Asian League · resolved market
Will Gangwon FC win on 2026-08-16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x119d4d3fb0310f2073c75a1a4ffe549d0ae9c68a84d4ba6d22665c8fa0832a7b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,826
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,587
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,826 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 70c | 1,864$1,312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,311.51 | 388 | 49.5%192 W · 196 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 33c | 1,371$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$917.83 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 30c | 742.68$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.73 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76bc…fccabacked No | 19c | 604.55$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.81 | 70 | 37.1%26 W · 44 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 69c | 582.55$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.8 | 396 | 49.7%197 W · 199 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes | 28c | 540.76$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.88 | 279 | 64.9%181 W · 98 L | +28.1wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9f8a…01cdbacked Yes | 72c | 429.72$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.49 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 44c | 403.51$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.45 | 708 | 42.5%301 W · 407 L | -26.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…b70cbacked Yes | 31c | 307.19$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.96 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +3.7wins | +0.15per pick | 39cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 51c | 301.53$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.67 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…494fbacked No | 19c | 286.9$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.92 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8709…7d3dbacked Yes | 36c | 269.14$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.14 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes | 66c | 232.92$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.22 | 128 | 61.7%79 W · 49 L | +10.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 78c | 209.93$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.12 | 1,063 | 42%446 W · 617 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 38c | 202.16$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.33 | 305 | 48.5%148 W · 157 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe954…1ef1backed No | 65c | 189.86$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.41 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 34c | 185.02$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.11 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed Yes | 55c | 126$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.07 | 207 | 69.6%144 W · 63 L | +31.9wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x122b…ac59backed No | 42c | 123.79$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.2 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +4.2wins | +0.11per pick | 30cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9618…77e6backed No | 29c | 121.61$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.96 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57ef…044abacked Yes | 65c | 109.99$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 25c | 108.99$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.51 | 828 | 42.4%351 W · 477 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 43c | 107.79$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.35 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked No | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.9 | 89 | 28.1%25 W · 64 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c7a…bdb5backed Yes | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.89 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No | 40c | 99.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 144 | 40.3%58 W · 86 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed Yes | 68c | 99.55$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.49 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43ed…6232backed No | 63c | 99$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.61 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -5.7wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -39%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed No | 42c | 96$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.61 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 70c | 93.99$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.6 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05b2…953bbacked No | 65c | 92$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.8 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 66c | 84.58$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.43 | 928 | 35%325 W · 603 L | -22.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x753d…2ce0backed No | 53c | 78$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.34 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked No | 26c | 73.62$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.14 | 147 | 45.6%67 W · 80 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3546…1a58backed Yes | 14c | 71.43$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.43 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +7.1wins | +0.20per pick | 31cpaid | +99.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca10backed No | 66c | 70.76$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.7 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed No | 39c | 67.54$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.16 | 136 | 54.4%74 W · 62 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b0a…e482backed No | 39c | 50.23$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.41 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Yes | 29c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.5 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd75a…d264backed No | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 26c | 49.08$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.32 | 282 | 51.4%145 W · 137 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 60c | 46$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.61 | 1,028 | 41.7%429 W · 599 L | -31.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked No | 31c | 46$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.29 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | -8.2wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdff2…2e27backed Yes | 34c | 46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.58 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +4.3wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c83…fca2backed Yes | 65c | 45.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.88 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +3.1wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +65.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed Yes | 29c | 44.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.94 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 32c | 43.91$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.16 | 585 | 42.7%250 W · 335 L | -27.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…a506backed Yes | 31c | 42$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.12 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fd…53dfbacked Yes | 29c | 38.33$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.33 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed No | 78c | 37.27$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.07 | 261 | 36.8%96 W · 165 L | -18.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…efaebacked No | 69c | 37$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.58 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 67c | 35$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.47 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked No | 68c | 33$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.59 | 129 | 56.6%73 W · 56 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Yes | 36c | 31.62$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.13 | 118 | 61.9%73 W · 45 L | +12.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 46c | 29.48$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 721 | 44.1%318 W · 403 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x468b…68a5backed No | 36c | 28.19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6dd…5e33backed Yes | 65c | 23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.99 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf1…7cb7backed No | 67c | 21.27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0482…f72abacked No | 59c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.85 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2568…ef92backed No | 71c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 59c | 18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.68 | 441 | 52.4%231 W · 210 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6951…66f3backed No | 69c | 17.39$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Gangwon FC win on 2026-08-16?this page
- Will Ulsan HD FC vs. Gangwon FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Ulsan HD FC win on 2026-08-16?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.