MLB · resolved market
Orioles vs. Rangers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1287c4e9cc6fa6a41467c58e4ff9bbe5693c9dbf0905562ccd454fa76f758d3b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rangersof Orioles, Rangers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $147,360
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $160,158
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $147,360 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 121 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Orioles | 41c | 37,222$15,261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,261.02 | 173 | 51.4%89 W · 84 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Orioles | 43c | 24,733$10,628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,628.25 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Rangers | 59c | 22,245$13,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,120.45 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1752…7993backed Rangers | 72c | 19,301$13,975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,325.94 | 132 | 62.9%83 W · 49 L | +12.0wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +93.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Rangers | 57c | 18,862$10,752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,110.87 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Rangers | 59c | 14,000$8,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,740 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.34per pick | 49cpaid | +70.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Orioles | 43c | 10,790$4,632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,631.78 | 245 | 53.5%131 W · 114 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Rangers | 57c | 10,350$5,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,450.5 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Orioles | 41c | 7,594$3,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,119.13 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Rangers | 68c | 6,734$4,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,123.73 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Rangers | 58c | 6,541$3,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,771.05 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed Rangers | 59c | 4,507$2,645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,862.4 | 255 | 50.6%129 W · 126 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Orioles | 42c | 3,810$1,599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,599.3 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Rangers | 57c | 3,684$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,584.12 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5e…83f8backed Orioles | 43c | 3,196$1,374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,374.16 | 147 | 47.6%70 W · 77 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Orioles | 42c | 2,381$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 167 | 47.9%80 W · 87 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Orioles | 0c | 2,280$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.86 | 475 | 4.4%21 W · 454 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28bc…e520backed Orioles | 42c | 2,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.99 | 279 | 53.4%149 W · 130 L | +16.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Rangers | 57c | 1,864$1,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$793.3 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Rangers | 78c | 1,833$1,421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.65 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Rangers | 79c | 1,732$1,374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.59 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…c03bbacked Orioles | 42c | 1,450$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 46cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadf0…00fbbacked Rangers | 57c | 1,391$793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.2 | 492 | 50.4%248 W · 244 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…9fdabacked Rangers | 58c | 1,366$792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.72 | 313 | 46.6%146 W · 167 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc48e…f355backed Orioles | 42c | 1,300$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf2e…52bcbacked Rangers | 58c | 1,200$696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 49cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Orioles | 3c | 1,183$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.82 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Orioles | 1c | 1,105$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.61 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Orioles | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Rangers | 77c | 957.17$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.51 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Orioles | 9c | 866.65$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.02 | 188 | 37.8%71 W · 117 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75df…0ee9backed Rangers | 58c | 792$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.64 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa687…23e2backed Rangers | 57c | 762.9$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.18 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Rangers | 58c | 690$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.8 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff24…76c1backed Orioles | 42c | 586.44$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.14 | 93 | 32.3%30 W · 63 L | -16.8wins | -0.18per pick | 50cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Rangers | 57c | 497.52$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.93 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…b646backed Orioles | 6c | 452.67$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.16 | 182 | 36.3%66 W · 116 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Rangers | 62c | 444$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.45 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Orioles | 44c | 405$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.2 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Rangers | 58c | 330.81$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.83 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x497c…d54ebacked Orioles | 43c | 330.21$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.89 | 242 | 48.8%118 W · 124 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5696…b3aabacked Rangers | 58c | 318.97$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.97 | 259 | 54.1%140 W · 119 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Orioles | 41c | 300$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.7 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Orioles | 42c | 289.99$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.87 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Rangers | 57c | 272.43$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.86 | 123 | 39%48 W · 75 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc615…9f26backed Orioles | 8c | 251.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 70 | 25.7%18 W · 52 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Rangers | 59c | 235.59$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.59 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Orioles | 43c | 232.96$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.17 | 405 | 48.9%198 W · 207 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25f4…20e0backed Rangers | 68c | 205.88$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.88 | 75 | 56%42 W · 33 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Orioles | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd59…c3a5backed Orioles | 21c | 189.85$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 134 | 50%67 W · 67 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed Rangers | 57c | 188$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.9 | 210 | 44.8%94 W · 116 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cee…b72abacked Orioles | 43c | 180.12$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.45 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | +8.8wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x282c…784bbacked Rangers | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 77 | 33.8%26 W · 51 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6edc…18cebacked Rangers | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 313 | 56.2%176 W · 137 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Rangers | 75c | 174.97$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.14 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…7d12backed Rangers | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 182 | 47.8%87 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Rangers | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Rangers | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a5b…e79dbacked Orioles | 43c | 163.39$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.19 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Orioles | 25c | 127.49$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 525 | 42.5%223 W · 302 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40b3…6159backed Rangers | 63c | 125.4$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.4 | 43 | 74.4%32 W · 11 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba6…09eabacked Orioles | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 88 | 48.9%43 W · 45 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed17…8d60backed Orioles | 42c | 114$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9839…040ebacked Rangers | 57c | 106$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.58 | 141 | 46.8%66 W · 75 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Rangers | 61c | 105.79$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.49 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Orioles | 43c | 105$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.15 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Rangers | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x412a…802cbacked Rangers | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -4.2wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Rangers | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 171 | 39.2%67 W · 104 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Orioles | 41c | 98.73$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.48 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc4…2f09backed Orioles | 41c | 98$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5874…a9d7backed Orioles | 42c | 95.5$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 249 | 53%132 W · 117 L | +14.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd774…49fabacked Orioles | 44c | 94.34$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.51 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02c6…8afbbacked Rangers | 57c | 93.82$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.34 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d02…a69ebacked Rangers | 57c | 90.86$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.07 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +96%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e6…1a7abacked Orioles | 44c | 90.05$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.62 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe84e…2d6ebacked Rangers | 57c | 89.02$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.28 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09f8…ee95backed Orioles | 44c | 88.82$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.08 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb103…b1dbbacked Orioles | 44c | 88.27$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.84 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd01…6803backed Rangers | 59c | 86$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d28…c041backed Orioles | 44c | 84.95$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.38 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x670d…7a84backed Rangers | 57c | 84.39$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.29 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf28f…d9b0backed Orioles | 44c | 82.91$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.48 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc647…1f6bbacked Rangers | 57c | 81.56$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.07 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe38c…1ddabacked Orioles | 44c | 80.86$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.58 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x01ef…d9f3backed Rangers | 57c | 79.86$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.34 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc4…6eacbacked Rangers | 58c | 78.48$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.96 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Orioles | 41c | 73.27$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.04 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06c6…4162backed Rangers | 77c | 73$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.89 | 75 | 60%45 W · 30 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Orioles | 38c | 69.71$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.59 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…2e9cbacked Orioles | 42c | 69.12$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.03 | 662 | 50.2%332 W · 330 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec4b…b9b5backed Rangers | 59c | 69$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Rangers | 59c | 67.8$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.8 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88a8…c8edbacked Rangers | 59c | 57$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f39…27a5backed Orioles | 24c | 53.46$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.83 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Rangers | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.8 | 417 | 51.3%214 W · 203 L | +14.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Orioles | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 387 | 41.1%159 W · 228 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Rangers | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 266 | 42.1%112 W · 154 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Orioles | 43c | 48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.48 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.