Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
William & Mary Tribe vs. Elon Phoenix
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x118dae9b6489f075d707dead857e7742b931a01f27847e162911d7bcb773a2b0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Elon Phoenixof William & Mary Tribe, Elon Phoenix
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,998
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,700
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,998 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1341…0853backed Elon Phoenix | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,600 | 247 | 48.2%119 W · 128 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked William & Mary Tribe | 60c | 3,387$2,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,023.41 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Elon Phoenix | 33c | 3,236$1,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,170.76 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Elon Phoenix | 46c | 2,686$1,231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,454.71 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed William & Mary Tribe | 57c | 1,687$968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$967.77 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked William & Mary Tribe | 66c | 1,454$964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$963.65 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked William & Mary Tribe | 52c | 1,229$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.31 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Elon Phoenix | 28c | 1,096$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$786.84 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c64…348fbacked William & Mary Tribe | 2c | 999.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 57 | 0%0 W · 57 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Elon Phoenix | 46c | 911.98$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.59 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Elon Phoenix | 30c | 809.85$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.85 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed William & Mary Tribe | 52c | 705.24$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.72 | 746 | 49.2%367 W · 379 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed William & Mary Tribe | 54c | 651$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.54 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked William & Mary Tribe | 72c | 594$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.43 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked William & Mary Tribe | 52c | 534$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.68 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Elon Phoenix | 30c | 457.33$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.93 | 668 | 31.4%210 W · 458 L | -43.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed William & Mary Tribe | 66c | 455.14$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed William & Mary Tribe | 55c | 453$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.15 | 92 | 35.9%33 W · 59 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked William & Mary Tribe | 54c | 361.5$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.21 | 754 | 47.1%355 W · 399 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc5…a45bbacked William & Mary Tribe | 72c | 333.33$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed William & Mary Tribe | 54c | 296.3$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 794 | 48.9%388 W · 406 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed William & Mary Tribe | 58c | 277.97$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.83 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed William & Mary Tribe | 60c | 239.51$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.66 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed William & Mary Tribe | 58c | 232$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.56 | 722 | 48.8%352 W · 370 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed William & Mary Tribe | 72c | 225.8$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.18 | 934 | 47.9%447 W · 487 L | -19.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked William & Mary Tribe | 55c | 221.82$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 453 | 51.4%233 W · 220 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed William & Mary Tribe | 62c | 210$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.2 | 558 | 40.3%225 W · 333 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed William & Mary Tribe | 52c | 208.33$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.33 | 130 | 52.3%68 W · 62 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed William & Mary Tribe | 57c | 200.52$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.14 | 369 | 42.3%156 W · 213 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40da…0b85backed William & Mary Tribe | 52c | 191.35$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.5 | 134 | 44%59 W · 75 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed William & Mary Tribe | 48c | 189.58$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd77d…b01cbacked William & Mary Tribe | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 188 | 51.6%97 W · 91 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…6769backed William & Mary Tribe | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 179 | 50.8%91 W · 88 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Elon Phoenix | 32c | 163.03$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.33 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed William & Mary Tribe | 13c | 158.09$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.58 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd682…1ae2backed William & Mary Tribe | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 26 | 7.7%2 W · 24 L | -3.4wins | -0.13per pick | 21cpaid | -79.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x47cb…dfdabacked William & Mary Tribe | 54c | 148.33$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 365 | 35.9%131 W · 234 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Elon Phoenix | 44c | 137.72$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.46 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Elon Phoenix | 52c | 120$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.2 | 459 | 53.8%247 W · 212 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed William & Mary Tribe | 69c | 110$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.15 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked William & Mary Tribe | 57c | 104.34$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.47 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Elon Phoenix | 31c | 100$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 192 | 38.5%74 W · 118 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Elon Phoenix | 48c | 99.98$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.99 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed William & Mary Tribe | 52c | 99.21$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.59 | 583 | 45.5%265 W · 318 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked William & Mary Tribe | 53c | 96$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.15 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked William & Mary Tribe | 41c | 93.12$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.05 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…bd17backed William & Mary Tribe | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 163 | 50.9%83 W · 80 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd0d…7606backed William & Mary Tribe | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked William & Mary Tribe | 55c | 85.87$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.9 | 225 | 52.9%119 W · 106 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…ef85backed William & Mary Tribe | 60c | 85.85$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.52 | 252 | 39.3%99 W · 153 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb834…e4c1backed William & Mary Tribe | 13c | 80.09$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked William & Mary Tribe | 53c | 79$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.87 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe09c…f300backed William & Mary Tribe | 61c | 74.99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.67 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked William & Mary Tribe | 57c | 70$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.9 | 315 | 37.8%119 W · 196 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed William & Mary Tribe | 41c | 50.75$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.73 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x184e…b307backed William & Mary Tribe | 50c | 49.48$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.74 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +24%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked William & Mary Tribe | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.94 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef0…7adebacked William & Mary Tribe | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 73 | 61.6%45 W · 28 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9405…c071backed Elon Phoenix | 43c | 39.07$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.27 | 445 | 49.4%220 W · 225 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98ce…cfffbacked William & Mary Tribe | 57c | 39.07$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Elon Phoenix | 47c | 36.55$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.47 | 378 | 35.7%135 W · 243 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9487…54bbbacked Elon Phoenix | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 362 | 48.6%176 W · 186 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked William & Mary Tribe | 56c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 349 | 52.1%182 W · 167 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed William & Mary Tribe | 53c | 28.66$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 81 | 40.7%33 W · 48 L | -5.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed William & Mary Tribe | 52c | 27.75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.43 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b51…f9adbacked Elon Phoenix | 52c | 23.52$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.31 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51dd…c727backed William & Mary Tribe | 65c | 23.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.09 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed William & Mary Tribe | 52c | 23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed William & Mary Tribe | 52c | 22.86$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 213 | 42.3%90 W · 123 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed William & Mary Tribe | 52c | 22.4$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.65 | 159 | 47.2%75 W · 84 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6d…e4f4backed William & Mary Tribe | 57c | 19.58$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2522…c593backed William & Mary Tribe | 53c | 19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.36per pick | 53cpaid | -63.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- William & Mary Tribe vs. Elon Phoenixthis page
- William & Mary Tribe vs. Elon Phoenix: O/U 167.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.