Premier League · resolved market
Will Everton vs. Tottenham end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1204603b26f3732c6891fba272f856d26a94b0a1669bc204b5a22391da2bdbb5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,687
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,663
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,687 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2fd3…7214backed Yes | 3c | 8,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcf…48e1backed Yes | 1c | 4,800$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +8.6wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +89.6%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 1c | 2,000$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 449 | 39.6%178 W · 271 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed No | 71c | 1,692$1,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.58 | 166 | 60.8%101 W · 65 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc745…9499backed Yes | 30c | 1,677$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 116 | 38.8%45 W · 71 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c07…e331backed No | 73c | 1,123$817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.45 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 64cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb39…ed7abacked Yes | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95f6…d035backed Yes | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 20cpaid | +130.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked No | 70c | 609.68$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.9 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d1e…5512backed Yes | 28c | 599.97$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.99 | 65 | 29.2%19 W · 46 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71bc…28f4backed Yes | 29c | 500$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba99…8f26backed Yes | 6c | 426.11$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 46 | 21.7%10 W · 36 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3025…fccdbacked Yes | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37d8…b6ddbacked Yes | 29c | 342.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 115 | 48.7%56 W · 59 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 71c | 294.76$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.48 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 71c | 267.61$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.61 | 834 | 59.4%495 W · 339 L | +25.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51b1…bce2backed Yes | 13c | 230$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.62 | 182 | 32.4%59 W · 123 L | -15.9wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Yes | 18c | 229$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.14 | 386 | 45.3%175 W · 211 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8e…1bf4backed Yes | 28c | 222.76$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.61 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…591abacked Yes | 29c | 210$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.9 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -3.8wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5bab…50aabacked No | 73c | 208.46$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.32 | 83 | 65.1%54 W · 29 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 69cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed Yes | 29c | 206.9$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 292 | 38.4%112 W · 180 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x211d…5a22backed No | 72c | 197.34$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.26 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 11c | 195.25$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.48 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ec…dcc8backed Yes | 29c | 189.5$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.96 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca6e…3017backed Yes | 29c | 183.52$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2453…28e2backed Yes | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 256 | 37.9%97 W · 159 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4890…0968backed Yes | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0bce…558cbacked Yes | 29c | 170.84$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed No | 71c | 140$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.6 | 561 | 58.6%329 W · 232 L | +29.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf00f…711abacked No | 71c | 131.03$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 71c | 115.18$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.4 | 406 | 40.9%166 W · 240 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0da5…5adfbacked Yes | 29c | 103.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 291 | 46%134 W · 157 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked No | 71c | 101.77$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.04 | 401 | 35.2%141 W · 260 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…53c8backed No | 71c | 100.36$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.1 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b35…a749backed Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 126 | 23%29 W · 97 L | -11.6wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0b69…e32abacked Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x152f…cc4ebacked Yes | 28c | 88.63$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6980…a328backed Yes | 29c | 86.21$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 25 | 8%2 W · 23 L | -4.2wins | -0.17per pick | 25cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No | 71c | 84$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.36 | 605 | 57.5%348 W · 257 L | +25.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0e…4dc6backed No | 73c | 78.63$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.23 | 61 | 67.2%41 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd676…171fbacked No | 73c | 72.4$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.55 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f45…6058backed No | 74c | 71.99$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.72 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d63…8302backed No | 74c | 69.68$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.12 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcd…07e0backed No | 74c | 63.93$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.82 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64e3…95ffbacked No | 73c | 60.74$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdebf…6356backed No | 72c | 52.81$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.76 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3947…b31ebacked Yes | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b95…ebe9backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab3b…a825backed No | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 154 | 61%94 W · 60 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…95ddbacked No | 71c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 117 | 61.5%72 W · 45 L | +7.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 70c | 35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 599 | 58.9%353 W · 246 L | +26.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f90…1b35backed No | 71c | 34.69$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.06 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcd7…eebfbacked No | 74c | 16.39$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.26 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.7wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +104.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc86b…81e6backed No | 71c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Everton vs. Tottenham end in a draw?this page
- Will Everton win on 2025-01-19?Yes won
- Will Tottenham win on 2025-01-19?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.