Bundesliga · resolved market
Eintracht Braunschweig vs. Hertha BSC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb177faa626629432d323074c65200b3afcaa6f33e92c17be2cdd6e65f24d629b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,241
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,335
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,241 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 64c | 1,840$1,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663.1 | 71 | 33.8%24 W · 47 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -34%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 37c | 1,668$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620.76 | 860 | 32.7%281 W · 579 L | -15.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 36c | 1,488$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.6 | 433 | 45%195 W · 238 L | -14.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffe2…2957backed Yes | 62c | 1,379$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 36c | 1,281$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.66 | 341 | 46%157 W · 184 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 37c | 1,024$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.86 | 393 | 46.3%182 W · 211 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 64c | 1,020$651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.44 | 142 | 50%71 W · 71 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 65c | 755$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.25 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 36c | 484.5$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.32 | 480 | 30.6%147 W · 333 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8aa…7b9bbacked Yes | 65c | 460.95$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50cc…a534backed Yes | 61c | 213.11$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.11 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x488c…a2dabacked Yes | 63c | 190.48$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.48 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 36c | 170.61$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.28 | 671 | 45.6%306 W · 365 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 38c | 122.64$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.6 | 731 | 51.7%378 W · 353 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 36c | 112.32$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.44 | 150 | 55.3%83 W · 67 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -5.6wins | -0.37per pick | 51cpaid | -72.5%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdf…b8a0backed Yes | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ec…3cd6backed Yes | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0145…35d0backed Yes | 64c | 70.31$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.31 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 36c | 68.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.83 | 1,108 | 50.5%560 W · 548 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed No | 39c | 65.58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.31 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed No | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x739b…417ebacked Yes | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1e5…c5dfbacked Yes | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.32 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe4…4ab1backed No | 39c | 38.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc69f…1a6abacked Yes | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb305…a400backed Yes | 63c | 30.16$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.16 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5180…9cf1backed Yes | 64c | 20.31$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.31 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce2…a9d0backed Yes | 64c | 18.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.81 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +41%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Eintracht Braunschweig vs. Hertha BSC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Eintracht Braunschweig vs. Hertha BSC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Eintracht Braunschweig vs. Hertha BSC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Eintracht Braunschweig vs. Hertha BSC: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
- Eintracht Braunschweig vs. Hertha BSC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Eintracht Braunschweig vs. Hertha BSC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Eintracht Braunschweig vs. Hertha BSC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Eintracht Braunschweig vs. Hertha BSC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Eintracht Braunschweig vs. Hertha BSC: O/U 4.5Over won
- Eintracht Braunschweig vs. Hertha BSC: O/U 5.5Over won
- Spread: Eintracht Braunschweig (-1.5)Hertha BSC won
- Spread: Eintracht Braunschweig (-2.5)Hertha BSC won
- Spread: Hertha BSC (-1.5)Hertha BSC won
- Spread: Hertha BSC (-2.5)Eintracht Braunschweig won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.