Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Stonehill Skyhawks vs. Mercyhurst Lakers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1200651d293acab1840219e6464b53b70db098331a4852af3055717963f47e7f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Stonehill Skyhawksof Stonehill Skyhawks, Mercyhurst Lakers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $60,952
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $64,055
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,952 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Mercyhurst Lakers | 41c | 14,074$5,762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,762.39 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Mercyhurst Lakers | 43c | 8,868$3,822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,821.5 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…cf8abacked Stonehill Skyhawks | 64c | 6,618$4,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,368.51 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd2…f8a0backed Stonehill Skyhawks | 62c | 6,422$4,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,415.95 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.21per pick | 47cpaid | -50%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbdc3…c0eabacked Stonehill Skyhawks | 57c | 5,608$3,219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,388.57 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Stonehill Skyhawks | 55c | 5,388$2,946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,442.13 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Mercyhurst Lakers | 42c | 5,301$2,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,230.08 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Stonehill Skyhawks | 66c | 4,079$2,677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,401.61 | 746 | 49.2%367 W · 379 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Mercyhurst Lakers | 45c | 3,708$1,674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,674.25 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Mercyhurst Lakers | 37c | 2,112$785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$784.84 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ca…cccbbacked Stonehill Skyhawks | 63c | 2,000$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +5.1wins | +0.15per pick | 37cpaid | +20%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Stonehill Skyhawks | 53c | 1,991$1,061 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930.55 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40a5…f0a8backed Stonehill Skyhawks | 63c | 1,933$1,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$715.33 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Mercyhurst Lakers | 41c | 1,875$766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$766.03 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0341…a679backed Stonehill Skyhawks | 63c | 1,567$987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.67 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Mercyhurst Lakers | 42c | 1,556$658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657.98 | 898 | 50%449 W · 449 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Stonehill Skyhawks | 64c | 1,500$965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535 | 497 | 46.5%231 W · 266 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Stonehill Skyhawks | 46c | 1,326$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710.76 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Mercyhurst Lakers | 40c | 959$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.83 | 94 | 42.6%40 W · 54 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Stonehill Skyhawks | 35c | 937.08$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.66 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40e2…b0a7backed Mercyhurst Lakers | 64c | 753.92$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.39 | 79 | 65.8%52 W · 27 L | +8.9wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…eeaebacked Stonehill Skyhawks | 39c | 681.82$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.91 | 1,227 | 27.8%341 W · 886 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Mercyhurst Lakers | 38c | 630$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.22 | 449 | 55.2%248 W · 201 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Mercyhurst Lakers | 47c | 593$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.14 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1052…53dabacked Stonehill Skyhawks | 63c | 538$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.11 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -4.1wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Stonehill Skyhawks | 47c | 535.91$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.29 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Stonehill Skyhawks | 62c | 504$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.72 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Stonehill Skyhawks | 46c | 460.22$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.32 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Mercyhurst Lakers | 48c | 403.02$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.72 | 383 | 43.6%167 W · 216 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00e0…8a94backed Stonehill Skyhawks | 25c | 401.2$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.2 | 230 | 28.3%65 W · 165 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67cc…942fbacked Stonehill Skyhawks | 63c | 341.79$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.79 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…5b4bbacked Mercyhurst Lakers | 44c | 314$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.16 | 113 | 46.9%53 W · 60 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Mercyhurst Lakers | 37c | 250$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.45 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…1a20backed Stonehill Skyhawks | 54c | 248$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.26 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked Mercyhurst Lakers | 61c | 204$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.44 | 814 | 53.1%432 W · 382 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28b9…9719backed Mercyhurst Lakers | 73c | 198.59$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.62 | 58 | 31%18 W · 40 L | -7.3wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe88b…fa5abacked Mercyhurst Lakers | 47c | 180$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.6 | 346 | 49.1%170 W · 176 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Mercyhurst Lakers | 52c | 179$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.86 | 614 | 46.1%283 W · 331 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd0d…7606backed Stonehill Skyhawks | 59c | 170$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Stonehill Skyhawks | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 505 | 46.9%237 W · 268 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x485e…fcb5backed Stonehill Skyhawks | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Stonehill Skyhawks | 41c | 150.91$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.05 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed Mercyhurst Lakers | 35c | 150$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.77 | 126 | 17.5%22 W · 104 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed Stonehill Skyhawks | 64c | 148.44$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.44 | 195 | 54.9%107 W · 88 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8c…237dbacked Stonehill Skyhawks | 47c | 144$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.18 | 175 | 46.3%81 W · 94 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4602…3315backed Stonehill Skyhawks | 63c | 139.68$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.86 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +7.2wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +36%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Stonehill Skyhawks | 37c | 138$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.16 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Mercyhurst Lakers | 69c | 132.55$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.98 | 456 | 44.5%203 W · 253 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Mercyhurst Lakers | 46c | 131.6$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.89 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Mercyhurst Lakers | 73c | 115.94$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.32 | 323 | 43%139 W · 184 L | -18.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Mercyhurst Lakers | 78c | 100$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 480 | 51%245 W · 235 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…f17abacked Mercyhurst Lakers | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 160 | 8.1%13 W · 147 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d9…0092backed Stonehill Skyhawks | 64c | 81.53$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.01 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -9.7wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed Stonehill Skyhawks | 38c | 78.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.65 | 536 | 46.5%249 W · 287 L | -24.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dbc…18a0backed Mercyhurst Lakers | 65c | 77.08$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x873d…97b5backed Stonehill Skyhawks | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 73 | 24.7%18 W · 55 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -27%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Mercyhurst Lakers | 44c | 51.11$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.48 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked Stonehill Skyhawks | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 225 | 52.9%119 W · 106 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cb…fb77backed Mercyhurst Lakers | 42c | 43.82$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Stonehill Skyhawks | 63c | 42.85$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.85 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Mercyhurst Lakers | 36c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.24 | 668 | 31.4%210 W · 458 L | -43.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba82…8abdbacked Mercyhurst Lakers | 44c | 27.81$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Mercyhurst Lakers | 78c | 20.83$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 459 | 53.8%247 W · 212 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fff…665bbacked Stonehill Skyhawks | 63c | 19.05$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.05 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -4.1wins | -0.24per pick | 53cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…06c5backed Stonehill Skyhawks | 61c | 18.56$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.24 | 427 | 51.8%221 W · 206 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Stonehill Skyhawks vs. Mercyhurst Lakersthis page
- Spread: Mercyhurst Lakers (-1.5)Stonehill Skyhawks won
- Spread: Mercyhurst Lakers (-2.5)Stonehill Skyhawks won
- Spread: Mercyhurst Lakers (-3.5)Stonehill Skyhawks won
- Spread: Mercyhurst Lakers (-4.5)Stonehill Skyhawks won
- Spread: Stonehill Skyhawks (-7.5)Mercyhurst Lakers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.