5627backed Blue Otter26c344$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.412747.2%60 W · 67 L-11.5wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-24.4%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Blue Otter37c330.75$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.3285742.7%366 W · 491 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-23.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8412…55f3backed Blue Otter22c311.24$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.411827.8%5 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick20cpaid+46.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6cd3…226ebacked Cupid Esports70c309.92$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.1355628.6%159 W · 397 L-31.8wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-27.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xba02…7dd2backed Blue Otter35c301.49$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1052268.2%15 W · 7 L+4.7wins+0.21per pick47cpaid+30.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xe5bd…eca4backed Blue Otter35c300.64$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Blue Otter13c300$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391,44713.3%192 W · 1,255 L-109.5wins-0.08per pick21cpaid-35.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9506…6182backed Blue Otter17c294.12$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504647.8%22 W · 24 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x18b7…fff9backed Blue Otter7c285.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.0255110.3%57 W · 494 L+15.9wins+0.03per pick7cpaid+55.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x89e8…c85fbacked Blue Otter6c279.98$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Blue Otter25c279.39$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.591,53943.7%673 W · 866 L-28.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e30…c14dbacked Blue Otter17c276.47$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479444.7%42 W · 52 L+0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed Blue Otter11c264.06$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.1113030.8%40 W · 90 L-7.6wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-21.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x82b0…7c38backed Cupid Esports74c260$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.223849.2%117 W · 121 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x615d…bd5bbacked Cupid Esports64c253$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.087742.9%33 W · 44 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9227…e497backed Blue Otter29c244.93$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.0314335%50 W · 93 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Blue Otter17c240$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.874637.9%283 W · 463 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed Blue Otter15c235.04$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.2797854.4%532 W · 446 L+48.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x67a1…1c91backed Cupid Esports65c230.76$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.77955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5703…1048backed Blue Otter33c216.55$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.4622544%99 W · 126 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Blue Otter22c213.52$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4829038.6%112 W · 178 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Blue Otter31c208.76$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.771,06347.2%502 W · 561 L-2.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid-14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x021a…d3aebacked Cupid Esports63c201.89$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.733139.9%132 W · 199 L-10.0wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-4.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Cupid Esports64c200$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$721,59946.8%748 W · 851 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8cd2…648cbacked Blue Otter28c200$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.895048.5%461 W · 489 L+26.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+11.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Blue Otter27c199.99$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.6977741.7%324 W · 453 L-27.5wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-26.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4712…0bdbbacked Blue Otter22c179.87$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.183033.3%10 W · 20 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-19.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x515d…0340backed Blue Otter35c165.59$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.9634658.1%201 W · 145 L+17.1wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+7.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x31a4…7afcbacked Blue Otter28c161$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.387844.2%388 W · 490 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa4e…5973backed Blue Otter11c158.82$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1755744%245 W · 312 L-17.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe2cc…893cbacked Blue Otter16c155.65$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.4134342%144 W · 199 L-17.9wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-22%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1d24…20b3backed Blue Otter29c149.67$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.1686943.2%375 W · 494 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea2e…1e57backed Blue Otter35c145.62$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5115757.3%90 W · 67 L+14.8wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+12.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9522…11ccbacked Blue Otter35c144.09$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ab3…3044backed Cupid Esports73c141.82$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.7663742.7%272 W · 365 L-2.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e4d…1cb0backed Cupid Esports71c140.84$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.841,27057%724 W · 546 L+45.7wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0ba9…a8d8backed Cupid Esports65c137$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.0646562.4%290 W · 175 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Blue Otter28c134.53$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.011,89937.1%705 W · 1,194 L-113.9wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-32.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3a01…bc5ebacked Cupid Esports62c132.88$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.4935058.6%205 W · 145 L+17.0wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2160…bcb3backed Cupid Esports72c128.19$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.8992342.7%394 W · 529 L-16.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c32…7156backed Cupid Esports71c126$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.9638257.9%221 W · 161 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-1.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4126…e68bbacked Cupid Esports69c108$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.210465.4%68 W · 36 L+7.7wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+3.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x25a4…69f6backed Cupid Esports73c100$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278659.3%51 W · 35 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick61cpaid+1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x191f…f09ebacked Blue Otter31c96.77$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3042540.7%173 W · 252 L-17.4wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Blue Otter27c92.06$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.751,92242.2%811 W · 1,111 L-45.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5819…2b4fbacked Cupid Esports67c91.08$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.0650550.7%256 W · 249 L+34.1wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+20.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0daf…17a9backed Cupid Esports75c91.04$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.846251.6%32 W · 30 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x461c…f74bbacked Blue Otter20c90$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1825240.1%101 W · 151 L-0.8wins0.00per pick40cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4fd9…932fbacked Cupid Esports77c89.53$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.585349.1%26 W · 27 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Cupid Esports77c86$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.142,31139.4%910 W · 1,401 L-83.4wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-20.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2888…f1a4backed Blue Otter16c83.64$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7253932.5%175 W · 364 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.