Asian League · resolved market
Will Ulsan HD FC vs. Gangwon FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc9e557c0bd5e2b82b9f7eaffa0022714aeed3f0849c1c26721489d582600855a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,562
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,540
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,562 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 25c | 3,112$778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$778.08 | 828 | 42.4%351 W · 477 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 29c | 2,063$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.27 | 170 | 41.8%71 W · 99 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 75c | 1,636$1,227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.93 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 75c | 1,605$1,204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.25 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked No | 57c | 1,417$814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.73 | 157 | 72%113 W · 44 L | +33.9wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 71c | 1,266$898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.46 | 388 | 49.5%192 W · 196 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 30c | 1,244$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.08 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 75c | 1,055$794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.95 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 71c | 999.99$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 396 | 49.7%197 W · 199 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 75c | 957$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.6 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 23c | 565.63$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.09 | 928 | 35%325 W · 603 L | -22.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 71c | 537.92$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c2…73bfbacked Yes | 52c | 400$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.61 | 117 | 31.6%37 W · 80 L | -6.7wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…fd53backed Yes | 49c | 398$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.41 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes | 39c | 366$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.9 | 242 | 47.9%116 W · 126 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca10backed Yes | 24c | 345.35$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.38 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 79c | 322.85$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.77 | 708 | 42.5%301 W · 407 L | -26.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 45c | 306.45$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.9 | 721 | 44.1%318 W · 403 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefbc…b344backed Yes | 47c | 250$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.5 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 68c | 231.23$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.63 | 305 | 48.5%148 W · 157 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x404c…5c87backed Yes | 34c | 200.87$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.89 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed No | 40c | 199.99$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 163 | 50.9%83 W · 80 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd684…7e92backed Yes | 17c | 199.98$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +141.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc66a…ed6abacked No | 72c | 168$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.74 | 77 | 61%47 W · 30 L | +6.7wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +13%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed No | 69c | 161.02$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.15 | 136 | 54.4%74 W · 62 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1e…befebacked No | 72c | 138.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 43 | 76.7%33 W · 10 L | +7.0wins | +0.16per pick | 60cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1c7a…bdb5backed Yes | 44c | 115$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.96 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 71c | 115$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.79 | 357 | 51%182 W · 175 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 57c | 111$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.39 | 282 | 51.4%145 W · 137 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed No | 64c | 107.33$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.07 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x140e…cf85backed No | 72c | 101.39$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.39 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 59c | 98.14$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.82 | 1,063 | 42%446 W · 617 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 33c | 95$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43ed…6232backed No | 49c | 88$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.88 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -5.7wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -39%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 75c | 80$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 193 | 54.4%105 W · 88 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked Yes | 30c | 64.69$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.41 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 52c | 55.07$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.59 | 770 | 56.2%433 W · 337 L | +40.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 441 | 52.4%231 W · 210 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 29c | 48.69$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 747 | 39.4%294 W · 453 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb77…fbeebacked No | 79c | 44$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.26 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 71c | 43.11$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.58 | 405 | 50.6%205 W · 200 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed No | 71c | 41$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.89 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed No | 75c | 40.17$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.04 | 251 | 55.8%140 W · 111 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed No | 75c | 40.16$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.04 | 371 | 53.9%200 W · 171 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdff2…2e27backed Yes | 29c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +4.3wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 43c | 37$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.99 | 585 | 42.7%250 W · 335 L | -27.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…efaebacked No | 77c | 37$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.39 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 62c | 33.55$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.72 | 1,028 | 41.7%429 W · 599 L | -31.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7809…6600backed No | 45c | 33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.16 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed No | 75c | 32.16$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.04 | 75 | 53.3%40 W · 35 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked No | 75c | 32.13$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.03 | 109 | 60.6%66 W · 43 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed No | 54c | 28.49$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.14 | 261 | 36.8%96 W · 165 L | -18.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed No | 75c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 181 | 61.9%112 W · 69 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed No | 72c | 18.18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.09 | 1,443 | 35.3%509 W · 934 L | -36.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 75c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x468b…68a5backed No | 70c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked No | 77c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.14 | 233 | 47.6%111 W · 122 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed No | 76c | 16.18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.88 | 319 | 60.2%192 W · 127 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe392…d868backed No | 75c | 15.65$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.83 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed No | 68c | 14.88$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.76 | 294 | 32%94 W · 200 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ulsan HD FC vs. Gangwon FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Gangwon FC win on 2026-08-16?Yes won
- Will Ulsan HD FC win on 2026-08-16?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.