Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Ball State Cardinals vs. Western Michigan Broncos
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x12e665c3db2ec01b25915f026b01d7d8e2f5d9d9f886d8d0307b431559429371
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ball State Cardinalsof Ball State Cardinals, Western Michigan Broncos
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $48,395
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,205
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,395 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Western Michigan Broncos | 50c | 5,751$2,849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,849.39 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Western Michigan Broncos | 57c | 2,813$1,592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,592.31 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Western Michigan Broncos | 58c | 2,222$1,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,288.76 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Ball State Cardinals | 39c | 2,164$844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,320.03 | 374 | 41.7%156 W · 218 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Ball State Cardinals | 53c | 2,105$1,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$986.26 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed8f…5aa7backed Western Michigan Broncos | 61c | 1,988$1,212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,212.47 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -5.0wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Ball State Cardinals | 55c | 1,801$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810.61 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Ball State Cardinals | 68c | 1,689$1,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.69 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Ball State Cardinals | 62c | 1,648$1,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.82 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Ball State Cardinals | 42c | 1,476$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$856.01 | 746 | 49.2%367 W · 379 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Ball State Cardinals | 43c | 1,227$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$697.13 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Western Michigan Broncos | 58c | 1,199$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.85 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe278…b608backed Western Michigan Broncos | 57c | 999.97$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.98 | 215 | 49.3%106 W · 109 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf606…440abacked Ball State Cardinals | 43c | 864.52$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.78 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Ball State Cardinals | 45c | 810.27$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.88 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Ball State Cardinals | 41c | 557.7$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.64 | 794 | 48.9%388 W · 406 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Western Michigan Broncos | 24c | 551.6$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.71 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Ball State Cardinals | 42c | 527.78$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.99 | 922 | 46%424 W · 498 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Western Michigan Broncos | 45c | 477.52$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.17 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Western Michigan Broncos | 69c | 454.03$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.13 | 848 | 54.5%462 W · 386 L | +32.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b61…b7eabacked Ball State Cardinals | 40c | 403.67$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.04 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9de4…7f2ebacked Western Michigan Broncos | 42c | 398.48$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.36 | 160 | 54.4%87 W · 73 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Ball State Cardinals | 45c | 363.49$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.92 | 621 | 40.4%251 W · 370 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4687…8d42backed Western Michigan Broncos | 61c | 357.8$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.17 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Western Michigan Broncos | 44c | 345.93$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.9 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Ball State Cardinals | 42c | 301.86$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.08 | 347 | 46.1%160 W · 187 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Ball State Cardinals | 44c | 297.41$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.56 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Western Michigan Broncos | 60c | 263.45$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.23 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Ball State Cardinals | 41c | 247.52$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.61 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Ball State Cardinals | 49c | 233.95$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.31 | 870 | 47.2%411 W · 459 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Ball State Cardinals | 58c | 228.11$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.68 | 614 | 46.1%283 W · 331 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4650…f3f0backed Western Michigan Broncos | 19c | 216.83$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.2 | 221 | 57.9%128 W · 93 L | +12.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf43c…d7c3backed Western Michigan Broncos | 58c | 204.71$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.73 | 491 | 57.2%281 W · 210 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Western Michigan Broncos | 66c | 202.72$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.15 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Ball State Cardinals | 40c | 199.81$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.89 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fea…9bdbbacked Western Michigan Broncos | 61c | 195.08$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -25%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Western Michigan Broncos | 79c | 183.93$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.3 | 741 | 52.6%390 W · 351 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Western Michigan Broncos | 66c | 176.12$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.83 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Ball State Cardinals | 55c | 158.37$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.79 | 716 | 55.3%396 W · 320 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Ball State Cardinals | 43c | 158.1$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.93 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Ball State Cardinals | 45c | 154.65$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.06 | 505 | 48.9%247 W · 258 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Ball State Cardinals | 42c | 153.29$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.52 | 815 | 28.8%235 W · 580 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Western Michigan Broncos | 37c | 146.38$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.33 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Ball State Cardinals | 40c | 142.81$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.69 | 780 | 52.2%407 W · 373 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Western Michigan Broncos | 30c | 135.37$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.04 | 934 | 47.9%447 W · 487 L | -19.