Bundesliga · resolved market
Eintracht Braunschweig vs. Hertha BSC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x10402308ba168ffff13f98b145f5c8dcbdc2c83c02e0868deb8af7d8b288c335
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,660
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,345
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,660 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 61c | 4,943$3,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,929.02 | 142 | 50%71 W · 71 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa36f…180bbacked Under | 39c | 4,862$1,896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,896.17 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 59c | 2,118$1,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$861.8 | 71 | 33.8%24 W · 47 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -34%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 41c | 1,712$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702.08 | 731 | 51.7%378 W · 353 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd239…2083backed Under | 40c | 1,250$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5180…9cf1backed Over | 61c | 693.2$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.35 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 39c | 566.7$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.01 | 310 | 45.2%140 W · 170 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 40c | 399.99$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 671 | 45.6%306 W · 365 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…cf16backed Under | 27c | 369.33$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.17 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -5.0wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 73c | 362.84$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.37 | 514 | 42.2%217 W · 297 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 25c | 173.57$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.4 | 2,564 | 39.8%1,020 W · 1,544 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Over | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1416…670cbacked Over | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe419…8aedbacked Under | 14c | 111.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 39c | 102.27$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.02 | 1,108 | 50.5%560 W · 548 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.5 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -5.6wins | -0.37per pick | 51cpaid | -72.5%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x056b…5a03backed Under | 41c | 63.96$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.39 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdae…6ad2backed Over | 61c | 55.74$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.74 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ab…0dc8backed Over | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 173 | 45.7%79 W · 94 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 59c | 37.24$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.27 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e49…e7debacked Over | 75c | 36.01$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.09 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +6.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 69c | 32.26$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdf…b8a0backed Under | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Over | 76c | 17.11$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.11 | 223 | 57%127 W · 96 L | +10.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Eintracht Braunschweig vs. Hertha BSC: O/U 2.5this page
- Eintracht Braunschweig vs. Hertha BSC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Eintracht Braunschweig vs. Hertha BSC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Eintracht Braunschweig vs. Hertha BSC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Eintracht Braunschweig vs. Hertha BSC: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
- Eintracht Braunschweig vs. Hertha BSC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Eintracht Braunschweig vs. Hertha BSC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Eintracht Braunschweig vs. Hertha BSC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Eintracht Braunschweig vs. Hertha BSC: O/U 4.5Over won
- Eintracht Braunschweig vs. Hertha BSC: O/U 5.5Over won
- Spread: Eintracht Braunschweig (-1.5)Hertha BSC won
- Spread: Eintracht Braunschweig (-2.5)Hertha BSC won
- Spread: Hertha BSC (-1.5)Hertha BSC won
- Spread: Hertha BSC (-2.5)Eintracht Braunschweig won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.