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Ball State Cardinals | 39c | 131.9$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.46 | 259 | 46.3%120 W · 139 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Ball State Cardinals | 32c | 129.08$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.71 | 449 | 55.2%248 W · 201 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Western Michigan Broncos | 60c | 112.5$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 306 | 49%150 W · 156 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Ball State Cardinals | 52c | 111.75$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.54 | 771 | 42.3%326 W · 445 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Ball State Cardinals | 41c | 111.25$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.63 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Ball State Cardinals | 41c | 110.03$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.42 | 833 | 50.2%418 W · 415 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed Ball State Cardinals | 58c | 105.59$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Western Michigan Broncos | 60c | 99.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Ball State Cardinals | 43c | 92.23$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.57 | 316 | 47.8%151 W · 165 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0f…48fdbacked Western Michigan Broncos | 58c | 87.44$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.5 | 265 | 50.6%134 W · 131 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Ball State Cardinals | 61c | 81.74$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.61 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5271…0f95backed Ball State Cardinals | 40c | 81.31$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.79 | 67 | 40.3%27 W · 40 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Ball State Cardinals | 60c | 81.21$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.59 | 932 | 47.3%441 W · 491 L | -22.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Ball State Cardinals | 45c | 77.96$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.88 | 558 | 40.3%225 W · 333 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Ball State Cardinals | 47c | 77.3$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.97 | 322 | 46.6%150 W · 172 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Western Michigan Broncos | 61c | 67.54$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.2 | 334 | 45.8%153 W · 181 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed Ball State Cardinals | 39c | 63.47$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.6 | 258 | 37.6%97 W · 161 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Ball State Cardinals | 41c | 60.09$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.45 | 507 | 45.2%229 W · 278 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87b8…29dcbacked Ball State Cardinals | 43c | 60.08$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.25 | 121 | 47.9%58 W · 63 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…af56backed Western Michigan Broncos | 38c | 58.89$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.54 | 184 | 39.1%72 W · 112 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Western Michigan Broncos | 62c | 56.12$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.89 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda60…595cbacked Western Michigan Broncos | 61c | 52.67$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.13 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7c…3a5bbacked Western Michigan Broncos | 74c | 50.85$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.62 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Western Michigan Broncos | 61c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 202 | 54.5%110 W · 92 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5699…418dbacked Ball State Cardinals | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -5.7wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x140f…0b2ebacked Ball State Cardinals | 40c | 49.58$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.75 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf5aa…4464backed Ball State Cardinals | 46c | 41.22$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.26 | 158 | 50%79 W · 79 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad5b…d645backed Western Michigan Broncos | 79c | 40.77$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.21 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 68cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Ball State Cardinals | 39c | 39.67$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.2 | 612 | 44.9%275 W · 337 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Western Michigan Broncos | 79c | 32.36$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.56 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd88a…1eefbacked Western Michigan Broncos | 55c | 30.73$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.9 | 208 | 34.6%72 W · 136 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d60…5c77backed Ball State Cardinals | 39c | 30.21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.31 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc353…30a8backed Ball State Cardinals | 43c | 27.64$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.76 | 161 | 40.4%65 W · 96 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Western Michigan Broncos | 40c | 26.13$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.48 | 693 | 50.4%349 W · 344 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3392…de47backed Ball State Cardinals | 45c | 26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b9c…da16backed Western Michigan Broncos | 56c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.91 | 150 | 66%99 W · 51 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Western Michigan Broncos | 67c | 24.56$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.36 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bad…8d4bbacked Western Michigan Broncos | 60c | 19.83$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -3.9wins | -0.43per pick | 54cpaid | -79.8%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd5fc…28abbacked Western Michigan Broncos | 74c | 19.1$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.13 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2db9…846cbacked Ball State Cardinals | 71c | 17.26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Western Michigan Broncos | 60c | 16.67$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 828 | 46.1%382 W · 446 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x586d…fb12backed Ball State Cardinals | 76c | 16.27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.85 | 185 | 57.8%107 W · 78 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Ball State Cardinals vs. Western Michigan Broncosthis page
- Ball State Cardinals vs. Western Michigan Broncos: O/U 137.5Over won
- Spread: Western Michigan Broncos (-3.5)Ball State Cardinals won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.